P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.63% | 4.93% | 2025-10-08 | -7.70% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 11.66% | 15.99% | 2026-02-25 | -7.70% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.21% | 4.19% | 2025-10-08 | -7.96% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.18% | 12.71% | 2026-02-27 | -7.96% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.74% | 4.69% | 2025-12-05 | -5.39% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 2.36% | 7.33% | 2026-01-15 | -5.49% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.84% | 4.23% | 2025-10-27 | -6.10% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 1.14% | 6.05% | 2026-01-15 | -6.10% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE | 2025-09-08 | 348.86 | 0.1987 | 0.4756 | no |
| ADP | 2025-09-08 | 286.73 | 0.2934 | 0.4304 | no |
| AES | 2025-09-08 | 12.37 | 0.2229 | — | no |
| ALL | 2025-09-08 | 197.22 | 0.1897 | 0.4683 | no |
| AMD | 2025-09-08 | 151.80 | 0.6092 | 0.5759 | no |
| ANET | 2025-09-08 | 143.80 | 0.4072 | 0.5028 | no |
| APA | 2025-09-08 | 22.22 | 0.2625 | 0.4719 | no |
| APO | 2025-09-08 | 130.44 | 0.2126 | — | no |
| BAX | 2025-09-08 | 24.20 | 0.5158 | 0.4074 | no |
| DE | 2025-09-08 | 468.01 | 0.2055 | 0.4534 | no |
| DG | 2025-09-08 | 108.37 | 0.2393 | 0.5342 | no |
| DXCM | 2025-09-08 | 79.35 | 0.3126 | 0.4058 | no |
| EG | 2025-09-08 | 332.88 | 0.1906 | 0.4757 | no |
| ELV | 2025-09-08 | 307.79 | 0.2861 | 0.4112 | no |
| ENPH | 2025-09-08 | 39.58 | 0.5374 | 0.4719 | no |
| FOX | 2025-09-08 | 55.26 | 0.2155 | — | no |
| FTNT | 2025-09-08 | 79.18 | 0.2234 | 0.4942 | no |
| GEV | 2025-09-08 | 593.06 | 0.3965 | 0.4938 | no |
| GILD | 2025-09-08 | 111.14 | 0.1764 | 0.4036 | no |
| GLW | 2025-09-08 | 70.87 | 0.1850 | 0.4929 | no |
| IBM | 2025-09-08 | 242.33 | 0.3731 | 0.4821 | no |
| INTC | 2025-09-08 | 24.48 | 0.3311 | 0.5780 | no |
| KKR | 2025-09-08 | 135.23 | 0.2576 | 0.5039 | no |
| KMI | 2025-09-08 | 25.72 | 0.2574 | 0.4958 | no |
| LMT | 2025-09-08 | 451.27 | 0.3002 | 0.5347 | no |
| MKTX | 2025-09-08 | 184.45 | 0.3644 | 0.5507 | no |
| MOH | 2025-09-08 | 175.47 | 0.3671 | 0.4024 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-09-08 | 24.92 | 0.6050 | 0.4085 | no |
| NCLH | 2025-09-08 | 25.44 | 0.1949 | 0.4262 | no |
| NEM | 2025-09-08 | 75.98 | 0.3749 | 0.5283 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-09-08 | 167.14 | 0.4225 | 0.5595 | no |
| OKE | 2025-09-08 | 69.42 | 0.2499 | 0.4843 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-09-08 | 237.19 | 0.3284 | 0.5391 | no |
| PAYC | 2025-09-08 | 221.30 | 0.1779 | 0.4317 | no |
| REGN | 2025-09-08 | 568.29 | 0.1742 | 0.4369 | no |
| ROP | 2025-09-08 | 514.57 | 0.1813 | 0.4800 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-09-08 | 600.92 | 0.2198 | 0.5015 | no |
| SO | 2025-09-08 | 88.51 | 0.3554 | 0.4413 | no |
| STLD | 2025-09-08 | 132.89 | 0.2026 | 0.5056 | no |
| TRGP | 2025-09-08 | 160.08 | 0.2145 | 0.4601 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-09-08 | 354.64 | 0.1819 | 0.4619 | no |
| TSN | 2025-09-08 | 53.88 | 0.2187 | 0.4721 | no |
| TTWO | 2025-09-08 | 241.78 | 0.3709 | 0.4245 | no |
| UAL | 2025-09-08 | 107.48 | 0.2620 | 0.4972 | no |
| UBER | 2025-09-08 | 91.38 | 0.2327 | 0.5195 | no |
| VICI | 2025-09-08 | 30.88 | 0.1900 | 0.4033 | no |
| VTRS | 2025-09-08 | 10.10 | 0.1750 | 0.4723 | no |
| WDC | 2025-09-08 | 92.37 | 0.3640 | 0.5363 | no |
| WM | 2025-09-08 | 215.59 | 0.2215 | 0.4408 | no |
| ZBH | 2025-09-08 | 104.30 | 0.2850 | 0.4286 | no |