P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 22.61% | 23.55% | 2025-07-10 | -4.18% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 26.32% | 28.78% | 2025-09-18 | -5.02% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 18.88% | 20.26% | 2025-07-10 | -4.24% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 23.10% | 25.23% | 2025-10-03 | -4.91% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 21.91% | 23.10% | 2025-07-03 | -3.70% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 24.98% | 27.96% | 2025-10-03 | -3.87% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 20.43% | 22.41% | 2025-07-10 | -3.97% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 25.48% | 27.68% | 2025-10-03 | -3.97% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGN | 2025-04-14 | 166.42 | 0.5824 | 0.4179 | no |
| BAC | 2025-04-14 | 35.32 | 0.2653 | 0.4448 | no |
| BLDR | 2025-04-14 | 123.28 | 0.4853 | 0.4560 | no |
| BX | 2025-04-14 | 124.12 | 0.3487 | 0.4718 | no |
| CAT | 2025-04-14 | 293.51 | 0.3187 | 0.4558 | no |
| CMI | 2025-04-14 | 283.24 | 0.5708 | 0.4659 | no |
| CNP | 2025-04-14 | 35.40 | 0.2672 | 0.4529 | no |
| CRM | 2025-04-14 | 256.96 | 0.4931 | 0.4659 | no |
| CSX | 2025-04-14 | 27.62 | 0.2312 | 0.4129 | no |
| EMR | 2025-04-14 | 99.75 | 0.5283 | 0.4958 | no |
| FDX | 2025-04-14 | 165.65 | 0.2856 | 0.4328 | no |
| FITB | 2025-04-14 | 32.82 | 0.6130 | 0.4116 | no |
| GEHC | 2025-04-14 | 63.74 | 0.3774 | 0.4542 | no |
| GLW | 2025-04-14 | 41.83 | 0.3556 | 0.4870 | no |
| HPE | 2025-04-14 | 14.41 | 0.3204 | 0.4998 | no |
| IR | 2025-04-14 | 73.91 | 0.3239 | 0.4982 | no |
| IRM | 2025-04-14 | 80.70 | 0.2960 | 0.4232 | no |
| J | 2025-04-14 | 115.64 | 0.3386 | 0.4695 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-04-14 | 132.84 | 0.3499 | 0.4363 | no |
| KEY | 2025-04-14 | 13.17 | 0.2309 | 0.4306 | no |
| LEN | 2025-04-14 | 104.32 | 0.7500 | 0.4449 | no |
| LUV | 2025-04-14 | 25.65 | 0.2903 | 0.4589 | no |
| MAS | 2025-04-14 | 61.31 | 0.3541 | 0.4594 | no |
| MDLZ | 2025-04-14 | 64.01 | 0.3235 | 0.4194 | no |
| MGM | 2025-04-14 | 29.97 | 0.3538 | 0.4257 | no |
| MHK | 2025-04-14 | 107.14 | 0.2952 | 0.4526 | no |
| MLM | 2025-04-14 | 490.42 | 0.3466 | 0.4640 | no |
| MTB | 2025-04-14 | 150.37 | 0.8707 | 0.4256 | no |
| NUE | 2025-04-14 | 111.12 | 0.3712 | 0.4347 | no |
| NVR | 2025-04-14 | 7292.50 | 0.2896 | — | no |
| ON | 2025-04-14 | 35.86 | 0.2440 | 0.5112 | no |
| PCAR | 2025-04-14 | 88.23 | 0.2474 | 0.4670 | no |
| PNC | 2025-04-14 | 146.37 | 0.6820 | 0.4333 | no |
| PNR | 2025-04-14 | 82.19 | 0.3578 | 0.4746 | no |
| RF | 2025-04-14 | 18.17 | 0.2986 | 0.4272 | no |
| RJF | 2025-04-14 | 135.62 | 0.2504 | 0.4770 | no |
| RL | 2025-04-14 | 202.33 | 0.2613 | 0.4213 | no |
| ROK | 2025-04-14 | 228.81 | 0.3924 | 0.4548 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-04-14 | 428.90 | 0.3016 | 0.5145 | no |
| STT | 2025-04-14 | 78.26 | 0.2508 | 0.4536 | no |
| SW | 2025-04-14 | 39.95 | 0.2659 | 0.4499 | no |
| SYF | 2025-04-14 | 46.42 | 0.2391 | 0.4579 | no |
| SYK | 2025-04-14 | 350.42 | 0.3111 | 0.4490 | no |
| TGT | 2025-04-14 | 88.76 | 0.4401 | 0.5191 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-04-14 | 258.36 | 0.6735 | 0.4887 | no |
| TT | 2025-04-14 | 346.52 | 0.3110 | 0.4952 | no |
| USB | 2025-04-14 | 36.63 | 0.4357 | 0.4537 | no |
| WBD | 2025-04-14 | 8.10 | 0.4160 | 0.4207 | no |
| WYNN | 2025-04-14 | 73.36 | 0.3451 | 0.4259 | no |
| ZBRA | 2025-04-14 | 233.77 | 0.8041 | 0.4357 | no |