P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 24.65% | 25.69% | 2025-07-10 | -4.12% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 33.71% | 35.26% | 2025-10-06 | -4.28% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 20.94% | 22.41% | 2025-07-10 | -4.56% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 27.60% | 29.02% | 2025-10-06 | -4.87% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 20.78% | 22.19% | 2025-07-03 | -4.19% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 24.91% | 26.98% | 2025-10-03 | -4.19% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 20.19% | 21.71% | 2025-07-03 | -4.71% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 21.19% | 22.96% | 2025-10-03 | -4.71% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALB | 2025-04-14 | 56.61 | 0.3191 | 0.4118 | no |
| ALGN | 2025-04-14 | 166.42 | 0.2732 | 0.4179 | no |
| BAC | 2025-04-14 | 35.32 | 0.2631 | 0.4448 | no |
| CAT | 2025-04-14 | 293.51 | 0.2469 | 0.4558 | no |
| CBRE | 2025-04-14 | 118.49 | 0.3457 | 0.4141 | no |
| CMI | 2025-04-14 | 283.24 | 0.2856 | 0.4659 | no |
| CNP | 2025-04-14 | 35.40 | 0.2398 | 0.4529 | no |
| CRM | 2025-04-14 | 256.96 | 0.4685 | 0.4659 | no |
| EMR | 2025-04-14 | 99.75 | 0.7649 | 0.4958 | no |
| FDX | 2025-04-14 | 165.65 | 0.2742 | 0.4328 | no |
| FITB | 2025-04-14 | 32.82 | 0.5485 | 0.4116 | no |
| GEN | 2025-04-14 | 24.07 | 0.2449 | 0.5625 | no |
| GIS | 2025-04-14 | 53.91 | 0.2972 | 0.4198 | no |
| GLW | 2025-04-14 | 41.83 | 0.2242 | 0.4870 | no |
| HD | 2025-04-14 | 343.85 | 0.2182 | 0.5247 | no |
| HPE | 2025-04-14 | 14.41 | 0.6130 | 0.4998 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-04-14 | 351.50 | 0.2723 | 0.4942 | no |
| INTC | 2025-04-14 | 20.59 | 0.2719 | 0.5244 | no |
| IQV | 2025-04-14 | 149.28 | 0.3305 | 0.4118 | no |
| IR | 2025-04-14 | 73.91 | 0.5301 | 0.4982 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-04-14 | 132.84 | 0.4745 | 0.4363 | no |
| KKR | 2025-04-14 | 103.45 | 0.2462 | 0.4711 | no |
| KR | 2025-04-14 | 66.35 | 0.2709 | 0.5386 | no |
| LEN | 2025-04-14 | 104.32 | 0.7524 | 0.4449 | no |
| LUV | 2025-04-14 | 25.65 | 0.2595 | 0.4589 | no |
| MAS | 2025-04-14 | 61.31 | 0.2949 | 0.4594 | no |
| MGM | 2025-04-14 | 29.97 | 0.3527 | 0.4257 | no |
| MLM | 2025-04-14 | 490.42 | 0.2498 | 0.4640 | no |
| MTB | 2025-04-14 | 150.37 | 0.9059 | 0.4256 | no |
| MU | 2025-04-14 | 74.48 | 0.5224 | 0.5160 | no |
| NOW | 2025-04-14 | 160.44 | 0.3303 | 0.4644 | no |
| NVR | 2025-04-14 | 7292.50 | 0.3872 | — | no |
| ON | 2025-04-14 | 35.86 | 0.3372 | 0.5112 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-04-14 | 134.97 | 0.2702 | 0.5326 | no |
| PHM | 2025-04-14 | 95.22 | 0.2233 | 0.4398 | no |
| PNC | 2025-04-14 | 146.37 | 0.8146 | 0.4333 | no |
| PNR | 2025-04-14 | 82.19 | 0.5967 | 0.4746 | no |
| RF | 2025-04-14 | 18.17 | 0.3967 | 0.4272 | no |
| RJF | 2025-04-14 | 135.62 | 0.3360 | 0.4770 | no |
| ROK | 2025-04-14 | 228.81 | 0.5820 | 0.4548 | no |
| STT | 2025-04-14 | 78.26 | 0.2485 | 0.4536 | no |
| SYF | 2025-04-14 | 46.42 | 0.2644 | 0.4579 | no |
| TGT | 2025-04-14 | 88.76 | 0.4120 | 0.5191 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-04-14 | 258.36 | 0.6010 | 0.4887 | no |
| USB | 2025-04-14 | 36.63 | 0.4294 | 0.4537 | no |
| VST | 2025-04-14 | 116.55 | 0.4620 | 0.4727 | no |
| WBD | 2025-04-14 | 8.10 | 0.2457 | 0.4207 | no |
| WFC | 2025-04-14 | 61.12 | 0.2344 | 0.4321 | no |
| WYNN | 2025-04-14 | 73.36 | 0.4101 | 0.4259 | no |
| ZBRA | 2025-04-14 | 233.77 | 0.6478 | 0.4357 | no |