P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.98% | 7.88% | 2026-06-02 | -4.94% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 7.24% | 11.30% | 2026-08-13 | -4.94% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 5.58% | 8.08% | 2026-06-01 | -5.03% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 13.76% | 17.47% | 2026-09-03 | -5.03% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 0.29% | 10.67% | 2026-06-15 | -9.51% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 3.81% | 10.67% | 2026-06-15 | -11.54% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 0.95% | 10.22% | 2026-06-30 | -8.62% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 4.10% | 10.22% | 2026-06-30 | -10.57% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 2026-04-27 | 263.46 | 0.3198 | 0.5117 | no |
| APA | 2026-04-27 | 37.85 | 0.3678 | 0.5623 | no |
| APP | 2026-04-27 | 443.14 | 0.6284 | 0.4229 | no |
| APTV | 2026-04-27 | 60.03 | 0.3182 | 0.4260 | no |
| ARES | 2026-04-27 | 112.17 | 0.8601 | 0.4566 | no |
| BRO | 2026-04-27 | 65.36 | 0.3172 | 0.4732 | no |
| BX | 2026-04-27 | 119.64 | 0.7036 | 0.4395 | no |
| CCL | 2026-04-27 | 26.43 | 0.5002 | 0.4527 | no |
| CEG | 2026-04-27 | 317.02 | 0.5263 | 0.4600 | no |
| CF | 2026-04-27 | 121.30 | 0.7514 | 0.4255 | no |
| COHR | 2026-04-27 | 330.50 | 0.9549 | 0.6710 | no |
| COP | 2026-04-27 | 120.50 | 0.3652 | 0.5070 | no |
| CVNA | 2026-04-27 | 81.80 | 0.6404 | 0.4678 | no |
| DASH | 2026-04-27 | 178.71 | 0.6088 | 0.4774 | no |
| DELL | 2026-04-27 | 217.42 | 0.5202 | 0.5498 | no |
| DHR | 2026-04-27 | 176.39 | 0.3454 | 0.4271 | no |
| DOW | 2026-04-27 | 38.65 | 0.5590 | 0.4597 | no |
| EMR | 2026-04-27 | 140.46 | 0.4997 | 0.4948 | no |
| EXPE | 2026-04-27 | 246.96 | 0.3465 | 0.4876 | no |
| FDS | 2026-04-27 | 222.29 | 0.3898 | 0.4682 | no |
| FICO | 2026-04-27 | 999.27 | 0.5727 | 0.4518 | no |
| GEN | 2026-04-27 | 18.79 | 0.3882 | 0.5027 | no |
| HCA | 2026-04-27 | 436.83 | 0.4310 | 0.4651 | no |
| HOOD | 2026-04-27 | 84.28 | 0.4741 | 0.4275 | no |
| HRL | 2026-04-27 | 21.24 | 0.4744 | 0.4623 | no |
| HUM | 2026-04-27 | 214.49 | 0.3806 | 0.4735 | no |
| IR | 2026-04-27 | 83.11 | 0.3147 | 0.4916 | no |
| KEYS | 2026-04-27 | 346.40 | 0.6297 | 0.5312 | no |
| KKR | 2026-04-27 | 99.97 | 0.4301 | 0.4623 | no |
| KLAC | 2026-04-27 | 190.51 | 0.4993 | 0.6252 | no |
| LII | 2026-04-27 | 492.35 | 0.4951 | 0.4824 | no |
| LITE | 2026-04-27 | 855.74 | 0.4185 | 0.6585 | no |
| LYB | 2026-04-27 | 68.98 | 0.4816 | 0.4484 | no |
| MCHP | 2026-04-27 | 87.99 | 0.4865 | 0.6409 | no |
| MOS | 2026-04-27 | 23.76 | 0.5255 | 0.4564 | no |
| NCLH | 2026-04-27 | 18.17 | 0.3085 | 0.4631 | no |
| NEM | 2026-04-27 | 118.10 | 0.5201 | 0.5623 | no |
| NKE | 2026-04-27 | 43.74 | 0.3403 | 0.4172 | no |
| NOW | 2026-04-27 | 89.06 | 0.8950 | 0.4266 | no |
| NXPI | 2026-04-27 | 240.43 | 0.4884 | 0.6186 | no |
| ORCL | 2026-04-27 | 171.98 | 0.7773 | 0.4374 | no |
| OXY | 2026-04-27 | 56.84 | 0.6946 | 0.5580 | no |
| PSX | 2026-04-27 | 161.22 | 0.3936 | 0.4956 | no |
| ROK | 2026-04-27 | 401.81 | 0.3120 | 0.4876 | no |
| SNPS | 2026-04-27 | 496.94 | 0.5997 | 0.5459 | no |
| SWK | 2026-04-27 | 76.30 | 1.0485 | 0.4867 | no |
| TDG | 2026-04-27 | 1146.40 | 0.3259 | 0.5168 | no |
| TECH | 2026-04-27 | 54.13 | 0.3137 | 0.4261 | no |
| TER | 2026-04-27 | 421.12 | 0.2997 | 0.6521 | no |
| WDAY | 2026-04-27 | 117.66 | 0.7591 | 0.4339 | no |