P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.44% | 5.07% | 2025-12-05 | -6.29% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 12.60% | 16.90% | 2026-02-25 | -6.29% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.09% | 4.52% | 2025-10-27 | -6.95% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.00% | 12.60% | 2026-03-02 | -6.95% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.89% | 4.57% | 2025-12-05 | -5.90% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 3.57% | 8.53% | 2026-01-22 | -5.90% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 1.44% | 3.20% | 2025-10-27 | -6.43% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 2.57% | 6.51% | 2026-01-22 | -6.43% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACGL | 2025-09-08 | 93.50 | 0.2054 | 0.4485 | no |
| ADP | 2025-09-08 | 286.73 | 0.1630 | 0.4304 | no |
| ALL | 2025-09-08 | 197.22 | 0.1775 | 0.4683 | no |
| AMD | 2025-09-08 | 151.80 | 0.4918 | 0.5759 | no |
| AMGN | 2025-09-08 | 273.46 | 0.2516 | 0.4172 | no |
| ANET | 2025-09-08 | 143.80 | 0.2872 | 0.5028 | no |
| APA | 2025-09-08 | 22.22 | 0.2936 | 0.4719 | no |
| APO | 2025-09-08 | 130.44 | 0.2126 | — | no |
| BAX | 2025-09-08 | 24.20 | 0.4792 | 0.4074 | no |
| BF.B | 2025-09-08 | 27.60 | 0.3103 | — | no |
| CAT | 2025-09-08 | 418.88 | 0.1822 | 0.4658 | no |
| CDNS | 2025-09-08 | 353.67 | 0.2319 | 0.5529 | no |
| DE | 2025-09-08 | 468.01 | 0.2163 | 0.4534 | no |
| DG | 2025-09-08 | 108.37 | 0.2291 | 0.5342 | no |
| DTE | 2025-09-08 | 131.74 | 0.1678 | 0.4493 | no |
| DXCM | 2025-09-08 | 79.35 | 0.2022 | 0.4058 | no |
| ENPH | 2025-09-08 | 39.58 | 0.2691 | 0.4719 | no |
| GEV | 2025-09-08 | 593.06 | 0.6057 | 0.4938 | no |
| GILD | 2025-09-08 | 111.14 | 0.1661 | 0.4036 | no |
| HCA | 2025-09-08 | 415.25 | 0.2425 | 0.4076 | no |
| IBM | 2025-09-08 | 242.33 | 0.1971 | 0.4821 | no |
| IEX | 2025-09-08 | 162.42 | 0.1679 | 0.4889 | no |
| INTC | 2025-09-08 | 24.48 | 0.2857 | 0.5780 | no |
| LMT | 2025-09-08 | 451.27 | 0.4407 | 0.5347 | no |
| MGM | 2025-09-08 | 36.65 | 0.2397 | 0.4238 | no |
| MKTX | 2025-09-08 | 184.45 | 0.4191 | 0.5507 | no |
| MOH | 2025-09-08 | 175.47 | 0.3236 | 0.4024 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-09-08 | 24.92 | 0.5056 | 0.4085 | no |
| MSFT | 2025-09-08 | 494.05 | 0.2023 | 0.4713 | no |
| NCLH | 2025-09-08 | 25.44 | 0.1665 | 0.4262 | no |
| NEM | 2025-09-08 | 75.98 | 0.3210 | 0.5283 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-09-08 | 167.14 | 0.4283 | 0.5595 | no |
| NXPI | 2025-09-08 | 222.43 | 0.2230 | 0.5454 | no |
| PFE | 2025-09-08 | 23.27 | 0.1789 | 0.4207 | no |
| ROP | 2025-09-08 | 514.57 | 0.1761 | 0.4800 | no |
| SO | 2025-09-08 | 88.51 | 0.2661 | 0.4413 | no |
| STLD | 2025-09-08 | 132.89 | 0.2054 | 0.5056 | no |
| TDG | 2025-09-08 | 1251.99 | 0.3529 | 0.5288 | no |
| TPL | 2025-09-08 | 298.98 | 0.2755 | 0.4424 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-09-08 | 354.64 | 0.3260 | 0.4619 | no |
| TTWO | 2025-09-08 | 241.78 | 0.2843 | 0.4245 | no |
| TYL | 2025-09-08 | 559.96 | 0.2000 | 0.4455 | no |
| UAL | 2025-09-08 | 107.48 | 0.3175 | 0.4972 | no |
| UBER | 2025-09-08 | 91.38 | 0.2637 | 0.5195 | no |
| UHS | 2025-09-08 | 189.18 | 0.3412 | 0.4033 | no |
| VICI | 2025-09-08 | 30.88 | 0.1627 | 0.4033 | no |
| WDC | 2025-09-08 | 92.37 | 0.1717 | 0.5363 | no |
| WM | 2025-09-08 | 215.59 | 0.2000 | 0.4408 | no |
| WY | 2025-09-08 | 25.10 | 0.2489 | 0.4478 | no |
| ZBH | 2025-09-08 | 104.30 | 0.4239 | 0.4286 | no |