P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.76% | 6.90% | 2025-10-08 | -3.93% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 10.28% | 10.76% | 2026-01-06 | -6.59% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.74% | 5.60% | 2025-10-08 | -3.52% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.40% | 9.40% | 2026-01-14 | -6.72% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 5.04% | 7.87% | 2025-10-03 | -4.41% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 11.00% | 11.00% | 2026-01-14 | -5.39% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.06% | 5.63% | 2025-10-03 | -4.09% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 8.51% | 8.51% | 2026-01-14 | -6.10% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACGL | 2025-07-14 | 87.64 | 0.2392 | 0.4500 | no |
| AJG | 2025-07-14 | 306.89 | 0.3535 | 0.4778 | no |
| ALL | 2025-07-14 | 187.99 | 0.2202 | 0.4744 | no |
| AMD | 2025-07-14 | 145.09 | 0.3916 | 0.5477 | no |
| AXON | 2025-07-14 | 727.10 | 0.2089 | 0.4756 | no |
| AZO | 2025-07-14 | 3711.21 | 0.2767 | 0.4899 | no |
| BDX | 2025-07-14 | 133.47 | 0.2338 | 0.4056 | no |
| BRK.B | 2025-07-14 | 474.32 | 0.2471 | — | no |
| BX | 2025-07-14 | 154.74 | 0.3110 | 0.4834 | no |
| CAG | 2025-07-14 | 17.73 | 0.5661 | 0.4280 | no |
| CB | 2025-07-14 | 275.42 | 0.1906 | 0.4798 | no |
| CCL | 2025-07-14 | 28.21 | 0.2890 | 0.4144 | no |
| CNC | 2025-07-14 | 31.46 | 0.2611 | 0.4022 | no |
| CSCO | 2025-07-14 | 66.45 | 0.2404 | 0.5303 | no |
| DELL | 2025-07-14 | 124.10 | 0.2629 | 0.5071 | no |
| DLTR | 2025-07-14 | 109.18 | 0.3125 | 0.5342 | no |
| DOW | 2025-07-14 | 27.48 | 0.2306 | 0.4116 | no |
| EIX | 2025-07-14 | 48.27 | 0.2277 | 0.4423 | no |
| ENPH | 2025-07-14 | 41.99 | 0.2732 | 0.4321 | no |
| EQT | 2025-07-14 | 54.64 | 0.2087 | 0.4750 | no |
| FICO | 2025-07-14 | 1540.67 | 0.4820 | 0.4580 | no |
| FIS | 2025-07-14 | 75.70 | 0.2270 | 0.4161 | no |
| GEHC | 2025-07-14 | 74.63 | 0.1797 | 0.4025 | no |
| INVH | 2025-07-14 | 30.98 | 0.1956 | 0.4077 | no |
| JBL | 2025-07-14 | 220.62 | 0.2772 | 0.5029 | no |
| LLY | 2025-07-14 | 783.33 | 0.2445 | 0.4164 | no |
| LVS | 2025-07-14 | 48.37 | 0.2945 | 0.4320 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-07-14 | 71.21 | 0.3181 | 0.5522 | no |
| MSFT | 2025-07-14 | 496.61 | 0.1705 | 0.4670 | no |
| MU | 2025-07-14 | 120.19 | 0.3651 | 0.5678 | no |
| NFLX | 2025-07-14 | 124.49 | 0.1797 | — | no |
| NI | 2025-07-14 | 38.37 | 0.3035 | 0.4612 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-07-14 | 226.86 | 0.4498 | 0.5227 | no |
| PAYC | 2025-07-14 | 217.82 | 0.2167 | 0.4432 | no |
| PH | 2025-07-14 | 705.65 | 0.1857 | 0.5069 | no |
| PNC | 2025-07-14 | 189.66 | 0.2006 | 0.4417 | no |
| POOL | 2025-07-14 | 295.48 | 0.2904 | 0.4161 | no |
| QCOM | 2025-07-14 | 152.36 | 0.1728 | 0.5474 | no |
| RJF | 2025-07-14 | 156.70 | 0.2034 | 0.4933 | no |
| STX | 2025-07-14 | 147.33 | 0.2421 | 0.5641 | no |
| SWKS | 2025-07-14 | 71.95 | 0.1927 | 0.5415 | no |
| TEL | 2025-07-14 | 175.03 | 0.3847 | 0.4543 | no |
| TRMB | 2025-07-14 | 79.91 | 0.4332 | 0.4463 | no |
| TROW | 2025-07-14 | 94.82 | 0.2086 | 0.5135 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-07-14 | 317.73 | 0.7356 | 0.4583 | no |
| TT | 2025-07-14 | 432.52 | 0.2761 | 0.5009 | no |
| UBER | 2025-07-14 | 95.19 | 0.2785 | 0.5437 | no |
| VST | 2025-07-14 | 195.52 | 0.2763 | 0.4789 | no |
| VTRS | 2025-07-14 | 8.66 | 0.1832 | 0.4595 | no |
| WSM | 2025-07-14 | 170.81 | 0.3135 | 0.5054 | no |