P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.03% | 9.09% | 2026-02-13 | -5.56% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 10.32% | 12.64% | 2026-06-04 | -10.27% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.04% | 7.50% | 2026-02-11 | -5.08% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 9.04% | 10.98% | 2026-06-04 | -9.80% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -0.96% | 3.79% | 2026-01-22 | -5.11% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 12.06% | 15.63% | 2026-06-02 | -8.45% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 0.39% | 4.25% | 2026-01-22 | -5.14% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 11.30% | 14.86% | 2026-06-02 | -7.54% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANET | 2025-12-08 | 129.73 | 0.2123 | 0.5408 | no |
| AOS | 2025-12-08 | 66.75 | 0.1745 | 0.4649 | no |
| APTV | 2025-12-08 | 76.88 | 0.4034 | 0.4578 | no |
| AZO | 2025-12-08 | 3790.00 | 0.3955 | 0.4340 | no |
| BRK.B | 2025-12-08 | 502.10 | 0.2178 | — | no |
| BX | 2025-12-08 | 147.71 | 0.6378 | 0.4616 | no |
| CARR | 2025-12-08 | 53.62 | 0.2801 | 0.5006 | no |
| CBRE | 2025-12-08 | 160.16 | 0.2178 | 0.4157 | no |
| CVX | 2025-12-08 | 145.20 | 0.1928 | 0.4788 | no |
| DELL | 2025-12-08 | 137.36 | 0.4951 | 0.5503 | no |
| EG | 2025-12-08 | 303.97 | 0.2423 | 0.4473 | no |
| EPAM | 2025-12-08 | 204.63 | 0.3041 | 0.4149 | no |
| ETR | 2025-12-08 | 92.49 | 0.2295 | 0.4303 | no |
| F | 2025-12-08 | 12.63 | 0.2434 | 0.4546 | no |
| FCX | 2025-12-08 | 45.06 | 0.2114 | — | no |
| FITB | 2025-12-08 | 44.51 | 0.1945 | 0.4162 | no |
| GEN | 2025-12-08 | 26.70 | 0.2328 | 0.5411 | no |
| GEV | 2025-12-08 | 629.89 | 0.5557 | 0.5391 | no |
| GOOG | 2025-12-08 | 320.40 | 0.1797 | — | no |
| GPC | 2025-12-08 | 126.20 | 0.2554 | 0.4879 | no |
| HWM | 2025-12-08 | 191.40 | 0.2493 | 0.5227 | no |
| IEX | 2025-12-08 | 175.55 | 0.2703 | 0.4610 | no |
| IRM | 2025-12-08 | 81.51 | 0.3283 | 0.4079 | no |
| LHX | 2025-12-08 | 275.72 | 0.2382 | 0.5378 | no |
| LII | 2025-12-08 | 505.96 | 0.3010 | 0.4751 | no |
| LOW | 2025-12-08 | 243.33 | 0.1867 | 0.4920 | no |
| LRCX | 2025-12-08 | 161.67 | 0.2969 | 0.6010 | no |
| LYV | 2025-12-08 | 138.91 | 0.6749 | 0.4318 | no |
| MAS | 2025-12-08 | 61.43 | 0.1914 | 0.4362 | no |
| MDT | 2025-12-08 | 99.35 | 0.3247 | 0.4035 | no |
| MOS | 2025-12-08 | 23.00 | 0.3860 | 0.4105 | no |
| NKE | 2025-12-08 | 63.91 | 0.3208 | 0.4093 | no |
| NRG | 2025-12-08 | 162.60 | 0.2502 | 0.4705 | no |
| NWSA | 2025-12-08 | 25.92 | 0.3167 | 0.5150 | no |
| ODFL | 2025-12-08 | 156.37 | 0.4235 | 0.4084 | no |
| ON | 2025-12-08 | 55.14 | 0.6693 | 0.5690 | no |
| PCG | 2025-12-08 | 15.05 | 0.2363 | 0.4529 | no |
| PHM | 2025-12-08 | 125.25 | 0.2150 | 0.4341 | no |
| PNR | 2025-12-08 | 103.24 | 0.3726 | 0.4747 | no |
| PSKY | 2025-12-08 | 13.82 | 0.1765 | — | no |
| SNA | 2025-12-08 | 341.14 | 0.1812 | 0.4249 | no |
| SW | 2025-12-08 | 35.11 | 0.1694 | 0.4329 | no |
| TMO | 2025-12-08 | 568.80 | 0.1939 | 0.4068 | no |
| TTD | 2025-12-08 | 40.20 | 0.4997 | 0.4095 | no |
| UAL | 2025-12-08 | 105.33 | 0.1987 | 0.5045 | no |
| UNH | 2025-12-08 | 322.33 | 0.2890 | 0.4643 | no |
| VST | 2025-12-08 | 167.12 | 0.5863 | 0.4577 | no |
| WEC | 2025-12-08 | 103.01 | 0.2075 | 0.4451 | no |
| WY | 2025-12-08 | 21.52 | 0.2003 | 0.4300 | no |
| XOM | 2025-12-08 | 113.55 | 0.3096 | 0.4779 | no |