P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 25.55% | 26.99% | 2025-07-10 | -4.32% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 36.64% | 36.64% | 2025-10-21 | -4.32% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 22.45% | 24.57% | 2025-07-10 | -4.29% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 32.03% | 32.03% | 2025-10-21 | -4.54% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 25.29% | 26.59% | 2025-07-03 | -3.53% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 30.68% | 31.59% | 2025-10-03 | -3.87% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 23.64% | 26.32% | 2025-07-10 | -3.41% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 31.49% | 31.76% | 2025-10-03 | -3.61% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 2025-04-21 | 111.32 | 0.3567 | 0.4744 | no |
| ALB | 2025-04-21 | 51.29 | 0.4420 | 0.4100 | no |
| AMZN | 2025-04-21 | 169.60 | 0.8587 | 0.4529 | no |
| ANET | 2025-04-21 | 68.68 | 0.3322 | 0.4848 | no |
| APTV | 2025-04-21 | 51.49 | 0.3533 | 0.4590 | no |
| AVGO | 2025-04-21 | 165.39 | 0.6179 | 0.5073 | no |
| AXP | 2025-04-21 | 245.60 | 0.3088 | 0.4116 | no |
| BLDR | 2025-04-21 | 114.63 | 0.3683 | 0.4542 | no |
| CAG | 2025-04-21 | 22.60 | 0.4155 | 0.4251 | no |
| CMI | 2025-04-21 | 270.63 | 0.4059 | 0.4677 | no |
| CNC | 2025-04-21 | 60.71 | 0.3221 | 0.4375 | no |
| CRM | 2025-04-21 | 237.62 | 0.6077 | 0.4617 | no |
| DIS | 2025-04-21 | 83.34 | 0.5462 | 0.4140 | no |
| DOV | 2025-04-21 | 157.41 | 0.3468 | 0.4963 | no |
| EMR | 2025-04-21 | 95.58 | 0.7185 | 0.4935 | no |
| FCX | 2025-04-21 | 32.66 | 0.5287 | 0.4730 | no |
| GLW | 2025-04-21 | 39.98 | 0.4078 | 0.4862 | no |
| GOOG | 2025-04-21 | 150.26 | 0.4782 | — | no |
| HPE | 2025-04-21 | 14.50 | 0.5996 | 0.4984 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-04-21 | 328.78 | 0.6838 | 0.4913 | no |
| IQV | 2025-04-21 | 142.24 | 0.5239 | 0.4140 | no |
| IRM | 2025-04-21 | 79.59 | 0.4838 | 0.4249 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-04-21 | 125.47 | 0.7456 | 0.4319 | no |
| KKR | 2025-04-21 | 99.99 | 0.5299 | 0.4661 | no |
| KMX | 2025-04-21 | 63.76 | 0.4412 | 0.4482 | no |
| LEN | 2025-04-21 | 100.82 | 0.3686 | 0.4442 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-04-21 | 61.86 | 0.6223 | 0.5224 | no |
| MAS | 2025-04-21 | 59.00 | 0.4993 | 0.4591 | no |
| META | 2025-04-21 | 489.35 | 0.3844 | 0.5206 | no |
| MGM | 2025-04-21 | 28.66 | 0.4759 | 0.4176 | no |
| MHK | 2025-04-21 | 101.08 | 0.3831 | 0.4506 | no |
| MPWR | 2025-04-21 | 508.08 | 0.6964 | 0.4953 | no |
| MTB | 2025-04-21 | 151.99 | 0.3071 | 0.4175 | no |
| NDSN | 2025-04-21 | 175.14 | 0.5917 | 0.4518 | no |
| NOW | 2025-04-21 | 151.87 | 0.6029 | 0.4576 | no |
| NTRS | 2025-04-21 | 84.62 | 0.5108 | 0.4501 | no |
| NVR | 2025-04-21 | 7135.10 | 0.4428 | — | no |
| OXY | 2025-04-21 | 37.92 | 0.4450 | 0.5075 | no |
| PCAR | 2025-04-21 | 84.50 | 0.3420 | 0.4674 | no |
| PLTR | 2025-04-21 | 92.84 | 0.5876 | 0.5620 | no |
| PNC | 2025-04-21 | 144.45 | 0.4535 | 0.4309 | no |
| ROK | 2025-04-21 | 224.04 | 0.4439 | 0.4532 | no |
| SLB | 2025-04-21 | 33.34 | 0.6183 | 0.4161 | no |
| SMCI | 2025-04-21 | 30.75 | 0.4684 | 0.4667 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-04-21 | 406.26 | 0.4366 | 0.5080 | no |
| SPGI | 2025-04-21 | 429.81 | 0.3310 | 0.4961 | no |
| TGT | 2025-04-21 | 87.08 | 0.4725 | 0.5191 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-04-21 | 230.26 | 0.5656 | 0.4927 | no |
| WSM | 2025-04-21 | 134.64 | 0.3843 | 0.4909 | no |
| WYNN | 2025-04-21 | 73.72 | 0.3616 | 0.4161 | no |