P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 30.27% | 30.92% | 2025-07-18 | -3.77% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 41.79% | 42.66% | 2025-09-22 | -5.08% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 27.97% | 29.59% | 2025-07-10 | -3.65% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 39.44% | 39.44% | 2025-10-21 | -4.19% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 23.75% | 25.96% | 2025-07-03 | -3.16% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 30.80% | 30.89% | 2025-10-03 | -3.61% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 23.92% | 26.42% | 2025-07-03 | -3.18% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 28.24% | 28.24% | 2025-10-21 | -4.18% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMP | 2025-04-21 | 451.74 | 0.4050 | 0.4655 | no |
| AMZN | 2025-04-21 | 169.60 | 0.5701 | 0.4529 | no |
| AOS | 2025-04-21 | 60.65 | 0.3671 | 0.4535 | no |
| APO | 2025-04-21 | 121.72 | 0.3721 | — | no |
| CAG | 2025-04-21 | 22.60 | 0.4301 | 0.4251 | no |
| CMI | 2025-04-21 | 270.63 | 0.3844 | 0.4677 | no |
| CRM | 2025-04-21 | 237.62 | 0.5366 | 0.4617 | no |
| DIS | 2025-04-21 | 83.34 | 0.4631 | 0.4140 | no |
| DOW | 2025-04-21 | 25.82 | 0.3534 | 0.4170 | no |
| EMR | 2025-04-21 | 95.58 | 0.6788 | 0.4935 | no |
| ETN | 2025-04-21 | 259.55 | 0.4135 | 0.5011 | no |
| FCX | 2025-04-21 | 32.66 | 0.6319 | 0.4730 | no |
| GLW | 2025-04-21 | 39.98 | 0.4457 | 0.4862 | no |
| HPE | 2025-04-21 | 14.50 | 0.6916 | 0.4984 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-04-21 | 328.78 | 0.6165 | 0.4913 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-04-21 | 125.47 | 0.8927 | 0.4319 | no |
| KKR | 2025-04-21 | 99.99 | 0.6435 | 0.4661 | no |
| LH | 2025-04-21 | 212.96 | 0.3442 | 0.4173 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-04-21 | 61.86 | 0.6724 | 0.5224 | no |
| MAS | 2025-04-21 | 59.00 | 0.3940 | 0.4591 | no |
| META | 2025-04-21 | 489.35 | 0.4138 | 0.5206 | no |
| MGM | 2025-04-21 | 28.66 | 0.4993 | 0.4176 | no |
| MPWR | 2025-04-21 | 508.08 | 0.5008 | 0.4953 | no |
| MTB | 2025-04-21 | 151.99 | 0.3920 | 0.4175 | no |
| NCLH | 2025-04-21 | 16.30 | 0.5090 | 0.4232 | no |
| NDSN | 2025-04-21 | 175.14 | 0.5431 | 0.4518 | no |
| NOW | 2025-04-21 | 151.87 | 0.6436 | 0.4576 | no |
| NTRS | 2025-04-21 | 84.62 | 0.4796 | 0.4501 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-04-21 | 125.19 | 0.7332 | 0.5304 | no |
| PCAR | 2025-04-21 | 84.50 | 0.3542 | 0.4674 | no |
| PKG | 2025-04-21 | 178.84 | 0.4485 | 0.4393 | no |
| PLTR | 2025-04-21 | 92.84 | 0.5306 | 0.5620 | no |
| PNC | 2025-04-21 | 144.45 | 0.3840 | 0.4309 | no |
| PTC | 2025-04-21 | 142.19 | 0.4325 | 0.5081 | no |
| QCOM | 2025-04-21 | 130.45 | 0.4070 | 0.5134 | no |
| RJF | 2025-04-21 | 130.15 | 0.6338 | 0.4748 | no |
| RL | 2025-04-21 | 201.86 | 0.4043 | 0.4205 | no |
| ROK | 2025-04-21 | 224.04 | 0.5548 | 0.4532 | no |
| SHW | 2025-04-21 | 327.32 | 0.3455 | 0.4145 | no |
| SW | 2025-04-21 | 39.16 | 0.5191 | 0.4508 | no |
| SYF | 2025-04-21 | 46.60 | 0.4495 | 0.4560 | no |
| TGT | 2025-04-21 | 87.08 | 0.4188 | 0.5191 | no |
| TRMB | 2025-04-21 | 57.53 | 0.3702 | 0.4344 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-04-21 | 230.26 | 0.4100 | 0.4927 | no |
| TT | 2025-04-21 | 326.33 | 0.5266 | 0.4925 | no |
| VST | 2025-04-21 | 111.79 | 0.6485 | 0.4861 | no |
| WBD | 2025-04-21 | 8.06 | 0.3699 | 0.4108 | no |
| WDAY | 2025-04-21 | 218.91 | 0.3529 | 0.4520 | no |
| WDC | 2025-04-21 | 35.91 | 0.5893 | 0.5214 | no |
| WSM | 2025-04-21 | 134.64 | 0.4560 | 0.4909 | no |