P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 8.19% | 9.52% | 2025-08-13 | -2.82% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 12.01% | 16.71% | 2025-10-29 | -4.30% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 8.35% | 9.47% | 2025-08-13 | -2.87% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 12.51% | 17.47% | 2025-10-27 | -4.49% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 6.68% | 6.68% | 2025-08-19 | -2.86% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 7.59% | 11.61% | 2025-10-27 | -3.68% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 5.84% | 7.28% | 2025-07-03 | -4.18% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 4.78% | 9.74% | 2025-10-27 | -4.53% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABBV | 2025-05-19 | 177.15 | 0.2708 | 0.4469 | no |
| ALGN | 2025-05-19 | 184.33 | 0.5410 | 0.4236 | no |
| ALLE | 2025-05-19 | 141.99 | 0.3783 | 0.4970 | no |
| ANET | 2025-05-19 | 94.43 | 0.5885 | 0.4800 | no |
| APO | 2025-05-19 | 137.75 | 0.3815 | — | no |
| AWK | 2025-05-19 | 137.66 | 0.2983 | 0.4820 | no |
| BBY | 2025-05-19 | 66.88 | 0.4646 | 0.4502 | no |
| BSX | 2025-05-19 | 105.69 | 0.4127 | 0.4225 | no |
| C | 2025-05-19 | 72.97 | 0.3953 | 0.4478 | no |
| CPRT | 2025-05-19 | 63.46 | 0.4597 | 0.4823 | no |
| CTAS | 2025-05-19 | 218.21 | 0.2807 | 0.4837 | no |
| DELL | 2025-05-19 | 109.57 | 0.2948 | 0.4776 | no |
| DTE | 2025-05-19 | 132.11 | 0.2619 | 0.4907 | no |
| ED | 2025-05-19 | 100.17 | 0.3295 | — | no |
| EFX | 2025-05-19 | 269.85 | 0.2620 | 0.4797 | no |
| EIX | 2025-05-19 | 54.02 | 0.3581 | 0.4914 | no |
| ETN | 2025-05-19 | 318.73 | 0.3791 | 0.5007 | no |
| FCX | 2025-05-19 | 36.88 | 0.3032 | 0.4847 | no |
| FOX | 2025-05-19 | 50.73 | 0.3158 | — | no |
| GE | 2025-05-19 | 228.01 | 0.5239 | 0.5124 | no |
| GILD | 2025-05-19 | 99.12 | 0.4208 | 0.4286 | no |
| GS | 2025-05-19 | 591.31 | 0.3324 | 0.4543 | no |
| HD | 2025-05-19 | 359.60 | 0.2845 | 0.5235 | no |
| HII | 2025-05-19 | 223.33 | 0.2546 | 0.5177 | no |
| HPE | 2025-05-19 | 16.84 | 0.2846 | 0.4873 | no |
| HPQ | 2025-05-19 | 26.86 | 0.3587 | 0.4814 | no |
| JPM | 2025-05-19 | 259.32 | 0.2927 | 0.4380 | no |
| KHC | 2025-05-19 | 25.26 | 0.2755 | — | no |
| KMB | 2025-05-19 | 131.68 | 0.2705 | 0.4175 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-05-19 | 82.04 | 0.2896 | 0.5128 | no |
| LULU | 2025-05-19 | 316.26 | 0.5748 | 0.4137 | no |
| LUV | 2025-05-19 | 31.45 | 0.3208 | 0.4875 | no |
| META | 2025-05-19 | 625.72 | 0.4010 | 0.4906 | no |
| MPC | 2025-05-19 | 158.50 | 0.3528 | 0.4294 | no |
| MS | 2025-05-19 | 126.53 | 0.4148 | 0.4512 | no |
| NOW | 2025-05-19 | 205.79 | 0.3530 | 0.4545 | no |
| NTAP | 2025-05-19 | 97.43 | 0.3456 | 0.4849 | no |
| NUE | 2025-05-19 | 111.98 | 0.3416 | 0.4631 | no |
| NVR | 2025-05-19 | 7275.00 | 0.3184 | — | no |
| ORCL | 2025-05-19 | 156.18 | 0.4147 | 0.5318 | no |
| PKG | 2025-05-19 | 185.09 | 0.3222 | 0.4433 | no |
| PNR | 2025-05-19 | 97.82 | 0.3563 | 0.4802 | no |
| SCHW | 2025-05-19 | 87.20 | 0.6147 | 0.4817 | no |
| SRE | 2025-05-19 | 74.57 | 0.3541 | 0.4993 | no |
| STZ | 2025-05-19 | 189.05 | 0.3403 | 0.4183 | no |
| TER | 2025-05-19 | 80.20 | 0.3346 | 0.4960 | no |
| VLO | 2025-05-19 | 129.08 | 0.5308 | 0.4133 | no |
| VMC | 2025-05-19 | 269.40 | 0.2542 | 0.4851 | no |
| VST | 2025-05-19 | 149.40 | 0.5908 | 0.5011 | no |
| WDC | 2025-05-19 | 48.82 | 0.4412 | 0.5117 | no |