P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 18.47% | 20.67% | 2026-06-02 | -6.29% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 19.34% | 24.95% | 2026-08-13 | -6.29% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 16.73% | 17.56% | 2026-06-02 | -5.74% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 16.47% | 21.77% | 2026-08-14 | -5.74% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 11.05% | 15.09% | 2026-06-02 | -6.51% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 14.03% | 18.26% | 2026-08-19 | -9.30% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 12.23% | 14.87% | 2026-06-30 | -5.37% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 16.80% | 20.28% | 2026-08-19 | -7.33% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 2026-04-13 | 39.49 | 0.4099 | 0.4427 | no |
| APA | 2026-04-13 | 39.09 | 0.6847 | 0.5640 | no |
| APTV | 2026-04-13 | 58.94 | 0.5001 | 0.4313 | no |
| ARES | 2026-04-13 | 97.87 | 0.5654 | 0.4580 | no |
| AVY | 2026-04-13 | 168.65 | 0.2816 | 0.4390 | no |
| AXON | 2026-04-13 | 345.89 | 1.5194 | 0.4894 | no |
| BA | 2026-04-13 | 216.25 | 0.2772 | 0.5187 | no |
| CEG | 2026-04-13 | 282.17 | 0.3726 | 0.4615 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-04-13 | 493.44 | 0.3041 | 0.5703 | no |
| CNC | 2026-04-13 | 36.85 | 0.5698 | 0.4603 | no |
| DDOG | 2026-04-13 | 105.33 | 0.4185 | 0.4290 | no |
| DELL | 2026-04-13 | 178.15 | 0.3639 | 0.5471 | no |
| DVN | 2026-04-13 | 47.68 | 0.4279 | 0.5320 | no |
| EFX | 2026-04-13 | 176.46 | 0.3724 | 0.4208 | no |
| FICO | 2026-04-13 | 927.41 | 0.8619 | 0.4493 | no |
| FIX | 2026-04-13 | 1581.43 | 0.2969 | 0.5170 | no |
| GE | 2026-04-13 | 306.05 | 0.3606 | 0.5061 | no |
| GLW | 2026-04-13 | 169.07 | 0.4654 | 0.5143 | no |
| HBAN | 2026-04-13 | 15.97 | 0.6039 | 0.4338 | no |
| HD | 2026-04-13 | 330.61 | 0.2904 | 0.4638 | no |
| HOOD | 2026-04-13 | 68.21 | 0.9552 | 0.4222 | no |
| HRL | 2026-04-13 | 20.30 | 0.3015 | 0.4596 | no |
| IBKR | 2026-04-13 | 70.37 | 0.5803 | 0.5127 | no |
| IVZ | 2026-04-13 | 22.96 | 0.5873 | 0.4548 | no |
| J | 2026-04-13 | 120.35 | 0.2693 | 0.5018 | no |
| JCI | 2026-04-13 | 141.22 | 0.3649 | 0.4967 | no |
| KLAC | 2026-04-13 | 173.05 | 0.3869 | 0.6173 | no |
| LOW | 2026-04-13 | 241.18 | 0.7515 | 0.4909 | no |
| MCO | 2026-04-13 | 423.35 | 0.3338 | 0.4564 | no |
| MLM | 2026-04-13 | 625.17 | 0.3354 | 0.5063 | no |
| MMM | 2026-04-13 | 148.51 | 0.3277 | 0.5044 | no |
| MOS | 2026-04-13 | 24.67 | 0.3642 | 0.4491 | no |
| MSFT | 2026-04-13 | 372.10 | 0.2691 | 0.4604 | no |
| MU | 2026-04-13 | 416.41 | 0.3695 | 0.6262 | no |
| NOW | 2026-04-13 | 84.77 | 0.8612 | 0.4242 | no |
| NTRS | 2026-04-13 | 149.30 | 0.3915 | 0.4530 | no |
| NVR | 2026-04-13 | 6743.43 | 0.4877 | — | no |
| OXY | 2026-04-13 | 58.08 | 0.3513 | 0.5580 | no |
| PHM | 2026-04-13 | 120.74 | 0.3264 | 0.4269 | no |
| PKG | 2026-04-13 | 202.96 | 0.2790 | 0.4172 | no |
| PLTR | 2026-04-13 | 130.23 | 0.2995 | 0.5553 | no |
| SHW | 2026-04-13 | 332.55 | 0.3633 | 0.4391 | no |
| SMCI | 2026-04-13 | 25.06 | 0.3907 | 0.5118 | no |
| SNPS | 2026-04-13 | 392.50 | 0.5352 | 0.5058 | no |
| SPGI | 2026-04-13 | 392.53 | 0.4357 | 0.4509 | no |
| SWK | 2026-04-13 | 70.34 | 0.4304 | 0.4893 | no |
| TXN | 2026-04-13 | 211.78 | 0.3669 | 0.5898 | no |
| VTRS | 2026-04-13 | 13.18 | 0.3174 | 0.5461 | no |
| WDAY | 2026-04-13 | 114.30 | 1.3254 | 0.4368 | no |
| WYNN | 2026-04-13 | 103.25 | 0.2900 | 0.4243 | no |