P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 23.49% | 25.92% | 2026-06-02 | -6.81% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 25.76% | 30.81% | 2026-08-13 | -6.81% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 20.84% | 22.72% | 2026-06-02 | -6.53% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 23.67% | 28.47% | 2026-08-13 | -6.53% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 14.82% | 19.86% | 2026-06-30 | -6.66% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 15.73% | 20.69% | 2026-08-19 | -10.83% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 13.77% | 19.23% | 2026-06-30 | -5.62% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 15.68% | 20.02% | 2026-08-19 | -10.84% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM | 2026-04-13 | 69.64 | 0.2655 | 0.4564 | no |
| ALGN | 2026-04-13 | 171.74 | 0.3630 | 0.4342 | no |
| AMCR | 2026-04-13 | 39.49 | 0.3270 | 0.4427 | no |
| APA | 2026-04-13 | 39.09 | 0.7147 | 0.5640 | no |
| APO | 2026-04-13 | 103.09 | 0.3291 | — | no |
| APTV | 2026-04-13 | 58.94 | 0.6349 | 0.4313 | no |
| ARES | 2026-04-13 | 97.87 | 0.3437 | 0.4580 | no |
| AVY | 2026-04-13 | 168.65 | 0.3599 | 0.4390 | no |
| AXON | 2026-04-13 | 345.89 | 1.5164 | 0.4894 | no |
| BKR | 2026-04-13 | 62.25 | 0.2658 | 0.4498 | no |
| CEG | 2026-04-13 | 282.17 | 0.6398 | 0.4615 | no |
| CF | 2026-04-13 | 123.58 | 0.5071 | 0.4321 | no |
| CNC | 2026-04-13 | 36.85 | 0.4983 | 0.4603 | no |
| COF | 2026-04-13 | 189.55 | 0.3391 | 0.4697 | no |
| DDOG | 2026-04-13 | 105.33 | 0.4495 | 0.4290 | no |
| DELL | 2026-04-13 | 178.15 | 0.3314 | 0.5471 | no |
| DXCM | 2026-04-13 | 63.99 | 0.3266 | 0.4265 | no |
| ECL | 2026-04-13 | 270.27 | 0.3693 | 0.4557 | no |
| FICO | 2026-04-13 | 927.41 | 0.9321 | 0.4493 | no |
| GE | 2026-04-13 | 306.05 | 0.5256 | 0.5061 | no |
| GEN | 2026-04-13 | 17.67 | 0.3523 | 0.4927 | no |
| GLW | 2026-04-13 | 169.07 | 0.4144 | 0.5143 | no |
| HBAN | 2026-04-13 | 15.97 | 0.2604 | 0.4338 | no |
| HOOD | 2026-04-13 | 68.21 | 0.6562 | 0.4222 | no |
| IBKR | 2026-04-13 | 70.37 | 0.6504 | 0.5127 | no |
| IVZ | 2026-04-13 | 22.96 | 0.5325 | 0.4548 | no |
| JCI | 2026-04-13 | 141.22 | 0.3842 | 0.4967 | no |
| KLAC | 2026-04-13 | 173.05 | 0.3534 | 0.6173 | no |
| LOW | 2026-04-13 | 241.18 | 0.6995 | 0.4909 | no |
| MAS | 2026-04-13 | 62.62 | 0.2848 | 0.4443 | no |
| MCO | 2026-04-13 | 423.35 | 0.2681 | 0.4564 | no |
| MMM | 2026-04-13 | 148.51 | 0.3753 | 0.5044 | no |
| MSFT | 2026-04-13 | 372.10 | 0.3510 | 0.4604 | no |
| MU | 2026-04-13 | 416.41 | 0.4043 | 0.6262 | no |
| NOW | 2026-04-13 | 84.77 | 0.8093 | 0.4242 | no |
| NTRS | 2026-04-13 | 149.30 | 0.4138 | 0.4530 | no |
| NVR | 2026-04-13 | 6743.43 | 0.6043 | — | no |
| OXY | 2026-04-13 | 58.08 | 0.4450 | 0.5580 | no |
| PANW | 2026-04-13 | 155.58 | 0.3911 | 0.4656 | no |
| PLTR | 2026-04-13 | 130.23 | 0.3707 | 0.5553 | no |
| QCOM | 2026-04-13 | 126.84 | 0.2827 | 0.6098 | no |
| SMCI | 2026-04-13 | 25.06 | 0.5259 | 0.5118 | no |
| SNPS | 2026-04-13 | 392.50 | 0.5216 | 0.5058 | no |
| SPGI | 2026-04-13 | 392.53 | 0.3334 | 0.4509 | no |
| SWK | 2026-04-13 | 70.34 | 0.2938 | 0.4893 | no |
| TER | 2026-04-13 | 365.66 | 0.4374 | 0.6330 | no |
| TSLA | 2026-04-13 | 350.07 | 0.3280 | 0.4568 | no |
| TXN | 2026-04-13 | 211.78 | 0.4186 | 0.5898 | no |
| VRT | 2026-04-13 | 294.85 | 0.4201 | 0.4861 | no |
| WDAY | 2026-04-13 | 114.30 | 1.3864 | 0.4368 | no |