P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -7.29% | 0.53% | 2025-02-19 | -15.93% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 4.88% | 5.13% | 2025-07-23 | -15.93% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -5.69% | 0.58% | 2025-02-20 | -14.08% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 5.66% | 5.95% | 2025-07-23 | -14.08% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -7.36% | 0.38% | 2025-01-30 | -19.46% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 9.37% | 9.37% | 2025-07-25 | -19.46% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -5.09% | 0.48% | 2025-01-27 | -17.33% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 11.58% | 11.58% | 2025-07-25 | -17.33% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 2025-01-27 | 125.94 | 0.2550 | 0.4533 | no |
| AES | 2025-01-27 | 10.50 | 0.3323 | — | no |
| AIG | 2025-01-27 | 71.08 | 0.3330 | 0.4566 | no |
| AMAT | 2025-01-27 | 177.14 | 0.2667 | 0.5597 | no |
| AMD | 2025-01-27 | 117.80 | 0.2084 | 0.5364 | no |
| BIIB | 2025-01-27 | 146.55 | 0.3654 | 0.4743 | no |
| BRK.B | 2025-01-27 | 464.30 | 0.1612 | — | no |
| COO | 2025-01-27 | 97.74 | 0.1976 | 0.4072 | no |
| COP | 2025-01-27 | 96.90 | 0.3139 | 0.4584 | no |
| CSCO | 2025-01-27 | 59.39 | 0.2440 | 0.5306 | no |
| CSGP | 2025-01-27 | 73.52 | 0.2386 | 0.4323 | no |
| CVS | 2025-01-27 | 52.19 | 0.3706 | 0.4245 | no |
| CZR | 2025-01-27 | 34.32 | 0.2805 | 0.4296 | no |
| DECK | 2025-01-27 | 211.76 | 0.3033 | 0.4186 | no |
| DHI | 2025-01-27 | 139.39 | 0.5322 | 0.4515 | no |
| DLR | 2025-01-27 | 157.93 | 0.2035 | 0.4126 | no |
| DXCM | 2025-01-27 | 88.58 | 0.1636 | 0.4509 | no |
| ED | 2025-01-27 | 86.76 | 0.2588 | — | no |
| EMR | 2025-01-27 | 124.45 | 0.1980 | 0.5097 | no |
| EXPE | 2025-01-27 | 168.38 | 0.2122 | 0.4825 | no |
| F | 2025-01-27 | 9.10 | 0.1823 | 0.4396 | no |
| FFIV | 2025-01-27 | 266.19 | 0.1777 | 0.5139 | no |
| FTV | 2025-01-27 | 59.68 | 0.2570 | 0.5009 | no |
| GL | 2025-01-27 | 118.57 | 0.3626 | 0.4527 | no |
| IBM | 2025-01-27 | 212.27 | 0.2085 | 0.4626 | no |
| IFF | 2025-01-27 | 83.44 | 0.1688 | 0.4112 | no |
| INCY | 2025-01-27 | 72.29 | 0.2186 | 0.4363 | no |
| INTC | 2025-01-27 | 20.81 | 1.0167 | 0.5365 | no |
| IVZ | 2025-01-27 | 16.38 | 0.1741 | 0.4944 | no |
| KMI | 2025-01-27 | 27.04 | 0.2060 | 0.4860 | no |
| LHX | 2025-01-27 | 214.19 | 0.2960 | 0.5163 | no |
| LMT | 2025-01-27 | 477.13 | 0.2435 | 0.5132 | no |
| LUV | 2025-01-27 | 30.97 | 0.1708 | 0.5502 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-01-27 | 55.09 | 0.1909 | 0.5356 | no |
| MCO | 2025-01-27 | 480.42 | 0.1852 | 0.4874 | no |
| MHK | 2025-01-27 | 126.46 | 0.1902 | 0.4613 | no |
| MOS | 2025-01-27 | 26.89 | 0.3112 | 0.4034 | no |
| NEE | 2025-01-27 | 69.56 | 0.2978 | 0.4510 | no |
| NFLX | 2025-01-27 | 97.11 | 0.3108 | — | no |
| ODFL | 2025-01-27 | 187.28 | 0.2722 | 0.4489 | no |
| ON | 2025-01-27 | 54.89 | 0.4847 | 0.5146 | no |
| PCG | 2025-01-27 | 16.22 | 0.2364 | 0.4312 | no |
| PHM | 2025-01-27 | 113.36 | 0.2825 | 0.4779 | no |
| PKG | 2025-01-27 | 230.22 | 0.3518 | 0.4372 | no |
| RTX | 2025-01-27 | 122.97 | 0.1977 | 0.5022 | no |
| SHW | 2025-01-27 | 354.31 | 0.4515 | 0.4177 | no |
| TEL | 2025-01-27 | 147.50 | 0.3121 | 0.4594 | no |
| TJX | 2025-01-27 | 120.47 | 0.1681 | 0.4135 | no |
| UPS | 2025-01-27 | 119.61 | 0.2205 | 0.4577 | no |
| XOM | 2025-01-27 | 103.08 | 0.3663 | 0.4226 | no |