P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -4.97% | 0.00% | 2025-02-24 | -16.59% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 5.61% | 5.61% | 2025-08-22 | -16.59% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -5.99% | 0.00% | 2025-02-24 | -16.53% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 4.12% | 4.12% | 2025-08-22 | -16.53% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.00% | 7.59% | 2025-05-16 | -16.09% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 15.57% | 15.57% | 2025-08-22 | -16.09% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 4.78% | 8.71% | 2025-05-16 | -15.04% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 15.61% | 15.61% | 2025-08-22 | -15.04% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 2025-02-24 | 243.43 | 0.4571 | 0.5015 | no |
| ABBV | 2025-02-24 | 192.30 | 0.2832 | 0.4513 | no |
| ACGL | 2025-02-24 | 88.44 | 0.2000 | 0.4371 | no |
| ADSK | 2025-02-24 | 287.00 | 0.2578 | 0.4469 | no |
| AES | 2025-02-24 | 9.76 | 0.7147 | — | no |
| AJG | 2025-02-24 | 319.71 | 0.3648 | 0.4634 | no |
| AMD | 2025-02-24 | 111.49 | 0.3279 | 0.5502 | no |
| AME | 2025-02-24 | 184.03 | 0.2238 | 0.4898 | no |
| APO | 2025-02-24 | 148.36 | 0.2288 | — | no |
| BIIB | 2025-02-24 | 141.28 | 0.1871 | 0.4882 | no |
| CARR | 2025-02-24 | 65.82 | 0.2012 | 0.5015 | no |
| COO | 2025-02-24 | 88.54 | 0.1958 | 0.4072 | no |
| COR | 2025-02-24 | 239.43 | 0.2126 | 0.4032 | no |
| CRM | 2025-02-24 | 307.38 | 0.3005 | 0.5063 | no |
| DHI | 2025-02-24 | 123.87 | 0.3346 | 0.4483 | no |
| DTE | 2025-02-24 | 126.08 | 0.1872 | 0.4533 | no |
| DVN | 2025-02-24 | 35.89 | 0.2992 | 0.5050 | no |
| FDS | 2025-02-24 | 450.39 | 0.2890 | 0.4936 | no |
| GD | 2025-02-24 | 237.81 | 0.3123 | 0.4844 | no |
| GE | 2025-02-24 | 200.94 | 0.1655 | 0.4937 | no |
| GL | 2025-02-24 | 122.01 | 0.1983 | 0.4654 | no |
| GNRC | 2025-02-24 | 138.60 | 0.2527 | 0.4034 | no |
| GOOGL | 2025-02-24 | 180.93 | 0.3150 | 0.5476 | no |
| GPN | 2025-02-24 | 100.95 | 0.3351 | 0.4054 | no |
| HLT | 2025-02-24 | 261.27 | 0.2752 | 0.4245 | no |
| LDOS | 2025-02-24 | 128.74 | 0.3230 | 0.5086 | no |
| LKQ | 2025-02-24 | 38.23 | 0.2402 | 0.5016 | no |
| LULU | 2025-02-24 | 364.00 | 0.2635 | 0.4201 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-02-24 | 58.56 | 0.7353 | 0.5342 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-02-24 | 33.88 | 0.4718 | 0.4371 | no |
| NCLH | 2025-02-24 | 24.79 | 0.1770 | 0.4537 | no |
| NXPI | 2025-02-24 | 229.42 | 0.2708 | 0.5257 | no |
| ON | 2025-02-24 | 54.33 | 0.2041 | 0.5243 | no |
| PEG | 2025-02-24 | 79.00 | 0.2631 | 0.4415 | no |
| PFE | 2025-02-24 | 23.80 | 0.4181 | 0.4913 | no |
| PH | 2025-02-24 | 661.33 | 0.1737 | 0.5105 | no |
| PHM | 2025-02-24 | 101.72 | 0.2400 | 0.4458 | no |
| POOL | 2025-02-24 | 332.24 | 0.4302 | 0.4362 | no |
| PRU | 2025-02-24 | 101.93 | 0.1963 | 0.4610 | no |
| ROST | 2025-02-24 | 134.77 | 0.4413 | 0.4338 | no |
| SHW | 2025-02-24 | 341.26 | 0.2946 | 0.4176 | no |
| TFC | 2025-02-24 | 43.02 | 0.2575 | 0.4555 | no |
| TROW | 2025-02-24 | 97.27 | 0.2835 | 0.5056 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-02-24 | 338.14 | 0.5463 | 0.4479 | no |
| TXN | 2025-02-24 | 193.97 | 0.3278 | 0.5086 | no |
| ULTA | 2025-02-24 | 361.51 | 0.2249 | 0.4258 | no |
| VLO | 2025-02-24 | 129.80 | 0.2518 | 0.4143 | no |
| VRSN | 2025-02-24 | 228.37 | 0.2402 | 0.4437 | no |
| VRTX | 2025-02-24 | 482.84 | 0.3118 | 0.4459 | no |
| ZBRA | 2025-02-24 | 313.03 | 0.2810 | 0.4435 | no |