P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 8.01% | 8.01% | 2025-06-24 | -13.05% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 17.66% | 18.20% | 2025-09-23 | -13.05% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 6.48% | 6.48% | 2025-06-24 | -12.30% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 13.40% | 13.70% | 2025-09-23 | -12.30% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 14.11% | 14.11% | 2025-06-24 | -14.75% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 20.05% | 20.43% | 2025-09-22 | -14.75% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 13.49% | 13.49% | 2025-06-24 | -14.52% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 19.13% | 19.63% | 2025-09-22 | -14.52% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABT | 2025-03-24 | 123.21 | 0.2378 | 0.4456 | no |
| ADBE | 2025-03-24 | 392.47 | 0.2502 | 0.4830 | no |
| AMAT | 2025-03-24 | 153.77 | 0.4512 | 0.5623 | no |
| AMD | 2025-03-24 | 109.73 | 0.1846 | 0.5506 | no |
| CAG | 2025-03-24 | 23.00 | 0.1711 | 0.4033 | no |
| CDW | 2025-03-24 | 164.61 | 0.2005 | 0.5087 | no |
| COR | 2025-03-24 | 265.24 | 0.2171 | 0.4035 | no |
| CRWD | 2025-03-24 | 92.50 | 0.5886 | 0.5501 | no |
| DAL | 2025-03-24 | 46.93 | 0.1996 | 0.5352 | no |
| DELL | 2025-03-24 | 97.71 | 0.3029 | 0.4967 | no |
| DG | 2025-03-24 | 79.91 | 0.1995 | 0.5263 | no |
| DLR | 2025-03-24 | 146.10 | 0.2149 | 0.4243 | no |
| EFX | 2025-03-24 | 241.78 | 0.2167 | 0.4913 | no |
| ETN | 2025-03-24 | 295.29 | 0.3817 | 0.5093 | no |
| EVRG | 2025-03-24 | 64.16 | 0.1996 | 0.4806 | no |
| EW | 2025-03-24 | 70.83 | 0.2469 | 0.4360 | no |
| FSLR | 2025-03-24 | 133.71 | 0.6101 | 0.4315 | no |
| GE | 2025-03-24 | 205.57 | 0.2314 | 0.4930 | no |
| GOOGL | 2025-03-24 | 166.29 | 0.1813 | 0.5476 | no |
| HD | 2025-03-24 | 340.79 | 0.3081 | 0.5253 | no |
| HII | 2025-03-24 | 196.81 | 0.4637 | 0.4783 | no |
| HPQ | 2025-03-24 | 27.07 | 0.3726 | 0.4985 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-03-24 | 338.44 | 0.2173 | 0.4993 | no |
| IQV | 2025-03-24 | 187.07 | 0.2763 | 0.4059 | no |
| JBL | 2025-03-24 | 147.70 | 0.1854 | 0.5018 | no |
| LEN | 2025-03-24 | 111.78 | 0.5057 | 0.4484 | no |
| LHX | 2025-03-24 | 203.81 | 0.1814 | 0.5189 | no |
| LMT | 2025-03-24 | 409.09 | 0.2263 | 0.5063 | no |
| LUV | 2025-03-24 | 33.80 | 0.2043 | 0.4915 | no |
| META | 2025-03-24 | 612.49 | 0.2499 | 0.5457 | no |
| MKTX | 2025-03-24 | 211.19 | 0.1762 | 0.5170 | no |
| MLM | 2025-03-24 | 479.66 | 0.2382 | 0.4648 | no |
| MMM | 2025-03-24 | 147.54 | 0.2366 | 0.5132 | no |
| MTCH | 2025-03-24 | 29.94 | 0.3208 | 0.4293 | no |
| NDSN | 2025-03-24 | 201.01 | 0.1719 | 0.4543 | no |
| ON | 2025-03-24 | 45.33 | 0.3156 | 0.5249 | no |
| PCAR | 2025-03-24 | 95.40 | 0.2225 | 0.4821 | no |
| PH | 2025-03-24 | 626.14 | 0.2203 | 0.5100 | no |
| SHW | 2025-03-24 | 335.07 | 0.1890 | 0.4178 | no |
| SPG | 2025-03-24 | 151.49 | 0.2119 | 0.4028 | no |
| SRE | 2025-03-24 | 67.46 | 0.2086 | 0.4583 | no |
| SW | 2025-03-24 | 42.42 | 0.4137 | 0.4430 | no |
| SYY | 2025-03-24 | 68.37 | 0.2437 | 0.4643 | no |
| TJX | 2025-03-24 | 114.85 | 0.2093 | 0.4363 | no |
| TRMB | 2025-03-24 | 72.00 | 0.2577 | 0.4444 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-03-24 | 258.08 | 0.1828 | 0.4910 | no |
| UPS | 2025-03-24 | 104.85 | 0.1992 | 0.4344 | no |
| VRTX | 2025-03-24 | 505.00 | 0.2046 | 0.4459 | no |
| VTRS | 2025-03-24 | 8.67 | 0.5106 | 0.4257 | no |
| WDC | 2025-03-24 | 44.48 | 0.4244 | 0.5369 | no |