P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 2.27% | 4.78% | 2025-10-08 | -8.44% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 8.40% | 12.27% | 2026-02-25 | -8.44% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.63% | 5.56% | 2025-10-27 | -7.82% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.16% | 12.51% | 2026-02-25 | -7.82% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 1.92% | 3.20% | 2025-10-03 | -7.28% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 2.65% | 6.37% | 2026-02-18 | -7.28% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.68% | 4.42% | 2025-10-27 | -6.93% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 4.74% | 8.06% | 2026-01-22 | -6.93% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE | 2025-09-08 | 348.86 | 0.2689 | 0.4756 | no |
| ADP | 2025-09-08 | 286.73 | 0.3429 | 0.4304 | no |
| AES | 2025-09-08 | 12.37 | 0.2117 | — | no |
| AMD | 2025-09-08 | 151.80 | 0.3011 | 0.5759 | no |
| ANET | 2025-09-08 | 143.80 | 0.4783 | 0.5028 | no |
| APO | 2025-09-08 | 130.44 | 0.2823 | — | no |
| BAX | 2025-09-08 | 24.20 | 0.5950 | 0.4074 | no |
| BRO | 2025-09-08 | 93.76 | 0.2453 | 0.4563 | no |
| CAG | 2025-09-08 | 17.98 | 0.2053 | 0.4203 | no |
| CDNS | 2025-09-08 | 353.67 | 0.1642 | 0.5529 | no |
| CI | 2025-09-08 | 299.80 | 0.1835 | 0.4189 | no |
| CSCO | 2025-09-08 | 65.37 | 0.2022 | 0.5436 | no |
| DG | 2025-09-08 | 108.37 | 0.1706 | 0.5342 | no |
| DXCM | 2025-09-08 | 79.35 | 0.1628 | 0.4058 | no |
| ELV | 2025-09-08 | 307.79 | 0.1646 | 0.4112 | no |
| ENPH | 2025-09-08 | 39.58 | 0.3606 | 0.4719 | no |
| FAST | 2025-09-08 | 47.08 | 0.1676 | 0.4876 | no |
| FIS | 2025-09-08 | 65.59 | 0.2791 | 0.4054 | no |
| FOX | 2025-09-08 | 55.26 | 0.1907 | — | no |
| GEV | 2025-09-08 | 593.06 | 0.3798 | 0.4938 | no |
| GLW | 2025-09-08 | 70.87 | 0.2287 | 0.4929 | no |
| GRMN | 2025-09-08 | 232.97 | 0.2409 | 0.5066 | no |
| HCA | 2025-09-08 | 415.25 | 0.2530 | 0.4076 | no |
| IBM | 2025-09-08 | 242.33 | 0.2213 | 0.4821 | no |
| INTC | 2025-09-08 | 24.48 | 0.2462 | 0.5780 | no |
| KKR | 2025-09-08 | 135.23 | 0.3384 | 0.5039 | no |
| LHX | 2025-09-08 | 267.28 | 0.2095 | 0.5423 | no |
| LMT | 2025-09-08 | 451.27 | 0.3150 | 0.5347 | no |
| MGM | 2025-09-08 | 36.65 | 0.1613 | 0.4238 | no |
| MKTX | 2025-09-08 | 184.45 | 0.2691 | 0.5507 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-09-08 | 24.92 | 0.2885 | 0.4085 | no |
| MSFT | 2025-09-08 | 494.05 | 0.1788 | 0.4713 | no |
| NCLH | 2025-09-08 | 25.44 | 0.1964 | 0.4262 | no |
| NEM | 2025-09-08 | 75.98 | 0.2473 | 0.5283 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-09-08 | 167.14 | 0.3132 | 0.5595 | no |
| OKE | 2025-09-08 | 69.42 | 0.1926 | 0.4843 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-09-08 | 237.19 | 0.2879 | 0.5391 | no |
| PAYC | 2025-09-08 | 221.30 | 0.2049 | 0.4317 | no |
| RF | 2025-09-08 | 26.06 | 0.1667 | 0.4094 | no |
| ROP | 2025-09-08 | 514.57 | 0.3437 | 0.4800 | no |
| SBUX | 2025-09-08 | 83.37 | 0.2122 | 0.4150 | no |
| TDG | 2025-09-08 | 1251.99 | 0.2467 | 0.5288 | no |
| TPL | 2025-09-08 | 298.98 | 0.2722 | 0.4424 | no |
| TTWO | 2025-09-08 | 241.78 | 0.4023 | 0.4245 | no |
| UBER | 2025-09-08 | 91.38 | 0.2937 | 0.5195 | no |
| UHS | 2025-09-08 | 189.18 | 0.4137 | 0.4033 | no |
| UNH | 2025-09-08 | 309.47 | 0.2410 | 0.4227 | no |
| WDC | 2025-09-08 | 92.37 | 0.2446 | 0.5363 | no |
| WM | 2025-09-08 | 215.59 | 0.1925 | 0.4408 | no |
| ZBH | 2025-09-08 | 104.30 | 0.3731 | 0.4286 | no |