P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.72% | 5.16% | 2025-10-08 | -3.91% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 9.02% | 9.30% | 2026-01-12 | -7.41% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.81% | 4.02% | 2025-10-03 | -3.38% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 7.84% | 7.96% | 2026-01-12 | -6.47% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 2.44% | 4.88% | 2025-10-03 | -3.87% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 6.92% | 6.92% | 2026-01-14 | -7.28% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.92% | 5.74% | 2025-10-03 | -3.61% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.16% | 9.16% | 2026-01-14 | -6.93% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALL | 2025-07-14 | 187.99 | 0.1989 | 0.4744 | no |
| AMD | 2025-07-14 | 145.09 | 0.1837 | 0.5477 | no |
| AZO | 2025-07-14 | 3711.21 | 0.3015 | 0.4899 | no |
| BDX | 2025-07-14 | 133.47 | 0.1904 | 0.4056 | no |
| BF.B | 2025-07-14 | 27.82 | 0.2068 | — | no |
| BKNG | 2025-07-14 | 225.44 | 0.1757 | 0.4619 | no |
| BLDR | 2025-07-14 | 132.60 | 0.2212 | 0.4461 | no |
| BRK.B | 2025-07-14 | 474.32 | 0.2828 | — | no |
| BX | 2025-07-14 | 154.74 | 0.2696 | 0.4834 | no |
| CAG | 2025-07-14 | 17.73 | 0.7721 | 0.4280 | no |
| CAT | 2025-07-14 | 398.93 | 0.2682 | 0.4567 | no |
| CCL | 2025-07-14 | 28.21 | 0.2241 | 0.4144 | no |
| CNC | 2025-07-14 | 31.46 | 0.2069 | 0.4022 | no |
| CSCO | 2025-07-14 | 66.45 | 0.1690 | 0.5303 | no |
| DASH | 2025-07-14 | 240.15 | 0.1903 | 0.4697 | no |
| DELL | 2025-07-14 | 124.10 | 0.2840 | 0.5071 | no |
| DLTR | 2025-07-14 | 109.18 | 0.2398 | 0.5342 | no |
| EFX | 2025-07-14 | 254.50 | 0.1851 | 0.4689 | no |
| EIX | 2025-07-14 | 48.27 | 0.5260 | 0.4423 | no |
| EMN | 2025-07-14 | 74.92 | 0.1771 | 0.4068 | no |
| EMR | 2025-07-14 | 136.90 | 0.1962 | 0.5005 | no |
| ENPH | 2025-07-14 | 41.99 | 0.5301 | 0.4321 | no |
| FICO | 2025-07-14 | 1540.67 | 0.5616 | 0.4580 | no |
| FTV | 2025-07-14 | 51.98 | 0.2504 | 0.5048 | no |
| INVH | 2025-07-14 | 30.98 | 0.1997 | 0.4077 | no |
| JBL | 2025-07-14 | 220.62 | 0.2746 | 0.5029 | no |
| MA | 2025-07-14 | 547.09 | 0.2364 | 0.4215 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-07-14 | 71.21 | 0.2179 | 0.5522 | no |
| MSFT | 2025-07-14 | 496.61 | 0.3182 | 0.4670 | no |
| MTCH | 2025-07-14 | 31.82 | 0.2329 | 0.4259 | no |
| MU | 2025-07-14 | 120.19 | 0.2259 | 0.5678 | no |
| NFLX | 2025-07-14 | 124.49 | 0.2593 | — | no |
| ON | 2025-07-14 | 59.13 | 0.1742 | 0.5414 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-07-14 | 226.86 | 0.5088 | 0.5227 | no |
| PEG | 2025-07-14 | 78.68 | 0.2080 | 0.4656 | no |
| PGR | 2025-07-14 | 230.05 | 0.1965 | — | no |
| PNC | 2025-07-14 | 189.66 | 0.2412 | 0.4417 | no |
| POOL | 2025-07-14 | 295.48 | 0.3335 | 0.4161 | no |
| RF | 2025-07-14 | 23.45 | 0.1725 | 0.4409 | no |
| RJF | 2025-07-14 | 156.70 | 0.2737 | 0.4933 | no |
| RL | 2025-07-14 | 283.99 | 0.3553 | 0.4263 | no |
| ROST | 2025-07-14 | 129.45 | 0.2441 | 0.4272 | no |
| SCHW | 2025-07-14 | 90.66 | 0.2031 | 0.5059 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-07-14 | 575.00 | 0.2113 | 0.5031 | no |
| TEL | 2025-07-14 | 175.03 | 0.3355 | 0.4543 | no |
| TRMB | 2025-07-14 | 79.91 | 0.3009 | 0.4463 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-07-14 | 317.73 | 0.6829 | 0.4583 | no |
| TT | 2025-07-14 | 432.52 | 0.1999 | 0.5009 | no |
| WAB | 2025-07-14 | 211.71 | 0.1894 | 0.4694 | no |
| WSM | 2025-07-14 | 170.81 | 0.3070 | 0.5054 | no |