P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 24.82% | 25.44% | 2025-07-10 | -4.28% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 28.62% | 31.75% | 2025-09-18 | -5.69% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 22.94% | 23.91% | 2025-07-10 | -4.57% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 27.84% | 30.15% | 2025-09-18 | -5.10% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 21.23% | 22.30% | 2025-07-03 | -3.75% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 27.09% | 30.51% | 2025-10-03 | -4.41% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 19.84% | 21.30% | 2025-07-03 | -4.16% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 23.42% | 26.50% | 2025-10-03 | -4.16% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGN | 2025-04-14 | 166.42 | 0.4848 | 0.4179 | no |
| APO | 2025-04-14 | 125.01 | 0.3510 | — | no |
| BAC | 2025-04-14 | 35.32 | 0.4177 | 0.4448 | no |
| BLDR | 2025-04-14 | 123.28 | 0.3183 | 0.4560 | no |
| BX | 2025-04-14 | 124.12 | 0.2741 | 0.4718 | no |
| CAT | 2025-04-14 | 293.51 | 0.5206 | 0.4558 | no |
| CBRE | 2025-04-14 | 118.49 | 0.2860 | 0.4141 | no |
| CMI | 2025-04-14 | 283.24 | 0.7271 | 0.4659 | no |
| COP | 2025-04-14 | 84.47 | 0.2665 | 0.4887 | no |
| CRM | 2025-04-14 | 256.96 | 0.3805 | 0.4659 | no |
| DAL | 2025-04-14 | 40.87 | 0.2493 | 0.4714 | no |
| DLR | 2025-04-14 | 140.97 | 0.2706 | 0.4300 | no |
| EMR | 2025-04-14 | 99.75 | 0.6321 | 0.4958 | no |
| ETR | 2025-04-14 | 79.43 | 0.2365 | 0.4425 | no |
| FITB | 2025-04-14 | 32.82 | 0.5902 | 0.4116 | no |
| GEN | 2025-04-14 | 24.07 | 0.2629 | 0.5625 | no |
| GIS | 2025-04-14 | 53.91 | 0.2741 | 0.4198 | no |
| HPE | 2025-04-14 | 14.41 | 0.6682 | 0.4998 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-04-14 | 351.50 | 0.3406 | 0.4942 | no |
| IR | 2025-04-14 | 73.91 | 0.5066 | 0.4982 | no |
| J | 2025-04-14 | 115.64 | 0.4524 | 0.4695 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-04-14 | 132.84 | 0.2876 | 0.4363 | no |
| KEY | 2025-04-14 | 13.17 | 0.2331 | 0.4306 | no |
| LEN | 2025-04-14 | 104.32 | 0.7889 | 0.4449 | no |
| LUV | 2025-04-14 | 25.65 | 0.3182 | 0.4589 | no |
| MAS | 2025-04-14 | 61.31 | 0.3737 | 0.4594 | no |
| MDLZ | 2025-04-14 | 64.01 | 0.2833 | 0.4194 | no |
| MGM | 2025-04-14 | 29.97 | 0.4436 | 0.4257 | no |
| MPWR | 2025-04-14 | 555.67 | 0.4685 | 0.4989 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-04-14 | 26.94 | 0.2687 | 0.4406 | no |
| MTB | 2025-04-14 | 150.37 | 0.8259 | 0.4256 | no |
| NCLH | 2025-04-14 | 16.96 | 0.5337 | 0.4324 | no |
| NRG | 2025-04-14 | 95.62 | 0.2888 | 0.4842 | no |
| NTRS | 2025-04-14 | 86.30 | 0.2822 | 0.4519 | no |
| PLTR | 2025-04-14 | 95.80 | 0.3672 | 0.5568 | no |
| PNC | 2025-04-14 | 146.37 | 0.6202 | 0.4333 | no |
| PNR | 2025-04-14 | 82.19 | 0.5624 | 0.4746 | no |
| RF | 2025-04-14 | 18.17 | 0.3251 | 0.4272 | no |
| ROK | 2025-04-14 | 228.81 | 0.3333 | 0.4548 | no |
| SW | 2025-04-14 | 39.95 | 0.3079 | 0.4499 | no |
| SYF | 2025-04-14 | 46.42 | 0.3818 | 0.4579 | no |
| TGT | 2025-04-14 | 88.76 | 0.4144 | 0.5191 | no |
| TROW | 2025-04-14 | 82.86 | 0.3061 | 0.4889 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-04-14 | 258.36 | 0.5488 | 0.4887 | no |
| USB | 2025-04-14 | 36.63 | 0.3186 | 0.4537 | no |
| VST | 2025-04-14 | 116.55 | 0.2830 | 0.4727 | no |
| WBD | 2025-04-14 | 8.10 | 0.3014 | 0.4207 | no |
| WFC | 2025-04-14 | 61.12 | 0.3368 | 0.4321 | no |
| WYNN | 2025-04-14 | 73.36 | 0.3206 | 0.4259 | no |
| ZBRA | 2025-04-14 | 233.77 | 0.7058 | 0.4357 | no |