P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 1.06% | 4.79% | 2026-03-02 | -3.56% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 4.83% | 7.07% | 2026-06-04 | -7.80% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -0.03% | 3.73% | 2026-02-27 | -3.63% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 2.74% | 4.33% | 2026-06-04 | -8.56% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -2.15% | 2.59% | 2026-01-15 | -5.49% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 15.17% | 19.50% | 2026-06-02 | -7.75% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -2.43% | 2.30% | 2026-01-15 | -5.27% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 13.51% | 17.37% | 2026-06-02 | -6.81% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABBV | 2025-12-08 | 220.86 | 0.2083 | 0.4803 | no |
| ADBE | 2025-12-08 | 347.45 | 0.1821 | 0.4732 | no |
| APTV | 2025-12-08 | 76.88 | 0.1938 | 0.4578 | no |
| AZO | 2025-12-08 | 3790.00 | 0.4538 | 0.4340 | no |
| BIIB | 2025-12-08 | 181.30 | 0.1677 | 0.5143 | no |
| BX | 2025-12-08 | 147.71 | 0.3684 | 0.4616 | no |
| CARR | 2025-12-08 | 53.62 | 0.1809 | 0.5006 | no |
| CAT | 2025-12-08 | 600.99 | 0.1871 | 0.4525 | no |
| CB | 2025-12-08 | 291.84 | 0.3308 | 0.4479 | no |
| CBRE | 2025-12-08 | 160.16 | 0.2019 | 0.4157 | no |
| DELL | 2025-12-08 | 137.36 | 0.4184 | 0.5503 | no |
| DHI | 2025-12-08 | 156.47 | 0.2489 | 0.4216 | no |
| EPAM | 2025-12-08 | 204.63 | 0.2864 | 0.4149 | no |
| ETR | 2025-12-08 | 92.49 | 0.1864 | 0.4303 | no |
| GEV | 2025-12-08 | 629.89 | 0.2528 | 0.5391 | no |
| GOOG | 2025-12-08 | 320.40 | 0.1789 | — | no |
| GPC | 2025-12-08 | 126.20 | 0.1620 | 0.4879 | no |
| IR | 2025-12-08 | 79.71 | 0.3129 | 0.4975 | no |
| IRM | 2025-12-08 | 81.51 | 0.3324 | 0.4079 | no |
| LHX | 2025-12-08 | 275.72 | 0.1725 | 0.5378 | no |
| LII | 2025-12-08 | 505.96 | 0.2935 | 0.4751 | no |
| LOW | 2025-12-08 | 243.33 | 0.1940 | 0.4920 | no |
| LYV | 2025-12-08 | 138.91 | 0.4796 | 0.4318 | no |
| MDT | 2025-12-08 | 99.35 | 0.2793 | 0.4035 | no |
| MLM | 2025-12-08 | 622.33 | 0.2146 | 0.4676 | no |
| MOS | 2025-12-08 | 23.00 | 0.3033 | 0.4105 | no |
| MSCI | 2025-12-08 | 529.77 | 0.2467 | 0.4584 | no |
| MSI | 2025-12-08 | 368.25 | 0.1633 | 0.5447 | no |
| NFLX | 2025-12-08 | 99.87 | 0.3781 | — | no |
| NOW | 2025-12-08 | 170.85 | 0.3330 | 0.4319 | no |
| NRG | 2025-12-08 | 162.60 | 0.3013 | 0.4705 | no |
| NWSA | 2025-12-08 | 25.92 | 0.3478 | 0.5150 | no |
| ODFL | 2025-12-08 | 156.37 | 0.3051 | 0.4084 | no |
| ON | 2025-12-08 | 55.14 | 0.6179 | 0.5690 | no |
| OXY | 2025-12-08 | 41.03 | 0.2185 | 0.5039 | no |
| PAYC | 2025-12-08 | 162.65 | 0.1982 | 0.4117 | no |
| PCG | 2025-12-08 | 15.05 | 0.1812 | 0.4529 | no |
| PHM | 2025-12-08 | 125.25 | 0.2315 | 0.4341 | no |
| PNR | 2025-12-08 | 103.24 | 0.3984 | 0.4747 | no |
| PSKY | 2025-12-08 | 13.82 | 0.2594 | — | no |
| SOLV | 2025-12-08 | 85.33 | 0.2787 | 0.4671 | no |
| TFC | 2025-12-08 | 46.26 | 0.1751 | 0.4252 | no |
| TTD | 2025-12-08 | 40.20 | 0.3466 | 0.4095 | no |
| UNH | 2025-12-08 | 322.33 | 0.2724 | 0.4643 | no |
| VLTO | 2025-12-08 | 101.51 | 0.2453 | 0.4727 | no |
| VST | 2025-12-08 | 167.12 | 0.6628 | 0.4577 | no |
| WMB | 2025-12-08 | 60.67 | 0.2483 | 0.5002 | no |
| WY | 2025-12-08 | 21.52 | 0.1761 | 0.4300 | no |
| XOM | 2025-12-08 | 113.55 | 0.2371 | 0.4779 | no |
| ZTS | 2025-12-08 | 116.67 | 0.1972 | 0.4175 | no |