P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 5.67% | 10.10% | 2026-06-02 | -5.84% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 8.94% | 13.56% | 2026-08-13 | -5.84% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 5.75% | 9.23% | 2026-06-01 | -6.02% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 13.43% | 17.21% | 2026-09-03 | -6.02% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.11% | 10.61% | 2026-06-30 | -6.94% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 8.38% | 13.16% | 2026-08-19 | -9.37% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.54% | 10.52% | 2026-06-30 | -6.80% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 8.47% | 13.86% | 2026-08-19 | -8.63% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 2026-04-27 | 37.85 | 0.3582 | 0.4396 | no |
| APA | 2026-04-27 | 37.85 | 0.3632 | 0.5623 | no |
| APP | 2026-04-27 | 443.14 | 0.7174 | 0.4229 | no |
| ARES | 2026-04-27 | 112.17 | 0.8846 | 0.4566 | no |
| BAC | 2026-04-27 | 51.46 | 0.3371 | 0.4581 | no |
| BX | 2026-04-27 | 119.64 | 0.6049 | 0.4395 | no |
| CCL | 2026-04-27 | 26.43 | 0.4933 | 0.4527 | no |
| CEG | 2026-04-27 | 317.02 | 0.5012 | 0.4600 | no |
| CF | 2026-04-27 | 121.30 | 0.5978 | 0.4255 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-04-27 | 515.82 | 0.3419 | 0.5723 | no |
| CNC | 2026-04-27 | 41.78 | 0.3286 | 0.4599 | no |
| COHR | 2026-04-27 | 330.50 | 0.9548 | 0.6710 | no |
| COP | 2026-04-27 | 120.50 | 0.3745 | 0.5070 | no |
| CVNA | 2026-04-27 | 81.80 | 0.5190 | 0.4678 | no |
| DASH | 2026-04-27 | 178.71 | 0.8420 | 0.4774 | no |
| DELL | 2026-04-27 | 217.42 | 0.7128 | 0.5498 | no |
| DOV | 2026-04-27 | 224.83 | 0.3672 | 0.5009 | no |
| DOW | 2026-04-27 | 38.65 | 0.4628 | 0.4597 | no |
| EMR | 2026-04-27 | 140.46 | 0.4519 | 0.4948 | no |
| ERIE | 2026-04-27 | 235.40 | 0.3645 | — | no |
| EXPE | 2026-04-27 | 246.96 | 0.4176 | 0.4876 | no |
| FICO | 2026-04-27 | 999.27 | 0.7979 | 0.4518 | no |
| GEN | 2026-04-27 | 18.79 | 0.3541 | 0.5027 | no |
| HRL | 2026-04-27 | 21.24 | 0.4639 | 0.4623 | no |
| HUM | 2026-04-27 | 214.49 | 0.4974 | 0.4735 | no |
| IBKR | 2026-04-27 | 76.40 | 0.3754 | 0.5290 | no |
| IFF | 2026-04-27 | 70.85 | 0.3933 | 0.4339 | no |
| KEYS | 2026-04-27 | 346.40 | 0.6906 | 0.5312 | no |
| KKR | 2026-04-27 | 99.97 | 0.5239 | 0.4623 | no |
| KLAC | 2026-04-27 | 190.51 | 0.3948 | 0.6252 | no |
| LYB | 2026-04-27 | 68.98 | 0.4577 | 0.4484 | no |
| MCHP | 2026-04-27 | 87.99 | 0.4625 | 0.6409 | no |
| MOS | 2026-04-27 | 23.76 | 0.3876 | 0.4564 | no |
| NCLH | 2026-04-27 | 18.17 | 0.3482 | 0.4631 | no |
| NEM | 2026-04-27 | 118.10 | 0.4189 | 0.5623 | no |
| NOW | 2026-04-27 | 89.06 | 0.8196 | 0.4266 | no |
| NSC | 2026-04-27 | 316.12 | 0.3341 | 0.4896 | no |
| NXPI | 2026-04-27 | 240.43 | 0.6658 | 0.6186 | no |
| ORCL | 2026-04-27 | 171.98 | 0.7113 | 0.4374 | no |
| OXY | 2026-04-27 | 56.84 | 0.9202 | 0.5580 | no |
| PSX | 2026-04-27 | 161.22 | 0.3450 | 0.4956 | no |
| SMCI | 2026-04-27 | 28.83 | 0.4190 | 0.5159 | no |
| SNPS | 2026-04-27 | 496.94 | 0.6342 | 0.5459 | no |
| SWK | 2026-04-27 | 76.30 | 0.8928 | 0.4867 | no |
| TER | 2026-04-27 | 421.12 | 0.3919 | 0.6521 | no |
| TSCO | 2026-04-27 | 36.27 | 0.4697 | 0.5041 | no |
| VRT | 2026-04-27 | 325.84 | 0.4348 | 0.4890 | no |
| VTRS | 2026-04-27 | 14.35 | 0.4329 | 0.5499 | no |
| WAT | 2026-04-27 | 307.53 | 0.4301 | 0.4266 | no |
| WDAY | 2026-04-27 | 117.66 | 0.9043 | 0.4339 | no |