P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 30.29% | 31.29% | 2025-07-10 | -3.71% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 47.32% | 47.32% | 2025-10-21 | -4.17% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 25.35% | 27.34% | 2025-07-10 | -3.97% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 39.87% | 39.87% | 2025-10-21 | -4.22% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 24.10% | 25.74% | 2025-07-03 | -3.10% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 33.70% | 34.18% | 2025-10-03 | -4.41% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 23.06% | 25.30% | 2025-07-03 | -3.11% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 30.41% | 30.67% | 2025-10-03 | -4.09% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 2025-04-21 | 133.62 | 0.4471 | 0.5397 | no |
| AMZN | 2025-04-21 | 169.60 | 0.5695 | 0.4529 | no |
| ANET | 2025-04-21 | 68.68 | 0.4161 | 0.4848 | no |
| APO | 2025-04-21 | 121.72 | 0.4433 | — | no |
| APTV | 2025-04-21 | 51.49 | 0.4980 | 0.4590 | no |
| AVGO | 2025-04-21 | 165.39 | 0.4708 | 0.5073 | no |
| CAG | 2025-04-21 | 22.60 | 0.4129 | 0.4251 | no |
| CMI | 2025-04-21 | 270.63 | 0.5855 | 0.4677 | no |
| CRM | 2025-04-21 | 237.62 | 0.3715 | 0.4617 | no |
| DIS | 2025-04-21 | 83.34 | 0.4943 | 0.4140 | no |
| EMR | 2025-04-21 | 95.58 | 0.5933 | 0.4935 | no |
| FCX | 2025-04-21 | 32.66 | 0.7256 | 0.4730 | no |
| FOX | 2025-04-21 | 43.50 | 0.4069 | — | no |
| GIS | 2025-04-21 | 53.38 | 0.3439 | 0.4218 | no |
| GLW | 2025-04-21 | 39.98 | 0.3380 | 0.4862 | no |
| GOOG | 2025-04-21 | 150.26 | 0.4152 | — | no |
| HD | 2025-04-21 | 340.47 | 0.3866 | 0.5247 | no |
| HPE | 2025-04-21 | 14.50 | 0.5079 | 0.4984 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-04-21 | 328.78 | 0.5854 | 0.4913 | no |
| IQV | 2025-04-21 | 142.24 | 0.3372 | 0.4140 | no |
| IR | 2025-04-21 | 70.79 | 0.5492 | 0.4958 | no |
| IRM | 2025-04-21 | 79.59 | 0.5918 | 0.4249 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-04-21 | 125.47 | 0.8405 | 0.4319 | no |
| KKR | 2025-04-21 | 99.99 | 0.4311 | 0.4661 | no |
| KMX | 2025-04-21 | 63.76 | 0.3513 | 0.4482 | no |
| LEN | 2025-04-21 | 100.82 | 0.3461 | 0.4442 | no |
| LH | 2025-04-21 | 212.96 | 0.3792 | 0.4173 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-04-21 | 61.86 | 0.3679 | 0.5224 | no |
| MAS | 2025-04-21 | 59.00 | 0.4684 | 0.4591 | no |
| META | 2025-04-21 | 489.35 | 0.4405 | 0.5206 | no |
| MGM | 2025-04-21 | 28.66 | 0.5813 | 0.4176 | no |
| MPWR | 2025-04-21 | 508.08 | 0.6200 | 0.4953 | no |
| MU | 2025-04-21 | 67.59 | 0.3435 | 0.5130 | no |
| NOW | 2025-04-21 | 151.87 | 0.5345 | 0.4576 | no |
| NTRS | 2025-04-21 | 84.62 | 0.3514 | 0.4501 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-04-21 | 98.52 | 0.3316 | 0.5218 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-04-21 | 125.19 | 0.3813 | 0.5304 | no |
| PKG | 2025-04-21 | 178.84 | 0.3385 | 0.4393 | no |
| PLTR | 2025-04-21 | 92.84 | 0.6807 | 0.5620 | no |
| PNC | 2025-04-21 | 144.45 | 0.4175 | 0.4309 | no |
| RL | 2025-04-21 | 201.86 | 0.4229 | 0.4205 | no |
| SLB | 2025-04-21 | 33.34 | 0.7348 | 0.4161 | no |
| SW | 2025-04-21 | 39.16 | 0.5102 | 0.4508 | no |
| SYF | 2025-04-21 | 46.60 | 0.3492 | 0.4560 | no |
| TGT | 2025-04-21 | 87.08 | 0.5348 | 0.5191 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-04-21 | 230.26 | 0.5050 | 0.4927 | no |
| TT | 2025-04-21 | 326.33 | 0.4473 | 0.4925 | no |
| WDC | 2025-04-21 | 35.91 | 0.7143 | 0.5214 | no |
| WSM | 2025-04-21 | 134.64 | 0.3666 | 0.4909 | no |
| WYNN | 2025-04-21 | 73.72 | 0.4288 | 0.4161 | no |