P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 6.62% | 8.16% | 2025-10-27 | -3.46% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 21.01% | 21.01% | 2026-02-11 | -4.90% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 4.62% | 5.84% | 2025-10-27 | -3.32% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 20.09% | 20.09% | 2026-02-11 | -4.67% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 7.38% | 7.63% | 2025-10-27 | -3.89% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 9.71% | 11.88% | 2026-01-06 | -5.60% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 6.62% | 7.83% | 2025-10-27 | -3.67% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.77% | 10.94% | 2026-01-06 | -5.67% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | 2025-08-11 | 12.53 | 0.2175 | — | no |
| AIG | 2025-08-11 | 76.35 | 0.2062 | 0.4605 | no |
| ALB | 2025-08-11 | 83.36 | 0.4042 | 0.4140 | no |
| ALL | 2025-08-11 | 202.16 | 0.1898 | 0.4689 | no |
| AMAT | 2025-08-11 | 185.59 | 0.2175 | 0.5649 | no |
| AMD | 2025-08-11 | 170.04 | 0.4970 | 0.5765 | no |
| AMP | 2025-08-11 | 499.68 | 0.2602 | 0.4642 | no |
| APA | 2025-08-11 | 19.54 | 0.4680 | 0.4719 | no |
| AXON | 2025-08-11 | 842.89 | 0.1585 | 0.4911 | no |
| AZO | 2025-08-11 | 4043.99 | 0.2262 | 0.4870 | no |
| BAX | 2025-08-11 | 23.35 | 0.2723 | 0.4074 | no |
| BBY | 2025-08-11 | 64.69 | 0.1685 | 0.4580 | no |
| BIIB | 2025-08-11 | 131.16 | 0.1640 | 0.4026 | no |
| BR | 2025-08-11 | 259.38 | 0.1699 | 0.4812 | no |
| CAG | 2025-08-11 | 17.91 | 0.2287 | 0.4274 | no |
| CI | 2025-08-11 | 267.97 | 0.2819 | 0.4189 | no |
| CNP | 2025-08-11 | 37.86 | 0.2006 | 0.4600 | no |
| DGX | 2025-08-11 | 174.04 | 0.1933 | 0.4026 | no |
| FSLR | 2025-08-11 | 184.28 | 0.5685 | 0.4543 | no |
| FTV | 2025-08-11 | 46.92 | 0.2881 | 0.5031 | no |
| GL | 2025-08-11 | 139.69 | 0.3000 | 0.4604 | no |
| GNRC | 2025-08-11 | 199.49 | 0.2551 | 0.4134 | no |
| INTC | 2025-08-11 | 20.45 | 0.1782 | 0.5800 | no |
| IT | 2025-08-11 | 228.11 | 0.2079 | 0.4537 | no |
| KMB | 2025-08-11 | 128.43 | 0.3154 | 0.4049 | no |
| LDOS | 2025-08-11 | 173.82 | 0.1633 | 0.5332 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-08-11 | 59.92 | 0.2325 | 0.5613 | no |
| MDT | 2025-08-11 | 89.93 | 0.1844 | 0.4045 | no |
| MGM | 2025-08-11 | 34.17 | 0.2407 | 0.4228 | no |
| MNST | 2025-08-11 | 32.22 | 0.2528 | 0.4223 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-08-11 | 26.15 | 0.4919 | 0.4085 | no |
| NOW | 2025-08-11 | 173.58 | 0.2996 | 0.5016 | no |
| NXPI | 2025-08-11 | 202.57 | 0.2171 | 0.5466 | no |
| O | 2025-08-11 | 54.16 | 0.2021 | 0.4057 | no |
| PCG | 2025-08-11 | 14.79 | 0.2094 | 0.4520 | no |
| ROST | 2025-08-11 | 144.44 | 0.3245 | 0.4216 | no |
| STLD | 2025-08-11 | 121.40 | 0.1659 | 0.4998 | no |
| SWK | 2025-08-11 | 66.33 | 0.2630 | 0.5005 | no |
| SYF | 2025-08-11 | 68.37 | 0.3413 | 0.4214 | no |
| TFC | 2025-08-11 | 41.25 | 0.2559 | 0.4142 | no |
| TPL | 2025-08-11 | 286.34 | 0.4771 | 0.4424 | no |
| TRMB | 2025-08-11 | 83.77 | 0.1705 | 0.4816 | no |
| TRV | 2025-08-11 | 260.14 | 0.3093 | 0.4561 | no |
| UPS | 2025-08-11 | 80.26 | 0.3046 | 0.4184 | no |
| WDC | 2025-08-11 | 75.09 | 0.2499 | 0.5368 | no |
| WM | 2025-08-11 | 231.26 | 0.1830 | 0.4415 | no |
| WMT | 2025-08-11 | 102.79 | 0.2024 | 0.5119 | no |
| WY | 2025-08-11 | 24.36 | 0.2153 | 0.4473 | no |
| YUM | 2025-08-11 | 138.13 | 0.1825 | 0.4092 | no |
| ZBH | 2025-08-11 | 98.50 | 0.2282 | 0.4307 | no |