P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.29% | 6.97% | 2025-11-12 | -4.13% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 23.37% | 23.37% | 2026-02-18 | -4.64% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 4.79% | 7.67% | 2025-11-12 | -3.79% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 23.29% | 23.29% | 2026-02-18 | -4.85% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -1.77% | 4.21% | 2025-10-03 | -5.74% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 7.41% | 7.41% | 2026-02-18 | -7.28% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 0.05% | 5.80% | 2025-10-27 | -5.43% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 8.93% | 9.49% | 2026-01-22 | -6.93% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 2025-08-18 | 230.85 | 0.1680 | 0.5214 | no |
| ADBE | 2025-08-18 | 355.68 | 0.2606 | 0.4756 | no |
| AIG | 2025-08-18 | 77.43 | 0.3316 | 0.4605 | no |
| ALB | 2025-08-18 | 80.31 | 0.2985 | 0.4140 | no |
| AMD | 2025-08-18 | 176.76 | 0.3022 | 0.5774 | no |
| AMGN | 2025-08-18 | 286.59 | 0.3175 | 0.4172 | no |
| AMP | 2025-08-18 | 494.86 | 0.1831 | 0.4642 | no |
| ANET | 2025-08-18 | 136.42 | 0.2465 | 0.5028 | no |
| APA | 2025-08-18 | 19.75 | 0.4382 | 0.4719 | no |
| APTV | 2025-08-18 | 74.10 | 0.2760 | 0.4379 | no |
| CAG | 2025-08-18 | 17.78 | 0.4062 | 0.4299 | no |
| CAT | 2025-08-18 | 403.37 | 0.2349 | 0.4658 | no |
| CMI | 2025-08-18 | 390.46 | 0.1756 | 0.4882 | no |
| COST | 2025-08-18 | 967.65 | 0.2642 | 0.5261 | no |
| CTAS | 2025-08-18 | 214.46 | 0.2871 | 0.4616 | no |
| CZR | 2025-08-18 | 25.38 | 0.1769 | 0.4108 | no |
| DGX | 2025-08-18 | 177.12 | 0.2593 | 0.4026 | no |
| EOG | 2025-08-18 | 114.38 | 0.1762 | 0.4864 | no |
| FTV | 2025-08-18 | 47.86 | 0.2478 | 0.5032 | no |
| GL | 2025-08-18 | 134.04 | 0.1832 | 0.4604 | no |
| GNRC | 2025-08-18 | 199.20 | 0.2903 | 0.4134 | no |
| IT | 2025-08-18 | 239.71 | 0.1681 | 0.4537 | no |
| KEYS | 2025-08-18 | 163.62 | 0.3669 | 0.5056 | no |
| LKQ | 2025-08-18 | 29.66 | 0.2916 | 0.5251 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-08-18 | 63.52 | 0.7056 | 0.5613 | no |
| MGM | 2025-08-18 | 35.97 | 0.4282 | 0.4228 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-08-18 | 28.20 | 0.6707 | 0.4085 | no |
| NSC | 2025-08-18 | 274.65 | 0.2194 | 0.4408 | no |
| NVR | 2025-08-18 | 8236.39 | 0.1675 | — | no |
| NXPI | 2025-08-18 | 223.98 | 0.1956 | 0.5466 | no |
| OKE | 2025-08-18 | 69.80 | 0.1695 | 0.4843 | no |
| PCG | 2025-08-18 | 14.94 | 0.2244 | 0.4520 | no |
| PKG | 2025-08-18 | 187.45 | 0.1861 | 0.4477 | no |
| PLTR | 2025-08-18 | 175.27 | 0.1890 | 0.5684 | no |
| PNW | 2025-08-18 | 88.01 | 0.2417 | 0.4498 | no |
| REGN | 2025-08-18 | 579.12 | 0.2544 | 0.4369 | no |
| RF | 2025-08-18 | 24.30 | 0.2619 | 0.4094 | no |
| SYF | 2025-08-18 | 70.09 | 0.2844 | 0.4214 | no |
| TFC | 2025-08-18 | 42.39 | 0.1895 | 0.4142 | no |
| TKO | 2025-08-18 | 184.49 | 0.3185 | 0.4541 | no |
| TPL | 2025-08-18 | 290.97 | 0.7768 | 0.4424 | no |
| TRGP | 2025-08-18 | 158.80 | 0.2308 | 0.4601 | no |
| TRV | 2025-08-18 | 259.49 | 0.3773 | 0.4561 | no |
| TTWO | 2025-08-18 | 233.47 | 0.2303 | 0.4245 | no |
| ULTA | 2025-08-18 | 521.00 | 0.1973 | 0.4055 | no |
| UNP | 2025-08-18 | 214.80 | 0.1989 | 0.4379 | no |
| URI | 2025-08-18 | 902.64 | 0.2524 | 0.4433 | no |
| VMC | 2025-08-18 | 289.48 | 0.1783 | 0.4515 | no |
| WBD | 2025-08-18 | 11.81 | 0.2437 | 0.4370 | no |
| WDC | 2025-08-18 | 74.56 | 0.1993 | 0.5368 | no |