P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 2.24% | 7.05% | 2026-02-27 | -4.49% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 8.85% | 11.37% | 2026-06-04 | -9.83% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 1.47% | 6.24% | 2026-02-11 | -4.49% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 7.59% | 9.70% | 2026-06-04 | -9.91% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -1.80% | 3.51% | 2026-01-06 | -5.60% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 13.23% | 17.67% | 2026-06-02 | -6.99% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 1.25% | 3.81% | 2026-01-06 | -4.82% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 14.14% | 17.84% | 2026-06-02 | -4.82% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLE | 2025-12-08 | 157.00 | 0.2311 | 0.4974 | no |
| APTV | 2025-12-08 | 76.88 | 0.3653 | 0.4578 | no |
| AZO | 2025-12-08 | 3790.00 | 0.3216 | 0.4340 | no |
| BX | 2025-12-08 | 147.71 | 0.3860 | 0.4616 | no |
| CARR | 2025-12-08 | 53.62 | 0.3969 | 0.5006 | no |
| CAT | 2025-12-08 | 600.99 | 0.2064 | 0.4525 | no |
| CB | 2025-12-08 | 291.84 | 0.1853 | 0.4479 | no |
| CBRE | 2025-12-08 | 160.16 | 0.2268 | 0.4157 | no |
| CTAS | 2025-12-08 | 184.73 | 0.2306 | 0.4473 | no |
| DELL | 2025-12-08 | 137.36 | 0.3509 | 0.5503 | no |
| DHI | 2025-12-08 | 156.47 | 0.3342 | 0.4216 | no |
| DVA | 2025-12-08 | 117.10 | 0.2589 | 0.4640 | no |
| ED | 2025-12-08 | 94.25 | 0.2138 | — | no |
| EG | 2025-12-08 | 303.97 | 0.2493 | 0.4473 | no |
| EPAM | 2025-12-08 | 204.63 | 0.3331 | 0.4149 | no |
| ETR | 2025-12-08 | 92.49 | 0.2106 | 0.4303 | no |
| F | 2025-12-08 | 12.63 | 0.2278 | 0.4546 | no |
| FCX | 2025-12-08 | 45.06 | 0.2521 | — | no |
| GE | 2025-12-08 | 283.91 | 0.2066 | 0.5088 | no |
| GEN | 2025-12-08 | 26.70 | 0.2452 | 0.5411 | no |
| GEV | 2025-12-08 | 629.89 | 0.3893 | 0.5391 | no |
| GOOG | 2025-12-08 | 320.40 | 0.1925 | — | no |
| HIG | 2025-12-08 | 128.00 | 0.2281 | 0.4442 | no |
| IR | 2025-12-08 | 79.71 | 0.2906 | 0.4975 | no |
| IRM | 2025-12-08 | 81.51 | 0.2214 | 0.4079 | no |
| LHX | 2025-12-08 | 275.72 | 0.2803 | 0.5378 | no |
| LII | 2025-12-08 | 505.96 | 0.3003 | 0.4751 | no |
| LOW | 2025-12-08 | 243.33 | 0.2617 | 0.4920 | no |
| LYV | 2025-12-08 | 138.91 | 0.5776 | 0.4318 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-12-08 | 65.19 | 0.2692 | 0.5802 | no |
| MOS | 2025-12-08 | 23.00 | 0.3373 | 0.4105 | no |
| NFLX | 2025-12-08 | 99.87 | 0.2597 | — | no |
| NRG | 2025-12-08 | 162.60 | 0.2068 | 0.4705 | no |
| NTAP | 2025-12-08 | 116.09 | 0.2726 | 0.5508 | no |
| ODFL | 2025-12-08 | 156.37 | 0.3999 | 0.4084 | no |
| ON | 2025-12-08 | 55.14 | 0.5622 | 0.5690 | no |
| PAYC | 2025-12-08 | 162.65 | 0.3760 | 0.4117 | no |
| PCG | 2025-12-08 | 15.05 | 0.1943 | 0.4529 | no |
| PNR | 2025-12-08 | 103.24 | 0.2830 | 0.4747 | no |
| PSKY | 2025-12-08 | 13.82 | 0.4001 | — | no |
| SCHW | 2025-12-08 | 92.72 | 0.1938 | — | no |
| SW | 2025-12-08 | 35.11 | 0.2164 | 0.4329 | no |
| TFC | 2025-12-08 | 46.26 | 0.2648 | 0.4252 | no |
| TMO | 2025-12-08 | 568.80 | 0.2707 | 0.4068 | no |
| TTD | 2025-12-08 | 40.20 | 0.4968 | 0.4095 | no |
| UNH | 2025-12-08 | 322.33 | 0.2249 | 0.4643 | no |
| VST | 2025-12-08 | 167.12 | 0.6822 | 0.4577 | no |
| WMB | 2025-12-08 | 60.67 | 0.2390 | 0.5002 | no |
| XYL | 2025-12-08 | 137.22 | 0.2487 | 0.4832 | no |
| ZTS | 2025-12-08 | 116.67 | 0.4267 | 0.4175 | no |