P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.97% | 5.90% | 2026-01-22 | -5.47% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 8.75% | 8.89% | 2026-04-23 | -7.49% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 5.90% | 6.82% | 2026-01-15 | -5.00% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 10.37% | 10.96% | 2026-04-23 | -7.06% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 2.08% | 3.01% | 2026-01-22 | -6.89% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 10.07% | 10.39% | 2026-04-22 | -6.89% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.39% | 3.27% | 2026-01-22 | -7.12% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.31% | 10.29% | 2026-04-22 | -7.12% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABT | 2025-10-27 | 123.76 | 0.1986 | 0.4123 | no |
| ADI | 2025-10-27 | 236.74 | 0.2881 | 0.5695 | no |
| AME | 2025-10-27 | 186.24 | 0.1840 | 0.4954 | no |
| AOS | 2025-10-27 | 67.52 | 0.1715 | 0.4677 | no |
| APA | 2025-10-27 | 23.62 | 0.3876 | 0.4816 | no |
| APO | 2025-10-27 | 124.82 | 0.3001 | — | no |
| APTV | 2025-10-27 | 86.86 | 0.2472 | 0.4518 | no |
| BX | 2025-10-27 | 149.23 | 0.5112 | 0.4629 | no |
| C | 2025-10-27 | 97.24 | 0.2320 | 0.4416 | no |
| CNC | 2025-10-27 | 34.06 | 0.3562 | 0.4466 | no |
| CSGP | 2025-10-27 | 77.89 | 0.3351 | 0.4197 | no |
| D | 2025-10-27 | 58.36 | 0.1710 | 0.4653 | no |
| DHI | 2025-10-27 | 156.37 | 0.2206 | 0.4211 | no |
| DIS | 2025-10-27 | 110.34 | 0.2199 | 0.4149 | no |
| DVA | 2025-10-27 | 129.17 | 0.1831 | 0.4640 | no |
| DXCM | 2025-10-27 | 70.87 | 0.2557 | 0.4096 | no |
| ERIE | 2025-10-27 | 319.61 | 0.2754 | — | no |
| FANG | 2025-10-27 | 143.05 | 0.2078 | 0.4733 | no |
| FITB | 2025-10-27 | 41.82 | 0.1637 | 0.4162 | no |
| GEV | 2025-10-27 | 589.71 | 0.2040 | 0.5399 | no |
| HSIC | 2025-10-27 | 64.00 | 0.2611 | 0.4114 | no |
| HUBB | 2025-10-27 | 433.92 | 0.2166 | 0.4886 | no |
| KHC | 2025-10-27 | 23.64 | 0.1652 | — | no |
| KKR | 2025-10-27 | 122.08 | 0.2187 | 0.4776 | no |
| KMX | 2025-10-27 | 44.71 | 0.2459 | 0.4578 | no |
| LLY | 2025-10-27 | 819.83 | 0.2216 | 0.4467 | no |
| MAS | 2025-10-27 | 67.00 | 0.2964 | 0.4305 | no |
| MCO | 2025-10-27 | 490.73 | 0.2705 | 0.4300 | no |
| MET | 2025-10-27 | 77.11 | 0.1892 | 0.4568 | no |
| MGM | 2025-10-27 | 33.20 | 0.6091 | 0.4133 | no |
| MOH | 2025-10-27 | 163.87 | 0.1859 | 0.4592 | no |
| MSFT | 2025-10-27 | 527.44 | 0.1753 | 0.4713 | no |
| MTB | 2025-10-27 | 180.92 | 0.2607 | 0.4225 | no |
| MU | 2025-10-27 | 224.59 | 0.4354 | 0.6037 | no |
| NOW | 2025-10-27 | 188.81 | 0.1839 | 0.4999 | no |
| ODFL | 2025-10-27 | 135.42 | 0.1990 | 0.4229 | no |
| OKE | 2025-10-27 | 65.36 | 0.2270 | 0.4689 | no |
| PFG | 2025-10-27 | 77.08 | 0.1909 | 0.4740 | no |
| PHM | 2025-10-27 | 120.65 | 0.2275 | 0.4335 | no |
| PKG | 2025-10-27 | 200.40 | 0.3156 | 0.4161 | no |
| PRU | 2025-10-27 | 97.41 | 0.2964 | 0.4691 | no |
| RCL | 2025-10-27 | 314.70 | 0.1785 | 0.4523 | no |
| RSG | 2025-10-27 | 220.93 | 0.2309 | 0.4405 | no |
| SWKS | 2025-10-27 | 72.33 | 0.2745 | 0.5375 | no |
| TRV | 2025-10-27 | 265.58 | 0.2127 | 0.4697 | no |
| TSLA | 2025-10-27 | 439.98 | 0.2868 | 0.4717 | no |
| TSN | 2025-10-27 | 49.72 | 0.2127 | 0.4365 | no |
| TT | 2025-10-27 | 426.16 | 0.1909 | 0.4986 | no |
| VLO | 2025-10-27 | 167.92 | 0.2084 | 0.4918 | no |
| VLTO | 2025-10-27 | 104.12 | 0.2610 | 0.4743 | no |