P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.81% | 5.94% | 2025-10-08 | -4.08% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 8.04% | 8.77% | 2026-01-06 | -7.77% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.59% | 6.07% | 2025-10-06 | -4.24% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 10.07% | 10.07% | 2026-01-14 | -7.80% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.30% | 6.38% | 2025-10-03 | -3.89% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 11.02% | 11.85% | 2026-01-06 | -5.31% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.82% | 5.92% | 2025-10-03 | -3.67% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.26% | 9.95% | 2026-01-06 | -5.67% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG | 2025-07-14 | 306.89 | 0.2634 | 0.4778 | no |
| AMD | 2025-07-14 | 145.09 | 0.2037 | 0.5477 | no |
| AZO | 2025-07-14 | 3711.21 | 0.2011 | 0.4899 | no |
| BF.B | 2025-07-14 | 27.82 | 0.1754 | — | no |
| BRK.B | 2025-07-14 | 474.32 | 0.2993 | — | no |
| BX | 2025-07-14 | 154.74 | 0.3846 | 0.4834 | no |
| CAG | 2025-07-14 | 17.73 | 0.5723 | 0.4280 | no |
| CARR | 2025-07-14 | 74.91 | 0.2114 | 0.4990 | no |
| CCL | 2025-07-14 | 28.21 | 0.3223 | 0.4144 | no |
| CEG | 2025-07-14 | 319.90 | 0.1864 | 0.4565 | no |
| CME | 2025-07-14 | 264.84 | 0.1744 | 0.5311 | no |
| CNC | 2025-07-14 | 31.46 | 0.3107 | 0.4022 | no |
| CSCO | 2025-07-14 | 66.45 | 0.2668 | 0.5303 | no |
| DELL | 2025-07-14 | 124.10 | 0.4466 | 0.5071 | no |
| DLTR | 2025-07-14 | 109.18 | 0.3329 | 0.5342 | no |
| ENPH | 2025-07-14 | 41.99 | 0.4163 | 0.4321 | no |
| FICO | 2025-07-14 | 1540.67 | 0.3088 | 0.4580 | no |
| FIS | 2025-07-14 | 75.70 | 0.1735 | 0.4161 | no |
| FTV | 2025-07-14 | 51.98 | 0.2328 | 0.5048 | no |
| IBM | 2025-07-14 | 273.81 | 0.2307 | 0.4698 | no |
| INVH | 2025-07-14 | 30.98 | 0.1812 | 0.4077 | no |
| JBL | 2025-07-14 | 220.62 | 0.3262 | 0.5029 | no |
| KMI | 2025-07-14 | 26.47 | 0.2100 | 0.5133 | no |
| LII | 2025-07-14 | 609.35 | 0.2130 | 0.4872 | no |
| LVS | 2025-07-14 | 48.37 | 0.2465 | 0.4320 | no |
| MA | 2025-07-14 | 547.09 | 0.1776 | 0.4215 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-07-14 | 71.21 | 0.2785 | 0.5522 | no |
| MOS | 2025-07-14 | 34.81 | 0.1968 | 0.4145 | no |
| MSFT | 2025-07-14 | 496.61 | 0.1917 | 0.4670 | no |
| MTCH | 2025-07-14 | 31.82 | 0.2130 | 0.4259 | no |
| MU | 2025-07-14 | 120.19 | 0.2252 | 0.5678 | no |
| NFLX | 2025-07-14 | 124.49 | 0.2615 | — | no |
| NOW | 2025-07-14 | 187.74 | 0.1845 | 0.4479 | no |
| NXPI | 2025-07-14 | 222.10 | 0.2058 | 0.5194 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-07-14 | 226.86 | 0.4428 | 0.5227 | no |
| PNC | 2025-07-14 | 189.66 | 0.1992 | 0.4417 | no |
| POOL | 2025-07-14 | 295.48 | 0.2467 | 0.4161 | no |
| QCOM | 2025-07-14 | 152.36 | 0.1895 | 0.5474 | no |
| RTX | 2025-07-14 | 145.09 | 0.3283 | 0.5330 | no |
| SCHW | 2025-07-14 | 90.66 | 0.2172 | 0.5059 | no |
| STX | 2025-07-14 | 147.33 | 0.3976 | 0.5641 | no |
| SYF | 2025-07-14 | 69.36 | 0.2186 | 0.4222 | no |
| TEL | 2025-07-14 | 175.03 | 0.2129 | 0.4543 | no |
| TKO | 2025-07-14 | 169.10 | 0.1967 | 0.4423 | no |
| TRMB | 2025-07-14 | 79.91 | 0.3346 | 0.4463 | no |
| TROW | 2025-07-14 | 94.82 | 0.1734 | 0.5135 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-07-14 | 317.73 | 0.6665 | 0.4583 | no |
| TT | 2025-07-14 | 432.52 | 0.1723 | 0.5009 | no |
| VST | 2025-07-14 | 195.52 | 0.2563 | 0.4789 | no |
| WSM | 2025-07-14 | 170.81 | 0.3577 | 0.5054 | no |