P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -4.98% | 4.90% | 2026-02-18 | -9.42% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 12.32% | 13.13% | 2026-06-02 | -10.66% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -2.66% | 5.75% | 2026-02-27 | -7.95% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 14.42% | 14.56% | 2026-06-15 | -8.72% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -0.90% | 4.26% | 2026-02-18 | -5.38% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | complete | 22.67% | 22.91% | 2026-06-15 | -6.66% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | -0.47% | 4.57% | 2026-01-22 | -5.98% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | complete | 21.20% | 22.22% | 2026-06-15 | -6.18% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABBV | 2025-12-22 | 220.89 | 0.2881 | 0.4834 | no |
| AKAM | 2025-12-22 | 89.19 | 0.1864 | 0.5023 | no |
| ALLE | 2025-12-22 | 158.01 | 0.2047 | 0.4974 | no |
| ANET | 2025-12-22 | 133.43 | 0.2288 | 0.5408 | no |
| APO | 2025-12-22 | 145.39 | 0.2022 | — | no |
| APP | 2025-12-22 | 731.97 | 0.2033 | 0.4183 | no |
| BLDR | 2025-12-22 | 103.56 | 0.1895 | 0.4327 | no |
| CAT | 2025-12-22 | 580.94 | 0.2835 | 0.4525 | no |
| CHTR | 2025-12-22 | 205.31 | 0.5158 | 0.4535 | no |
| COIN | 2025-12-22 | 251.68 | 1.0296 | 0.4592 | no |
| DD | 2025-12-22 | 123.00 | 0.2225 | 0.4128 | no |
| DELL | 2025-12-22 | 127.60 | 0.4469 | 0.5502 | no |
| DHI | 2025-12-22 | 145.14 | 0.2962 | 0.4216 | no |
| ED | 2025-12-22 | 95.16 | 0.1873 | — | no |
| EG | 2025-12-22 | 324.85 | 0.2732 | 0.4471 | no |
| EQIX | 2025-12-22 | 741.84 | 0.2210 | 0.4074 | no |
| GE | 2025-12-22 | 308.46 | 0.3502 | 0.5091 | no |
| GNRC | 2025-12-22 | 139.95 | 0.8213 | 0.4328 | no |
| GOOGL | 2025-12-22 | 309.28 | 0.3450 | 0.5384 | no |
| GPN | 2025-12-22 | 79.83 | 0.4600 | 0.4209 | no |
| HD | 2025-12-22 | 337.97 | 0.3152 | 0.4668 | no |
| HOOD | 2025-12-22 | 123.51 | 0.4574 | 0.4503 | no |
| HPQ | 2025-12-22 | 22.62 | 0.2235 | 0.4917 | no |
| IP | 2025-12-22 | 36.92 | 0.1993 | 0.4009 | no |
| JBHT | 2025-12-22 | 197.61 | 0.2930 | 0.4164 | no |
| LLY | 2025-12-22 | 1071.54 | 0.2538 | 0.4422 | no |
| LUV | 2025-12-22 | 40.66 | 0.4590 | — | no |
| MAS | 2025-12-22 | 63.46 | 0.3151 | 0.4362 | no |
| MCHP | 2025-12-22 | 64.94 | 0.2063 | 0.5802 | no |
| MHK | 2025-12-22 | 107.58 | 0.2424 | 0.4212 | no |
| MOS | 2025-12-22 | 23.39 | 0.2221 | 0.4105 | no |
| NCLH | 2025-12-22 | 22.91 | 0.4729 | 0.4337 | no |
| NEM | 2025-12-22 | 104.13 | 0.3205 | 0.5589 | no |
| NFLX | 2025-12-22 | 94.71 | 0.5004 | — | no |
| NTAP | 2025-12-22 | 111.36 | 0.2709 | 0.5507 | no |
| NVDA | 2025-12-22 | 183.49 | 0.2316 | 0.6034 | no |
| ODFL | 2025-12-22 | 157.73 | 0.5970 | 0.4120 | no |
| OMC | 2025-12-22 | 79.26 | 0.3522 | 0.4464 | no |
| ON | 2025-12-22 | 55.66 | 0.4793 | 0.5690 | no |
| ORCL | 2025-12-22 | 194.94 | 0.7224 | 0.5527 | no |
| PNR | 2025-12-22 | 102.85 | 0.2586 | 0.4747 | no |
| RVTY | 2025-12-22 | 96.39 | 0.2077 | 0.4069 | no |
| SHW | 2025-12-22 | 319.15 | 0.2864 | 0.4015 | no |
| SNPS | 2025-12-22 | 468.25 | 0.3067 | 0.5586 | no |
| SO | 2025-12-22 | 83.23 | 0.3566 | 0.4530 | no |
| TPR | 2025-12-22 | 125.50 | 0.1980 | 0.4034 | no |
| TTD | 2025-12-22 | 37.53 | 0.2839 | 0.4095 | no |
| VST | 2025-12-22 | 163.55 | 0.7177 | 0.4577 | no |
| WEC | 2025-12-22 | 100.67 | 0.2184 | 0.4451 | no |
| XYL | 2025-12-22 | 136.65 | 0.2169 | 0.4832 | no |