P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 19.33% | 19.33% | 2025-07-28 | -4.34% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 32.90% | 33.40% | 2025-10-27 | -4.46% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 21.86% | 21.86% | 2025-07-28 | -4.40% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 35.87% | 36.36% | 2025-10-27 | -4.65% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 16.72% | 17.32% | 2025-07-25 | -3.10% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 23.33% | 24.37% | 2025-10-27 | -4.41% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 16.10% | 16.90% | 2025-07-23 | -3.11% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 21.81% | 22.85% | 2025-10-27 | -4.09% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABT | 2025-04-28 | 125.84 | 0.2840 | 0.4319 | no |
| AEE | 2025-04-28 | 94.15 | 0.2571 | 0.4895 | no |
| AES | 2025-04-28 | 9.32 | 0.3834 | — | no |
| AIZ | 2025-04-28 | 187.54 | 0.2727 | 0.4125 | no |
| ALGN | 2025-04-28 | 183.91 | 0.4628 | 0.4200 | no |
| AMAT | 2025-04-28 | 149.11 | 0.2770 | 0.5384 | no |
| ANET | 2025-04-28 | 76.95 | 0.8602 | 0.4831 | no |
| APO | 2025-04-28 | 131.28 | 0.4104 | — | no |
| APTV | 2025-04-28 | 56.00 | 0.3239 | 0.4548 | no |
| AVGO | 2025-04-28 | 188.70 | 0.3022 | 0.5050 | no |
| BLDR | 2025-04-28 | 121.40 | 0.2574 | 0.4543 | no |
| BX | 2025-04-28 | 127.01 | 0.3822 | 0.4649 | no |
| CDW | 2025-04-28 | 154.70 | 0.3568 | 0.4842 | no |
| CEG | 2025-04-28 | 220.54 | 0.7271 | 0.4899 | no |
| CMI | 2025-04-28 | 285.74 | 0.6978 | 0.4677 | no |
| CRM | 2025-04-28 | 265.01 | 0.4502 | 0.4610 | no |
| DELL | 2025-04-28 | 93.00 | 0.5105 | 0.4819 | no |
| EMN | 2025-04-28 | 70.38 | 0.5323 | 0.4148 | no |
| FCX | 2025-04-28 | 36.54 | 0.3104 | 0.4902 | no |
| FTV | 2025-04-28 | 51.60 | 0.2904 | 0.4918 | no |
| GOOG | 2025-04-28 | 163.49 | 0.2786 | — | no |
| GOOGL | 2025-04-28 | 161.67 | 0.2848 | 0.5149 | no |
| HPQ | 2025-04-28 | 23.55 | 0.2947 | 0.4836 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-04-28 | 353.15 | 0.6066 | 0.4934 | no |
| INTC | 2025-04-28 | 20.12 | 0.3552 | 0.5220 | no |
| IR | 2025-04-28 | 75.11 | 0.2723 | 0.4960 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-04-28 | 128.26 | 0.4626 | 0.4316 | no |
| KKR | 2025-04-28 | 112.86 | 0.4536 | 0.4661 | no |
| LH | 2025-04-28 | 225.81 | 0.3836 | 0.4165 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-04-28 | 70.38 | 0.5597 | 0.5141 | no |
| MAS | 2025-04-28 | 58.87 | 0.6923 | 0.4812 | no |
| MKC | 2025-04-28 | 71.84 | 0.2818 | 0.4113 | no |
| MU | 2025-04-28 | 78.57 | 0.7182 | 0.5118 | no |
| NEE | 2025-04-28 | 63.31 | 0.3382 | 0.4958 | no |
| NTRS | 2025-04-28 | 88.83 | 0.4845 | 0.4367 | no |
| NUE | 2025-04-28 | 113.76 | 0.4688 | 0.4478 | no |
| ODFL | 2025-04-28 | 145.58 | 0.2636 | 0.4271 | no |
| PANW | 2025-04-28 | 178.62 | 0.2708 | 0.5297 | no |
| PKG | 2025-04-28 | 178.35 | 0.6220 | 0.4406 | no |
| SHW | 2025-04-28 | 328.05 | 0.3940 | 0.4130 | no |
| SLB | 2025-04-28 | 33.12 | 0.6296 | 0.4150 | no |
| SMCI | 2025-04-28 | 36.54 | 0.8649 | 0.4627 | no |
| TER | 2025-04-28 | 76.12 | 0.3273 | 0.5263 | no |
| TGT | 2025-04-28 | 90.70 | 0.3062 | 0.5175 | no |
| UNH | 2025-04-28 | 403.44 | 0.2831 | 0.4365 | no |
| UNP | 2025-04-28 | 206.12 | 0.2672 | 0.4094 | no |
| VST | 2025-04-28 | 125.43 | 0.8632 | 0.4941 | no |
| WDC | 2025-04-28 | 40.39 | 0.7184 | 0.5195 | no |
| WSM | 2025-04-28 | 150.61 | 0.5411 | 0.4918 | no |
| ZBRA | 2025-04-28 | 246.00 | 0.4830 | 0.4328 | no |