P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 7.28% | 8.83% | 2025-07-28 | -3.21% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 11.25% | 17.49% | 2025-10-27 | -5.52% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 9.25% | 11.72% | 2025-07-28 | -4.07% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 15.73% | 22.25% | 2025-10-27 | -5.44% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 7.09% | 7.40% | 2025-08-13 | -3.19% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 9.97% | 13.52% | 2025-11-12 | -3.89% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 6.03% | 6.72% | 2025-08-13 | -3.18% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 8.27% | 12.45% | 2025-10-27 | -3.94% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 2025-05-19 | 219.01 | 0.3808 | 0.4878 | no |
| ALGN | 2025-05-19 | 184.33 | 0.5065 | 0.4236 | no |
| ALLE | 2025-05-19 | 141.99 | 0.3200 | 0.4970 | no |
| ANET | 2025-05-19 | 94.43 | 0.2892 | 0.4800 | no |
| APA | 2025-05-19 | 16.52 | 0.3247 | 0.4345 | no |
| AVGO | 2025-05-19 | 219.72 | 0.3802 | 0.5016 | no |
| AWK | 2025-05-19 | 137.66 | 0.2900 | 0.4820 | no |
| BBY | 2025-05-19 | 66.88 | 0.2994 | 0.4502 | no |
| BRO | 2025-05-19 | 110.69 | 0.3711 | 0.4811 | no |
| BSX | 2025-05-19 | 105.69 | 0.3952 | 0.4225 | no |
| BX | 2025-05-19 | 136.68 | 0.3029 | 0.4643 | no |
| C | 2025-05-19 | 72.97 | 0.4940 | 0.4478 | no |
| CTAS | 2025-05-19 | 218.21 | 0.3296 | 0.4837 | no |
| DELL | 2025-05-19 | 109.57 | 0.4036 | 0.4776 | no |
| DTE | 2025-05-19 | 132.11 | 0.2564 | 0.4907 | no |
| ED | 2025-05-19 | 100.17 | 0.2506 | — | no |
| EIX | 2025-05-19 | 54.02 | 0.2846 | 0.4914 | no |
| ETN | 2025-05-19 | 318.73 | 0.3995 | 0.5007 | no |
| FCX | 2025-05-19 | 36.88 | 0.4338 | 0.4847 | no |
| GE | 2025-05-19 | 228.01 | 0.4940 | 0.5124 | no |
| GS | 2025-05-19 | 591.31 | 0.3011 | 0.4543 | no |
| JPM | 2025-05-19 | 259.32 | 0.2787 | 0.4380 | no |
| KMB | 2025-05-19 | 131.68 | 0.2710 | 0.4175 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-05-19 | 82.04 | 0.3714 | 0.5128 | no |
| LULU | 2025-05-19 | 316.26 | 0.6370 | 0.4137 | no |
| MOH | 2025-05-19 | 323.92 | 0.2490 | 0.4384 | no |
| MPC | 2025-05-19 | 158.50 | 0.5437 | 0.4294 | no |
| MS | 2025-05-19 | 126.53 | 0.3365 | 0.4512 | no |
| MU | 2025-05-19 | 95.47 | 0.3034 | 0.5101 | no |
| NOW | 2025-05-19 | 205.79 | 0.3267 | 0.4545 | no |
| NTAP | 2025-05-19 | 97.43 | 0.4085 | 0.4849 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-05-19 | 132.06 | 0.2527 | 0.5141 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-05-19 | 156.18 | 0.3560 | 0.5318 | no |
| PANW | 2025-05-19 | 190.49 | 0.2896 | 0.5394 | no |
| PCG | 2025-05-19 | 17.51 | 0.3487 | 0.4993 | no |
| PNR | 2025-05-19 | 97.82 | 0.5295 | 0.4802 | no |
| RCL | 2025-05-19 | 244.56 | 0.3338 | 0.4404 | no |
| RL | 2025-05-19 | 267.99 | 0.3075 | 0.4195 | no |
| SCHW | 2025-05-19 | 87.20 | 0.7334 | 0.4817 | no |
| SMCI | 2025-05-19 | 44.23 | 0.3927 | 0.4260 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-05-19 | 507.50 | 0.2702 | 0.5141 | no |
| STZ | 2025-05-19 | 189.05 | 0.2961 | 0.4183 | no |
| SW | 2025-05-19 | 44.38 | 0.4011 | 0.4467 | no |
| SYK | 2025-05-19 | 387.57 | 0.2609 | 0.4410 | no |
| SYY | 2025-05-19 | 69.70 | 0.3587 | 0.4840 | no |
| TRMB | 2025-05-19 | 70.73 | 0.3068 | 0.4394 | no |
| TRV | 2025-05-19 | 267.44 | 0.2833 | 0.4929 | no |
| VLO | 2025-05-19 | 129.08 | 0.4740 | 0.4133 | no |
| VMC | 2025-05-19 | 269.40 | 0.4255 | 0.4851 | no |
| WDC | 2025-05-19 | 48.82 | 0.3304 | 0.5117 | no |