P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 8.95% | 10.51% | 2025-08-13 | -2.66% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 12.89% | 17.63% | 2025-11-10 | -4.37% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 10.27% | 11.88% | 2025-08-13 | -2.71% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 14.37% | 18.92% | 2025-10-27 | -4.05% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 8.52% | 8.52% | 2025-08-19 | -2.66% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 10.55% | 14.20% | 2025-10-27 | -4.41% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 6.34% | 6.89% | 2025-07-23 | -3.34% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 7.69% | 12.32% | 2025-10-27 | -4.54% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGN | 2025-05-19 | 184.33 | 0.4278 | 0.4236 | no |
| ALLE | 2025-05-19 | 141.99 | 0.4684 | 0.4970 | no |
| ANET | 2025-05-19 | 94.43 | 0.5397 | 0.4800 | no |
| AWK | 2025-05-19 | 137.66 | 0.2963 | 0.4820 | no |
| BBY | 2025-05-19 | 66.88 | 0.4267 | 0.4502 | no |
| BDX | 2025-05-19 | 132.42 | 0.3758 | 0.4476 | no |
| BRO | 2025-05-19 | 110.69 | 0.3120 | 0.4811 | no |
| BSX | 2025-05-19 | 105.69 | 0.2786 | 0.4225 | no |
| BX | 2025-05-19 | 136.68 | 0.3255 | 0.4643 | no |
| C | 2025-05-19 | 72.97 | 0.4576 | 0.4478 | no |
| CPRT | 2025-05-19 | 63.46 | 0.4171 | 0.4823 | no |
| CTAS | 2025-05-19 | 218.21 | 0.3057 | 0.4837 | no |
| DELL | 2025-05-19 | 109.57 | 0.7095 | 0.4776 | no |
| DLR | 2025-05-19 | 161.42 | 0.2795 | 0.4237 | no |
| ED | 2025-05-19 | 100.17 | 0.3755 | — | no |
| EIX | 2025-05-19 | 54.02 | 0.3100 | 0.4914 | no |
| EMR | 2025-05-19 | 116.62 | 0.3380 | 0.4974 | no |
| ETN | 2025-05-19 | 318.73 | 0.3874 | 0.5007 | no |
| FCX | 2025-05-19 | 36.88 | 0.3475 | 0.4847 | no |
| GD | 2025-05-19 | 274.45 | 0.2856 | 0.5526 | no |
| GE | 2025-05-19 | 228.01 | 0.3610 | 0.5124 | no |
| HD | 2025-05-19 | 359.60 | 0.3044 | 0.5235 | no |
| HII | 2025-05-19 | 223.33 | 0.4288 | 0.5177 | no |
| HPQ | 2025-05-19 | 26.86 | 0.6154 | 0.4814 | no |
| KEYS | 2025-05-19 | 162.09 | 0.3700 | 0.4854 | no |
| KKR | 2025-05-19 | 121.61 | 0.2805 | 0.4874 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-05-19 | 82.04 | 0.2921 | 0.5128 | no |
| LULU | 2025-05-19 | 316.26 | 0.6451 | 0.4137 | no |
| META | 2025-05-19 | 625.72 | 0.4329 | 0.4906 | no |
| MPC | 2025-05-19 | 158.50 | 0.3696 | 0.4294 | no |
| MRK | 2025-05-19 | 72.35 | 0.3192 | 0.4719 | no |
| MS | 2025-05-19 | 126.53 | 0.4742 | 0.4512 | no |
| NTAP | 2025-05-19 | 97.43 | 0.5852 | 0.4849 | no |
| NTRS | 2025-05-19 | 103.66 | 0.3492 | 0.4344 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-05-19 | 132.06 | 0.4339 | 0.5141 | no |
| NVR | 2025-05-19 | 7275.00 | 0.3451 | — | no |
| ORCL | 2025-05-19 | 156.18 | 0.3089 | 0.5318 | no |
| PCG | 2025-05-19 | 17.51 | 0.3594 | 0.4993 | no |
| PM | 2025-05-19 | 163.80 | 0.2958 | 0.4338 | no |
| PNR | 2025-05-19 | 97.82 | 0.2635 | 0.4802 | no |
| RL | 2025-05-19 | 267.99 | 0.4826 | 0.4195 | no |
| SCHW | 2025-05-19 | 87.20 | 0.5903 | 0.4817 | no |
| STZ | 2025-05-19 | 189.05 | 0.2866 | 0.4183 | no |
| TER | 2025-05-19 | 80.20 | 0.4308 | 0.4960 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-05-19 | 336.30 | 0.3065 | 0.4282 | no |
| VLO | 2025-05-19 | 129.08 | 0.4790 | 0.4133 | no |
| VMC | 2025-05-19 | 269.40 | 0.3912 | 0.4851 | no |
| VST | 2025-05-19 | 149.40 | 0.4347 | 0.5011 | no |
| VTRS | 2025-05-19 | 8.26 | 0.3519 | 0.4785 | no |
| WDC | 2025-05-19 | 48.82 | 0.4309 | 0.5117 | no |