P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 0.60% | 4.72% | 2026-02-27 | -3.93% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 7.79% | 10.23% | 2026-06-04 | -9.45% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -0.31% | 5.20% | 2026-02-11 | -5.24% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 7.93% | 10.18% | 2026-06-04 | -10.83% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -0.02% | 3.60% | 2026-02-18 | -5.38% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 17.12% | 21.73% | 2026-06-02 | -6.41% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 1.30% | 4.51% | 2026-01-22 | -5.98% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 17.07% | 21.52% | 2026-06-02 | -6.18% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABBV | 2025-12-08 | 220.86 | 0.3505 | 0.4803 | no |
| ALL | 2025-12-08 | 200.96 | 0.1934 | 0.4522 | no |
| ANET | 2025-12-08 | 129.73 | 0.3261 | 0.5408 | no |
| APTV | 2025-12-08 | 76.88 | 0.3508 | 0.4578 | no |
| AZO | 2025-12-08 | 3790.00 | 0.5102 | 0.4340 | no |
| BAX | 2025-12-08 | 18.62 | 0.2101 | 0.4143 | no |
| BX | 2025-12-08 | 147.71 | 0.3309 | 0.4616 | no |
| CARR | 2025-12-08 | 53.62 | 0.3068 | 0.5006 | no |
| CSX | 2025-12-08 | 35.99 | 0.1846 | 0.4277 | no |
| DASH | 2025-12-08 | 224.65 | 0.2420 | 0.4561 | no |
| DECK | 2025-12-08 | 99.39 | 0.3866 | 0.4118 | no |
| DELL | 2025-12-08 | 137.36 | 0.3627 | 0.5503 | no |
| DHI | 2025-12-08 | 156.47 | 0.3281 | 0.4216 | no |
| ECL | 2025-12-08 | 256.90 | 0.2201 | 0.4056 | no |
| ED | 2025-12-08 | 94.25 | 0.2621 | — | no |
| EG | 2025-12-08 | 303.97 | 0.2586 | 0.4473 | no |
| EPAM | 2025-12-08 | 204.63 | 0.2434 | 0.4149 | no |
| ETR | 2025-12-08 | 92.49 | 0.1843 | 0.4303 | no |
| FCX | 2025-12-08 | 45.06 | 0.2859 | — | no |
| FOXA | 2025-12-08 | 68.23 | 0.2498 | 0.4047 | no |
| FTNT | 2025-12-08 | 86.96 | 0.2075 | 0.5017 | no |
| GEN | 2025-12-08 | 26.70 | 0.2542 | 0.5411 | no |
| GEV | 2025-12-08 | 629.89 | 0.3070 | 0.5391 | no |
| HIG | 2025-12-08 | 128.00 | 0.2197 | 0.4442 | no |
| IRM | 2025-12-08 | 81.51 | 0.2540 | 0.4079 | no |
| LYV | 2025-12-08 | 138.91 | 0.4013 | 0.4318 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-12-08 | 65.19 | 0.3143 | 0.5802 | no |
| MLM | 2025-12-08 | 622.33 | 0.1959 | 0.4676 | no |
| MOS | 2025-12-08 | 23.00 | 0.2949 | 0.4105 | no |
| MSI | 2025-12-08 | 368.25 | 0.1841 | 0.5447 | no |
| NFLX | 2025-12-08 | 99.87 | 0.1850 | — | no |
| NKE | 2025-12-08 | 63.91 | 0.3157 | 0.4093 | no |
| NOC | 2025-12-08 | 542.38 | 0.2045 | 0.5329 | no |
| NOW | 2025-12-08 | 170.85 | 0.2368 | 0.4319 | no |
| NTAP | 2025-12-08 | 116.09 | 0.2091 | 0.5508 | no |
| ODFL | 2025-12-08 | 156.37 | 0.3128 | 0.4084 | no |
| ON | 2025-12-08 | 55.14 | 0.4784 | 0.5690 | no |
| PHM | 2025-12-08 | 125.25 | 0.2953 | 0.4341 | no |
| PNR | 2025-12-08 | 103.24 | 0.3988 | 0.4747 | no |
| PSKY | 2025-12-08 | 13.82 | 0.2739 | — | no |
| SHW | 2025-12-08 | 329.12 | 0.1995 | 0.4014 | no |
| TFC | 2025-12-08 | 46.26 | 0.2111 | 0.4252 | no |
| TMO | 2025-12-08 | 568.80 | 0.2506 | 0.4068 | no |
| TTD | 2025-12-08 | 40.20 | 0.6180 | 0.4095 | no |
| UNH | 2025-12-08 | 322.33 | 0.3906 | 0.4643 | no |
| VLTO | 2025-12-08 | 101.51 | 0.2225 | 0.4727 | no |
| VST | 2025-12-08 | 167.12 | 0.6939 | 0.4577 | no |
| WMB | 2025-12-08 | 60.67 | 0.2238 | 0.5002 | no |
| WSM | 2025-12-08 | 177.77 | 0.2627 | 0.4735 | no |
| ZTS | 2025-12-08 | 116.67 | 0.4583 | 0.4175 | no |