P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 8.82% | 10.22% | 2025-08-13 | -3.38% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 14.06% | 19.11% | 2025-11-10 | -4.62% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 9.47% | 10.56% | 2025-08-13 | -3.37% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 14.65% | 20.22% | 2025-10-27 | -4.89% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 5.67% | 6.90% | 2025-07-25 | -3.38% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 4.09% | 10.19% | 2025-10-03 | -5.74% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 5.57% | 6.81% | 2025-07-25 | -3.37% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 5.45% | 11.62% | 2025-10-27 | -5.53% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 2025-05-19 | 219.01 | 0.2635 | 0.4878 | no |
| ALGN | 2025-05-19 | 184.33 | 0.3607 | 0.4236 | no |
| ALLE | 2025-05-19 | 141.99 | 0.4040 | 0.4970 | no |
| ANET | 2025-05-19 | 94.43 | 0.3790 | 0.4800 | no |
| APO | 2025-05-19 | 137.75 | 0.2734 | — | no |
| BBY | 2025-05-19 | 66.88 | 0.4721 | 0.4502 | no |
| BLDR | 2025-05-19 | 116.89 | 0.4496 | 0.4463 | no |
| BRO | 2025-05-19 | 110.69 | 0.3812 | 0.4811 | no |
| BX | 2025-05-19 | 136.68 | 0.3736 | 0.4643 | no |
| C | 2025-05-19 | 72.97 | 0.4189 | 0.4478 | no |
| CPRT | 2025-05-19 | 63.46 | 0.2982 | 0.4823 | no |
| CTAS | 2025-05-19 | 218.21 | 0.3530 | 0.4837 | no |
| DELL | 2025-05-19 | 109.57 | 0.4215 | 0.4776 | no |
| DG | 2025-05-19 | 91.31 | 0.2741 | 0.5302 | no |
| EFX | 2025-05-19 | 269.85 | 0.3756 | 0.4797 | no |
| EIX | 2025-05-19 | 54.02 | 0.2927 | 0.4914 | no |
| ETN | 2025-05-19 | 318.73 | 0.2691 | 0.5007 | no |
| FCX | 2025-05-19 | 36.88 | 0.4071 | 0.4847 | no |
| FDX | 2025-05-19 | 176.63 | 0.3524 | 0.4307 | no |
| FOX | 2025-05-19 | 50.73 | 0.3479 | — | no |
| GE | 2025-05-19 | 228.01 | 0.4209 | 0.5124 | no |
| GS | 2025-05-19 | 591.31 | 0.2701 | 0.4543 | no |
| HII | 2025-05-19 | 223.33 | 0.3233 | 0.5177 | no |
| HPQ | 2025-05-19 | 26.86 | 0.3984 | 0.4814 | no |
| JPM | 2025-05-19 | 259.32 | 0.3705 | 0.4380 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-05-19 | 82.04 | 0.3370 | 0.5128 | no |
| LULU | 2025-05-19 | 316.26 | 0.5248 | 0.4137 | no |
| MPC | 2025-05-19 | 158.50 | 0.4452 | 0.4294 | no |
| MPWR | 2025-05-19 | 686.51 | 0.2834 | 0.4822 | no |
| MRK | 2025-05-19 | 72.35 | 0.3405 | 0.4719 | no |
| MU | 2025-05-19 | 95.47 | 0.3237 | 0.5101 | no |
| NTAP | 2025-05-19 | 97.43 | 0.4236 | 0.4849 | no |
| NUE | 2025-05-19 | 111.98 | 0.3462 | 0.4631 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-05-19 | 132.06 | 0.3123 | 0.5141 | no |
| PANW | 2025-05-19 | 190.49 | 0.3600 | 0.5394 | no |
| PCG | 2025-05-19 | 17.51 | 0.2709 | 0.4993 | no |
| PNR | 2025-05-19 | 97.82 | 0.3884 | 0.4802 | no |
| RCL | 2025-05-19 | 244.56 | 0.3034 | 0.4404 | no |
| RL | 2025-05-19 | 267.99 | 0.3203 | 0.4195 | no |
| SCHW | 2025-05-19 | 87.20 | 0.5160 | 0.4817 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-05-19 | 507.50 | 0.3261 | 0.5141 | no |
| STZ | 2025-05-19 | 189.05 | 0.3464 | 0.4183 | no |
| SW | 2025-05-19 | 44.38 | 0.5001 | 0.4467 | no |
| SYK | 2025-05-19 | 387.57 | 0.3106 | 0.4410 | no |
| TER | 2025-05-19 | 80.20 | 0.3006 | 0.4960 | no |
| TRV | 2025-05-19 | 267.44 | 0.2891 | 0.4929 | no |
| VLO | 2025-05-19 | 129.08 | 0.3165 | 0.4133 | no |
| VMC | 2025-05-19 | 269.40 | 0.4086 | 0.4851 | no |
| VST | 2025-05-19 | 149.40 | 0.4304 | 0.5011 | no |
| WDC | 2025-05-19 | 48.82 | 0.3967 | 0.5117 | no |