P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 5.59% | 9.20% | 2026-06-02 | -5.27% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 6.73% | 11.99% | 2026-08-13 | -5.40% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 6.45% | 9.79% | 2026-06-01 | -5.44% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 11.84% | 15.91% | 2026-08-19 | -5.44% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 0.94% | 8.34% | 2026-06-02 | -6.83% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 7.34% | 11.31% | 2026-08-19 | -9.30% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.41% | 8.70% | 2026-06-30 | -5.51% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 10.52% | 13.81% | 2026-08-19 | -7.33% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 2026-04-27 | 415.04 | 0.3755 | 0.5895 | no |
| APA | 2026-04-27 | 37.85 | 0.6234 | 0.5623 | no |
| APP | 2026-04-27 | 443.14 | 0.8232 | 0.4229 | no |
| ARES | 2026-04-27 | 112.17 | 0.6617 | 0.4566 | no |
| AXON | 2026-04-27 | 395.52 | 0.3770 | 0.4891 | no |
| BLDR | 2026-04-27 | 89.86 | 0.4404 | 0.4513 | no |
| BX | 2026-04-27 | 119.64 | 0.3955 | 0.4395 | no |
| CEG | 2026-04-27 | 317.02 | 0.4531 | 0.4600 | no |
| CF | 2026-04-27 | 121.30 | 0.6392 | 0.4255 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-04-27 | 515.82 | 0.3964 | 0.5723 | no |
| COHR | 2026-04-27 | 330.50 | 0.9338 | 0.6710 | no |
| COP | 2026-04-27 | 120.50 | 0.4949 | 0.5070 | no |
| CVNA | 2026-04-27 | 81.80 | 0.4928 | 0.4678 | no |
| DASH | 2026-04-27 | 178.71 | 0.6413 | 0.4774 | no |
| DECK | 2026-04-27 | 108.70 | 0.5225 | 0.4160 | no |
| DELL | 2026-04-27 | 217.42 | 0.5743 | 0.5498 | no |
| DOW | 2026-04-27 | 38.65 | 0.6174 | 0.4597 | no |
| EMR | 2026-04-27 | 140.46 | 0.3397 | 0.4948 | no |
| FDS | 2026-04-27 | 222.29 | 0.4605 | 0.4682 | no |
| FICO | 2026-04-27 | 999.27 | 0.8430 | 0.4518 | no |
| GEN | 2026-04-27 | 18.79 | 0.5877 | 0.5027 | no |
| GEV | 2026-04-27 | 1134.66 | 0.4099 | 0.5093 | no |
| HCA | 2026-04-27 | 436.83 | 0.3352 | 0.4651 | no |
| HRL | 2026-04-27 | 21.24 | 0.4901 | 0.4623 | no |
| HUM | 2026-04-27 | 214.49 | 0.5012 | 0.4735 | no |
| IFF | 2026-04-27 | 70.85 | 0.3366 | 0.4339 | no |
| IR | 2026-04-27 | 83.11 | 0.4421 | 0.4916 | no |
| KEYS | 2026-04-27 | 346.40 | 0.5718 | 0.5312 | no |
| KLAC | 2026-04-27 | 190.51 | 0.5595 | 0.6252 | no |
| LII | 2026-04-27 | 492.35 | 0.3488 | 0.4824 | no |
| LYB | 2026-04-27 | 68.98 | 0.7685 | 0.4484 | no |
| MCHP | 2026-04-27 | 87.99 | 0.3266 | 0.6409 | no |
| MPC | 2026-04-27 | 223.64 | 0.4354 | 0.5254 | no |
| NCLH | 2026-04-27 | 18.17 | 0.5258 | 0.4631 | no |
| NEM | 2026-04-27 | 118.10 | 0.3639 | 0.5623 | no |
| NOW | 2026-04-27 | 89.06 | 0.6445 | 0.4266 | no |
| NXPI | 2026-04-27 | 240.43 | 0.6068 | 0.6186 | no |
| ON | 2026-04-27 | 98.13 | 0.3836 | 0.5965 | no |
| ORCL | 2026-04-27 | 171.98 | 0.9099 | 0.4374 | no |
| OXY | 2026-04-27 | 56.84 | 1.0368 | 0.5580 | no |
| PSX | 2026-04-27 | 161.22 | 0.5258 | 0.4956 | no |
| SNPS | 2026-04-27 | 496.94 | 0.4861 | 0.5459 | no |
| SWK | 2026-04-27 | 76.30 | 1.1497 | 0.4867 | no |
| TDG | 2026-04-27 | 1146.40 | 0.3295 | 0.5168 | no |
| TECH | 2026-04-27 | 54.13 | 0.3727 | 0.4261 | no |
| TSCO | 2026-04-27 | 36.27 | 0.3265 | 0.5041 | no |
| UPS | 2026-04-27 | 103.78 | 0.3968 | 0.4883 | no |
| VRT | 2026-04-27 | 325.84 | 0.3820 | 0.4890 | no |
| WAT | 2026-04-27 | 307.53 | 0.4015 | 0.4266 | no |
| WDAY | 2026-04-27 | 117.66 | 0.9902 | 0.4339 | no |