P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -2.89% | 0.00% | 2025-03-03 | -17.63% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 6.36% | 7.46% | 2025-08-22 | -17.63% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -4.23% | 0.00% | 2025-03-03 | -18.03% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 5.08% | 6.38% | 2025-08-22 | -18.03% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 7.66% | 8.89% | 2025-05-16 | -16.72% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 13.08% | 15.48% | 2025-08-22 | -16.72% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 6.42% | 7.61% | 2025-05-16 | -16.40% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 12.07% | 14.31% | 2025-08-22 | -16.40% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | 2025-03-03 | 10.29 | 0.1935 | — | no |
| AJG | 2025-03-03 | 330.94 | 0.2836 | 0.4633 | no |
| ALGN | 2025-03-03 | 188.63 | 0.2046 | 0.4128 | no |
| AMD | 2025-03-03 | 101.52 | 0.4281 | 0.5506 | no |
| ANET | 2025-03-03 | 93.07 | 0.4965 | 0.4932 | no |
| APO | 2025-03-03 | 147.37 | 0.4047 | — | no |
| BX | 2025-03-03 | 153.96 | 0.2193 | 0.4846 | no |
| CDW | 2025-03-03 | 174.76 | 0.1688 | 0.5093 | no |
| CVS | 2025-03-03 | 62.41 | 0.2024 | 0.4060 | no |
| DECK | 2025-03-03 | 140.17 | 0.1760 | 0.4615 | no |
| DHI | 2025-03-03 | 124.77 | 0.3460 | 0.4475 | no |
| EIX | 2025-03-03 | 50.21 | 0.4991 | 0.4396 | no |
| EOG | 2025-03-03 | 120.56 | 0.1962 | 0.5819 | no |
| ERIE | 2025-03-03 | 414.34 | 0.1836 | — | no |
| FSLR | 2025-03-03 | 135.28 | 0.5087 | 0.4315 | no |
| GDDY | 2025-03-03 | 180.66 | 0.2703 | 0.4149 | no |
| GEN | 2025-03-03 | 26.91 | 0.1707 | 0.5646 | no |
| HLT | 2025-03-03 | 264.08 | 0.1749 | 0.4240 | no |
| HON | 2025-03-03 | 205.08 | 0.2163 | 0.5038 | no |
| HPE | 2025-03-03 | 19.31 | 0.2326 | 0.5165 | no |
| IQV | 2025-03-03 | 187.72 | 0.2256 | 0.4057 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-03-03 | 159.68 | 0.2076 | 0.4614 | no |
| JBL | 2025-03-03 | 155.82 | 0.1807 | 0.4960 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-03-03 | 60.04 | 0.3655 | 0.5351 | no |
| MKTX | 2025-03-03 | 188.51 | 0.1998 | 0.5171 | no |
| MSI | 2025-03-03 | 430.67 | 0.2250 | 0.5432 | no |
| NUE | 2025-03-03 | 136.62 | 0.2163 | 0.4289 | no |
| OKE | 2025-03-03 | 92.86 | 0.2860 | 0.4710 | no |
| ON | 2025-03-03 | 47.59 | 1.0125 | 0.5249 | no |
| PFE | 2025-03-03 | 23.77 | 0.2161 | 0.4913 | no |
| PGR | 2025-03-03 | 264.96 | 0.2187 | 0.4587 | no |
| PH | 2025-03-03 | 665.32 | 0.1792 | 0.5105 | no |
| PNC | 2025-03-03 | 182.72 | 0.1874 | 0.4402 | no |
| PODD | 2025-03-03 | 272.87 | 0.1526 | 0.4524 | no |
| PRU | 2025-03-03 | 107.26 | 0.2233 | 0.4610 | no |
| STX | 2025-03-03 | 100.74 | 0.1710 | 0.5322 | no |
| SWKS | 2025-03-03 | 63.88 | 0.1589 | 0.5473 | no |
| SYY | 2025-03-03 | 72.61 | 0.1499 | 0.4635 | no |
| TER | 2025-03-03 | 110.47 | 0.1793 | 0.5444 | no |
| TFC | 2025-03-03 | 43.51 | 0.3661 | 0.4555 | no |
| TROW | 2025-03-03 | 97.15 | 0.2058 | 0.5056 | no |
| TXN | 2025-03-03 | 190.97 | 0.2078 | 0.5095 | no |
| TXT | 2025-03-03 | 75.36 | 0.1570 | 0.5080 | no |
| TYL | 2025-03-03 | 612.16 | 0.2046 | 0.4569 | no |
| URI | 2025-03-03 | 638.92 | 0.1878 | 0.4268 | no |
| VRSN | 2025-03-03 | 233.64 | 0.4048 | 0.4437 | no |
| VRTX | 2025-03-03 | 477.82 | 0.1580 | 0.4459 | no |
| VTRS | 2025-03-03 | 8.64 | 0.4968 | 0.4257 | no |
| WTW | 2025-03-03 | 333.98 | 0.2611 | 0.4465 | no |
| ZBRA | 2025-03-03 | 315.09 | 0.3718 | 0.4435 | no |