P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 20.13% | 21.37% | 2025-07-10 | -4.82% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 26.18% | 27.66% | 2025-10-06 | -4.82% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 20.76% | 22.28% | 2025-07-10 | -4.17% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 26.53% | 27.94% | 2025-10-06 | -4.48% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 20.20% | 21.09% | 2025-07-10 | -4.89% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 25.35% | 27.84% | 2025-10-03 | -4.89% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 19.47% | 21.06% | 2025-07-10 | -4.54% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 24.20% | 26.72% | 2025-10-03 | -4.54% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABT | 2025-04-14 | 123.01 | 0.2996 | 0.4447 | no |
| AEE | 2025-04-14 | 94.00 | 0.2479 | 0.4551 | no |
| ALB | 2025-04-14 | 56.61 | 0.3060 | 0.4118 | no |
| ALGN | 2025-04-14 | 166.42 | 0.7112 | 0.4179 | no |
| AMAT | 2025-04-14 | 145.24 | 0.5974 | 0.5464 | no |
| BLDR | 2025-04-14 | 123.28 | 0.4154 | 0.4560 | no |
| BX | 2025-04-14 | 124.12 | 0.2434 | 0.4718 | no |
| CMI | 2025-04-14 | 283.24 | 0.2222 | 0.4659 | no |
| DLR | 2025-04-14 | 140.97 | 0.2492 | 0.4300 | no |
| EMR | 2025-04-14 | 99.75 | 0.6579 | 0.4958 | no |
| FITB | 2025-04-14 | 32.82 | 0.6728 | 0.4116 | no |
| GLW | 2025-04-14 | 41.83 | 0.3909 | 0.4870 | no |
| GM | 2025-04-14 | 43.24 | 0.3021 | 0.4472 | no |
| GOOG | 2025-04-14 | 161.55 | 0.3002 | — | no |
| HD | 2025-04-14 | 343.85 | 0.3050 | 0.5247 | no |
| HPE | 2025-04-14 | 14.41 | 0.4980 | 0.4998 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-04-14 | 351.50 | 0.4209 | 0.4942 | no |
| IR | 2025-04-14 | 73.91 | 0.4193 | 0.4982 | no |
| J | 2025-04-14 | 115.64 | 0.2765 | 0.4695 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-04-14 | 132.84 | 0.3519 | 0.4363 | no |
| LEN | 2025-04-14 | 104.32 | 0.7721 | 0.4449 | no |
| LUV | 2025-04-14 | 25.65 | 0.4427 | 0.4589 | no |
| MAS | 2025-04-14 | 61.31 | 0.4006 | 0.4594 | no |
| MDLZ | 2025-04-14 | 64.01 | 0.2438 | 0.4194 | no |
| MGM | 2025-04-14 | 29.97 | 0.2995 | 0.4257 | no |
| MHK | 2025-04-14 | 107.14 | 0.3288 | 0.4526 | no |
| MLM | 2025-04-14 | 490.42 | 0.2622 | 0.4640 | no |
| MPWR | 2025-04-14 | 555.67 | 0.3291 | 0.4989 | no |
| MTB | 2025-04-14 | 150.37 | 0.6450 | 0.4256 | no |
| MU | 2025-04-14 | 74.48 | 0.2636 | 0.5160 | no |
| NOW | 2025-04-14 | 160.44 | 0.2699 | 0.4644 | no |
| NVR | 2025-04-14 | 7292.50 | 0.3410 | — | no |
| ON | 2025-04-14 | 35.86 | 0.3364 | 0.5112 | no |
| PCAR | 2025-04-14 | 88.23 | 0.4560 | 0.4670 | no |
| PNC | 2025-04-14 | 146.37 | 0.7111 | 0.4333 | no |
| PNR | 2025-04-14 | 82.19 | 0.3369 | 0.4746 | no |
| POOL | 2025-04-14 | 303.18 | 0.2464 | 0.4340 | no |
| RJF | 2025-04-14 | 135.62 | 0.3820 | 0.4770 | no |
| ROK | 2025-04-14 | 228.81 | 0.6050 | 0.4548 | no |
| SHW | 2025-04-14 | 334.38 | 0.3004 | 0.4181 | no |
| SMCI | 2025-04-14 | 35.03 | 0.2350 | 0.4724 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-04-14 | 428.90 | 0.2572 | 0.5145 | no |
| SW | 2025-04-14 | 39.95 | 0.4864 | 0.4499 | no |
| SYF | 2025-04-14 | 46.42 | 0.4537 | 0.4579 | no |
| TGT | 2025-04-14 | 88.76 | 0.2729 | 0.5191 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-04-14 | 258.36 | 0.5401 | 0.4887 | no |
| UNH | 2025-04-14 | 571.87 | 0.2469 | 0.4382 | no |
| USB | 2025-04-14 | 36.63 | 0.2555 | 0.4537 | no |
| VST | 2025-04-14 | 116.55 | 0.2916 | 0.4727 | no |
| ZBRA | 2025-04-14 | 233.77 | 1.0645 | 0.4357 | no |