P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.84% | 4.76% | 2025-10-08 | -6.97% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 14.48% | 19.61% | 2026-02-25 | -6.97% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.16% | 4.09% | 2025-10-27 | -6.22% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 11.11% | 14.59% | 2026-03-02 | -6.22% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 5.01% | 5.66% | 2025-12-05 | -5.31% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 3.76% | 9.36% | 2026-01-06 | -5.60% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.33% | 4.96% | 2025-10-27 | -5.67% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 5.32% | 7.99% | 2026-01-06 | -5.67% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE | 2025-09-08 | 348.86 | 0.3396 | 0.4756 | no |
| ADI | 2025-09-08 | 244.99 | 0.3343 | 0.5445 | no |
| ADP | 2025-09-08 | 286.73 | 0.1976 | 0.4304 | no |
| AMD | 2025-09-08 | 151.80 | 0.6839 | 0.5759 | no |
| ANET | 2025-09-08 | 143.80 | 0.3061 | 0.5028 | no |
| APA | 2025-09-08 | 22.22 | 0.2773 | 0.4719 | no |
| APO | 2025-09-08 | 130.44 | 0.2793 | — | no |
| BAX | 2025-09-08 | 24.20 | 0.4813 | 0.4074 | no |
| BRO | 2025-09-08 | 93.76 | 0.1746 | 0.4563 | no |
| CAT | 2025-09-08 | 418.88 | 0.1901 | 0.4658 | no |
| CMI | 2025-09-08 | 393.78 | 0.1723 | 0.4882 | no |
| CNC | 2025-09-08 | 29.02 | 0.1840 | 0.4090 | no |
| CSCO | 2025-09-08 | 65.37 | 0.2077 | 0.5436 | no |
| DE | 2025-09-08 | 468.01 | 0.1838 | 0.4534 | no |
| DG | 2025-09-08 | 108.37 | 0.1635 | 0.5342 | no |
| ELV | 2025-09-08 | 307.79 | 0.1668 | 0.4112 | no |
| ENPH | 2025-09-08 | 39.58 | 0.2232 | 0.4719 | no |
| GEV | 2025-09-08 | 593.06 | 0.5414 | 0.4938 | no |
| GILD | 2025-09-08 | 111.14 | 0.1637 | 0.4036 | no |
| GLW | 2025-09-08 | 70.87 | 0.1803 | 0.4929 | no |
| HCA | 2025-09-08 | 415.25 | 0.3030 | 0.4076 | no |
| KEYS | 2025-09-08 | 168.00 | 0.2031 | 0.5046 | no |
| KKR | 2025-09-08 | 135.23 | 0.1947 | 0.5039 | no |
| KMI | 2025-09-08 | 25.72 | 0.2137 | 0.4958 | no |
| LHX | 2025-09-08 | 267.28 | 0.1873 | 0.5423 | no |
| LKQ | 2025-09-08 | 30.98 | 0.2364 | 0.5263 | no |
| LMT | 2025-09-08 | 451.27 | 0.3731 | 0.5347 | no |
| MCO | 2025-09-08 | 494.89 | 0.1906 | 0.4686 | no |
| MKTX | 2025-09-08 | 184.45 | 0.1656 | 0.5507 | no |
| MOH | 2025-09-08 | 175.47 | 0.3317 | 0.4024 | no |
| MRNA | 2025-09-08 | 24.92 | 0.4796 | 0.4085 | no |
| MSFT | 2025-09-08 | 494.05 | 0.3348 | 0.4713 | no |
| MSI | 2025-09-08 | 471.20 | 0.1694 | 0.5368 | no |
| NEM | 2025-09-08 | 75.98 | 0.2814 | 0.5283 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-09-08 | 167.14 | 0.3094 | 0.5595 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-09-08 | 237.19 | 0.4598 | 0.5391 | no |
| ROP | 2025-09-08 | 514.57 | 0.2962 | 0.4800 | no |
| SBUX | 2025-09-08 | 83.37 | 0.2213 | 0.4150 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-09-08 | 600.92 | 0.3227 | 0.5015 | no |
| SO | 2025-09-08 | 88.51 | 0.2637 | 0.4413 | no |
| SWK | 2025-09-08 | 75.28 | 0.2269 | 0.5031 | no |
| TDG | 2025-09-08 | 1251.99 | 0.3393 | 0.5288 | no |
| TPL | 2025-09-08 | 298.98 | 0.2696 | 0.4424 | no |
| TT | 2025-09-08 | 411.80 | 0.1716 | 0.5049 | no |
| TTWO | 2025-09-08 | 241.78 | 0.3646 | 0.4245 | no |
| UHS | 2025-09-08 | 189.18 | 0.3827 | 0.4033 | no |
| VICI | 2025-09-08 | 30.88 | 0.2003 | 0.4033 | no |
| WDC | 2025-09-08 | 92.37 | 0.2108 | 0.5363 | no |
| XYL | 2025-09-08 | 138.57 | 0.2149 | 0.4745 | no |
| ZBH | 2025-09-08 | 104.30 | 0.3234 | 0.4286 | no |