P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.90% | 7.74% | 2025-11-12 | -3.61% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 24.06% | 24.06% | 2026-02-18 | -4.90% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.76% | 5.91% | 2025-11-12 | -3.75% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 19.07% | 19.07% | 2026-02-18 | -5.03% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 1.08% | 4.94% | 2025-10-27 | -3.68% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 8.69% | 9.71% | 2026-01-22 | -5.90% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -0.68% | 4.03% | 2025-10-27 | -4.53% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 6.52% | 7.38% | 2026-01-22 | -6.43% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | 2025-08-18 | 12.72 | 0.2788 | — | no |
| AFL | 2025-08-18 | 102.72 | 0.2638 | 0.4660 | no |
| AIG | 2025-08-18 | 77.43 | 0.2004 | 0.4605 | no |
| ALB | 2025-08-18 | 80.31 | 0.1824 | 0.4140 | no |
| AMD | 2025-08-18 | 176.76 | 0.3116 | 0.5774 | no |
| AMGN | 2025-08-18 | 286.59 | 0.3364 | 0.4172 | no |
| APA | 2025-08-18 | 19.75 | 0.2763 | 0.4719 | no |
| APTV | 2025-08-18 | 74.10 | 0.2130 | 0.4379 | no |
| BAC | 2025-08-18 | 45.69 | 0.2264 | 0.4261 | no |
| BAX | 2025-08-18 | 23.99 | 0.2277 | 0.4074 | no |
| BF.B | 2025-08-18 | 29.12 | 0.1811 | — | no |
| CAG | 2025-08-18 | 17.78 | 0.3299 | 0.4299 | no |
| CAT | 2025-08-18 | 403.37 | 0.2501 | 0.4658 | no |
| CI | 2025-08-18 | 290.16 | 0.2332 | 0.4189 | no |
| CMI | 2025-08-18 | 390.46 | 0.2452 | 0.4882 | no |
| COST | 2025-08-18 | 967.65 | 0.2895 | 0.5261 | no |
| CTAS | 2025-08-18 | 214.46 | 0.3268 | 0.4616 | no |
| DGX | 2025-08-18 | 177.12 | 0.1876 | 0.4026 | no |
| EFX | 2025-08-18 | 244.06 | 0.2111 | 0.4770 | no |
| ES | 2025-08-18 | 62.80 | 0.1971 | 0.4535 | no |
| FOX | 2025-08-18 | 52.70 | 0.2386 | — | no |
| GNRC | 2025-08-18 | 199.20 | 0.3766 | 0.4134 | no |
| IEX | 2025-08-18 | 162.08 | 0.2054 | 0.4888 | no |
| INTC | 2025-08-18 | 24.00 | 0.1875 | 0.5800 | no |
| KEYS | 2025-08-18 | 163.62 | 0.3762 | 0.5056 | no |
| KKR | 2025-08-18 | 140.98 | 0.1944 | 0.5039 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-08-18 | 63.52 | 0.3606 | 0.5613 | no |
| MGM | 2025-08-18 | 35.97 | 0.3741 | 0.4228 | no |
| MKC | 2025-08-18 | 67.52 | 0.1993 | 0.4067 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-08-18 | 28.20 | 0.5380 | 0.4085 | no |
| MU | 2025-08-18 | 121.16 | 0.4011 | 0.5825 | no |
| NSC | 2025-08-18 | 274.65 | 0.2107 | 0.4408 | no |
| NXPI | 2025-08-18 | 223.98 | 0.3364 | 0.5466 | no |
| ODFL | 2025-08-18 | 150.10 | 0.3093 | 0.4309 | no |
| ON | 2025-08-18 | 51.00 | 0.4623 | 0.5486 | no |
| PAYC | 2025-08-18 | 219.13 | 0.3018 | 0.4317 | no |
| PCG | 2025-08-18 | 14.94 | 0.2288 | 0.4520 | no |
| PNW | 2025-08-18 | 88.01 | 0.2030 | 0.4498 | no |
| PODD | 2025-08-18 | 321.32 | 0.3193 | 0.4122 | no |
| REGN | 2025-08-18 | 579.12 | 0.2621 | 0.4369 | no |
| RF | 2025-08-18 | 24.30 | 0.3498 | 0.4094 | no |
| ROST | 2025-08-18 | 145.44 | 0.1975 | 0.4228 | no |
| SYF | 2025-08-18 | 70.09 | 0.2292 | 0.4214 | no |
| TPL | 2025-08-18 | 290.97 | 0.7097 | 0.4424 | no |
| TRV | 2025-08-18 | 259.49 | 0.3546 | 0.4561 | no |
| TTWO | 2025-08-18 | 233.47 | 0.4111 | 0.4245 | no |
| ULTA | 2025-08-18 | 521.00 | 0.3611 | 0.4055 | no |
| VMC | 2025-08-18 | 289.48 | 0.1907 | 0.4515 | no |
| VRTX | 2025-08-18 | 392.80 | 0.2307 | 0.4277 | no |
| WBD | 2025-08-18 | 11.81 | 0.3847 | 0.4370 | no |