P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 2.87% | 5.45% | 2025-10-27 | -3.92% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 21.90% | 21.90% | 2026-02-18 | -4.63% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.82% | 5.45% | 2025-11-12 | -3.90% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 21.62% | 21.62% | 2026-02-18 | -4.43% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 2.39% | 6.16% | 2025-11-12 | -3.89% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 8.60% | 10.34% | 2026-01-06 | -5.60% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.11% | 6.30% | 2025-10-27 | -3.94% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.34% | 9.37% | 2026-01-06 | -5.67% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABBV | 2025-08-18 | 200.38 | 0.1882 | 0.4333 | no |
| ADBE | 2025-08-18 | 355.68 | 0.3449 | 0.4756 | no |
| AES | 2025-08-18 | 12.72 | 0.2723 | — | no |
| AFL | 2025-08-18 | 102.72 | 0.1734 | 0.4660 | no |
| AIG | 2025-08-18 | 77.43 | 0.1826 | 0.4605 | no |
| AJG | 2025-08-18 | 288.00 | 0.1698 | 0.4682 | no |
| AMD | 2025-08-18 | 176.76 | 0.4058 | 0.5774 | no |
| AMGN | 2025-08-18 | 286.59 | 0.3801 | 0.4172 | no |
| APA | 2025-08-18 | 19.75 | 0.2382 | 0.4719 | no |
| BALL | 2025-08-18 | 53.05 | 0.2258 | 0.4165 | no |
| BAX | 2025-08-18 | 23.99 | 0.1798 | 0.4074 | no |
| BX | 2025-08-18 | 164.73 | 0.3102 | — | no |
| CAG | 2025-08-18 | 17.78 | 0.3485 | 0.4299 | no |
| CAT | 2025-08-18 | 403.37 | 0.1942 | 0.4658 | no |
| CI | 2025-08-18 | 290.16 | 0.3650 | 0.4189 | no |
| CMI | 2025-08-18 | 390.46 | 0.2334 | 0.4882 | no |
| DOW | 2025-08-18 | 21.89 | 0.2307 | 0.4112 | no |
| EFX | 2025-08-18 | 244.06 | 0.2275 | 0.4770 | no |
| GL | 2025-08-18 | 134.04 | 0.4508 | 0.4604 | no |
| GM | 2025-08-18 | 55.51 | 0.2558 | 0.4195 | no |
| GNRC | 2025-08-18 | 199.20 | 0.3815 | 0.4134 | no |
| HRL | 2025-08-18 | 27.07 | 0.1947 | 0.4339 | no |
| HSY | 2025-08-18 | 173.30 | 0.1983 | 0.4032 | no |
| IRM | 2025-08-18 | 87.95 | 0.2481 | 0.4272 | no |
| IT | 2025-08-18 | 239.71 | 0.2651 | 0.4537 | no |
| JNJ | 2025-08-18 | 171.35 | 0.2159 | 0.4286 | no |
| KEYS | 2025-08-18 | 163.62 | 0.2755 | 0.5056 | no |
| KKR | 2025-08-18 | 140.98 | 0.2248 | 0.5039 | no |
| LKQ | 2025-08-18 | 29.66 | 0.2741 | 0.5251 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-08-18 | 63.52 | 0.4216 | 0.5613 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-08-18 | 28.20 | 0.4748 | 0.4085 | no |
| MU | 2025-08-18 | 121.16 | 0.2905 | 0.5825 | no |
| NSC | 2025-08-18 | 274.65 | 0.2095 | 0.4408 | no |
| NXPI | 2025-08-18 | 223.98 | 0.2164 | 0.5466 | no |
| ON | 2025-08-18 | 51.00 | 0.2435 | 0.5486 | no |
| PNW | 2025-08-18 | 88.01 | 0.2260 | 0.4498 | no |
| PRU | 2025-08-18 | 99.02 | 0.2844 | 0.4662 | no |
| REGN | 2025-08-18 | 579.12 | 0.3120 | 0.4369 | no |
| RF | 2025-08-18 | 24.30 | 0.2238 | 0.4094 | no |
| ROST | 2025-08-18 | 145.44 | 0.2121 | 0.4228 | no |
| SHW | 2025-08-18 | 360.69 | 0.2840 | 0.4080 | no |
| TKO | 2025-08-18 | 184.49 | 0.2040 | 0.4541 | no |
| TPL | 2025-08-18 | 290.97 | 0.9495 | 0.4424 | no |
| TRV | 2025-08-18 | 259.49 | 0.2411 | 0.4561 | no |
| TSN | 2025-08-18 | 54.39 | 0.2453 | 0.4749 | no |
| UBER | 2025-08-18 | 92.22 | 0.2169 | 0.5195 | no |
| ULTA | 2025-08-18 | 521.00 | 0.2940 | 0.4055 | no |
| UNP | 2025-08-18 | 214.80 | 0.2366 | 0.4379 | no |
| VRTX | 2025-08-18 | 392.80 | 0.1709 | 0.4277 | no |
| WBD | 2025-08-18 | 11.81 | 0.4281 | 0.4370 | no |