P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 8.05% | 8.31% | 2025-10-27 | -3.50% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 25.19% | 25.19% | 2026-02-11 | -5.12% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 6.77% | 7.29% | 2025-10-27 | -3.27% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 22.11% | 22.11% | 2026-02-11 | -4.96% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.10% | 5.61% | 2025-10-03 | -4.50% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 6.68% | 8.33% | 2026-01-22 | -7.28% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 4.60% | 7.05% | 2025-10-27 | -4.23% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 8.32% | 10.78% | 2026-01-22 | -6.93% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIG | 2025-08-11 | 76.35 | 0.2508 | 0.4605 | no |
| ALB | 2025-08-11 | 83.36 | 0.5125 | 0.4140 | no |
| ALL | 2025-08-11 | 202.16 | 0.3151 | 0.4689 | no |
| AMAT | 2025-08-11 | 185.59 | 0.2772 | 0.5649 | no |
| AMD | 2025-08-11 | 170.04 | 0.3927 | 0.5765 | no |
| AMP | 2025-08-11 | 499.68 | 0.1733 | 0.4642 | no |
| APA | 2025-08-11 | 19.54 | 0.3995 | 0.4719 | no |
| BAC | 2025-08-11 | 44.85 | 0.2457 | 0.4261 | no |
| BAX | 2025-08-11 | 23.35 | 0.3676 | 0.4074 | no |
| CAG | 2025-08-11 | 17.91 | 0.3495 | 0.4274 | no |
| CBRE | 2025-08-11 | 154.66 | 0.1677 | 0.4099 | no |
| CNP | 2025-08-11 | 37.86 | 0.1906 | 0.4600 | no |
| COST | 2025-08-11 | 977.46 | 0.2250 | 0.5257 | no |
| CTAS | 2025-08-11 | 223.22 | 0.1932 | 0.4616 | no |
| DGX | 2025-08-11 | 174.04 | 0.2094 | 0.4026 | no |
| FOX | 2025-08-11 | 48.67 | 0.1796 | — | no |
| FSLR | 2025-08-11 | 184.28 | 0.6600 | 0.4543 | no |
| FTNT | 2025-08-11 | 74.02 | 0.2857 | 0.4989 | no |
| FTV | 2025-08-11 | 46.92 | 0.3434 | 0.5031 | no |
| GNRC | 2025-08-11 | 199.49 | 0.1670 | 0.4134 | no |
| GPN | 2025-08-11 | 80.34 | 0.2500 | 0.4087 | no |
| ITW | 2025-08-11 | 251.24 | 0.1714 | 0.4968 | no |
| KMB | 2025-08-11 | 128.43 | 0.3776 | 0.4049 | no |
| LDOS | 2025-08-11 | 173.82 | 0.3476 | 0.5332 | no |
| LMT | 2025-08-11 | 412.26 | 0.2084 | 0.5347 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-08-11 | 59.92 | 0.3750 | 0.5613 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-08-11 | 26.15 | 0.5884 | 0.4085 | no |
| MS | 2025-08-11 | 140.39 | 0.1693 | 0.4802 | no |
| MU | 2025-08-11 | 124.77 | 0.1925 | 0.5825 | no |
| NOW | 2025-08-11 | 173.58 | 0.2135 | 0.5016 | no |
| NWS | 2025-08-11 | 32.81 | 0.1616 | — | no |
| O | 2025-08-11 | 54.16 | 0.2424 | 0.4057 | no |
| OKE | 2025-08-11 | 70.78 | 0.1665 | 0.4843 | no |
| PANW | 2025-08-11 | 167.20 | 0.1914 | 0.5430 | no |
| PCAR | 2025-08-11 | 95.33 | 0.3081 | 0.4626 | no |
| PPG | 2025-08-11 | 104.04 | 0.1605 | 0.4056 | no |
| STLD | 2025-08-11 | 121.40 | 0.1651 | 0.4998 | no |
| SYF | 2025-08-11 | 68.37 | 0.2363 | 0.4214 | no |
| TFC | 2025-08-11 | 41.25 | 0.2363 | 0.4142 | no |
| TPL | 2025-08-11 | 286.34 | 0.4144 | 0.4424 | no |
| TRV | 2025-08-11 | 260.14 | 0.1913 | 0.4561 | no |
| UBER | 2025-08-11 | 89.81 | 0.2041 | 0.5200 | no |
| ULTA | 2025-08-11 | 499.98 | 0.1658 | 0.4043 | no |
| UPS | 2025-08-11 | 80.26 | 0.3479 | 0.4184 | no |
| VRTX | 2025-08-11 | 362.97 | 0.1697 | 0.4277 | no |
| WDC | 2025-08-11 | 75.09 | 0.2587 | 0.5368 | no |
| WM | 2025-08-11 | 231.26 | 0.1603 | 0.4415 | no |
| WMT | 2025-08-11 | 102.79 | 0.2127 | 0.5119 | no |
| WSM | 2025-08-11 | 197.37 | 0.1914 | 0.5056 | no |
| WY | 2025-08-11 | 24.36 | 0.2088 | 0.4473 | no |