P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 18.35% | 19.85% | 2026-06-01 | -6.13% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 21.20% | 25.65% | 2026-08-14 | -6.13% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 13.88% | 15.59% | 2026-07-06 | -5.12% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 13.42% | 20.33% | 2026-08-13 | -6.17% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 12.76% | 17.67% | 2026-06-30 | -5.60% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 15.29% | 20.39% | 2026-08-19 | -9.37% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 12.46% | 16.99% | 2026-06-30 | -5.20% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 14.82% | 20.52% | 2026-08-19 | -8.63% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM | 2026-04-13 | 69.64 | 0.2435 | 0.4564 | no |
| ALGN | 2026-04-13 | 171.74 | 0.5644 | 0.4342 | no |
| AMCR | 2026-04-13 | 39.49 | 0.4070 | 0.4427 | no |
| APA | 2026-04-13 | 39.09 | 0.6508 | 0.5640 | no |
| APO | 2026-04-13 | 103.09 | 0.4020 | — | no |
| APTV | 2026-04-13 | 58.94 | 0.5596 | 0.4313 | no |
| AVY | 2026-04-13 | 168.65 | 0.2843 | 0.4390 | no |
| AXON | 2026-04-13 | 345.89 | 1.5190 | 0.4894 | no |
| CARR | 2026-04-13 | 62.84 | 0.3568 | 0.4966 | no |
| CEG | 2026-04-13 | 282.17 | 0.4610 | 0.4615 | no |
| CF | 2026-04-13 | 123.58 | 0.2795 | 0.4321 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-04-13 | 493.44 | 0.2506 | 0.5703 | no |
| CNC | 2026-04-13 | 36.85 | 0.4039 | 0.4603 | no |
| CPRT | 2026-04-13 | 32.70 | 0.2492 | 0.5241 | no |
| CRH | 2026-04-13 | 114.76 | 0.3357 | 0.4446 | no |
| DDOG | 2026-04-13 | 105.33 | 0.5212 | 0.4290 | no |
| DELL | 2026-04-13 | 178.15 | 0.2638 | 0.5471 | no |
| DIS | 2026-04-13 | 97.78 | 0.2557 | 0.4316 | no |
| DLTR | 2026-04-13 | 98.22 | 0.2537 | 0.5000 | no |
| ECL | 2026-04-13 | 270.27 | 0.2879 | 0.4557 | no |
| EFX | 2026-04-13 | 176.46 | 0.3458 | 0.4208 | no |
| EW | 2026-04-13 | 77.57 | 0.3373 | 0.4211 | no |
| FDS | 2026-04-13 | 210.59 | 0.3082 | 0.4668 | no |
| FICO | 2026-04-13 | 927.41 | 0.6402 | 0.4493 | no |
| GE | 2026-04-13 | 306.05 | 0.3480 | 0.5061 | no |
| HBAN | 2026-04-13 | 15.97 | 0.3879 | 0.4338 | no |
| HOOD | 2026-04-13 | 68.21 | 1.1630 | 0.4222 | no |
| HRL | 2026-04-13 | 20.30 | 0.4124 | 0.4596 | no |
| IBKR | 2026-04-13 | 70.37 | 0.6127 | 0.5127 | no |
| IVZ | 2026-04-13 | 22.96 | 0.5769 | 0.4548 | no |
| LITE | 2026-04-13 | 889.00 | 0.3008 | 0.6586 | no |
| LOW | 2026-04-13 | 241.18 | 0.6819 | 0.4909 | no |
| MPC | 2026-04-13 | 223.53 | 0.2575 | 0.5182 | no |
| MSFT | 2026-04-13 | 372.10 | 0.3773 | 0.4604 | no |
| NOW | 2026-04-13 | 84.77 | 0.7249 | 0.4242 | no |
| NTRS | 2026-04-13 | 149.30 | 0.3678 | 0.4530 | no |
| NVR | 2026-04-13 | 6743.43 | 0.5147 | — | no |
| PANW | 2026-04-13 | 155.58 | 0.3271 | 0.4656 | no |
| PLTR | 2026-04-13 | 130.23 | 0.2886 | 0.5553 | no |
| SMCI | 2026-04-13 | 25.06 | 0.5148 | 0.5118 | no |
| SNPS | 2026-04-13 | 392.50 | 0.4409 | 0.5058 | no |
| SPGI | 2026-04-13 | 392.53 | 0.2995 | 0.4509 | no |
| SWK | 2026-04-13 | 70.34 | 0.3695 | 0.4893 | no |
| SYY | 2026-04-13 | 72.54 | 0.3196 | 0.4307 | no |
| TER | 2026-04-13 | 365.66 | 0.3550 | 0.6330 | no |
| TRGP | 2026-04-13 | 242.43 | 0.2572 | 0.5232 | no |
| TSLA | 2026-04-13 | 350.07 | 0.4841 | 0.4568 | no |
| VRT | 2026-04-13 | 294.85 | 0.5479 | 0.4861 | no |
| WDAY | 2026-04-13 | 114.30 | 1.2718 | 0.4368 | no |
| XOM | 2026-04-13 | 152.24 | 0.2675 | 0.5083 | no |