P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 8.39% | 8.39% | 2026-08-11 | -3.90% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 3.97% | 9.47% | 2026-08-13 | -5.66% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 9.77% | 9.77% | 2026-08-11 | -3.76% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 4.56% | 10.43% | 2026-08-13 | -5.66% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 7.47% | 8.66% | 2026-06-30 | -9.37% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 6.46% | 11.17% | 2026-08-19 | -9.37% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 9.02% | 10.08% | 2026-06-30 | -8.63% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 8.04% | 13.41% | 2026-08-19 | -8.63% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APA | 2026-05-11 | 36.44 | 0.8374 | 0.5731 | no |
| APO | 2026-05-11 | 132.35 | 0.5275 | — | no |
| APTV | 2026-05-11 | 57.14 | 0.3661 | 0.4246 | no |
| ARES | 2026-05-11 | 123.64 | 0.3304 | 0.4555 | no |
| AXON | 2026-05-11 | 394.20 | 0.5051 | 0.4696 | no |
| AZO | 2026-05-11 | 3477.71 | 0.2805 | 0.4464 | no |
| BLDR | 2026-05-11 | 77.11 | 0.6081 | 0.4293 | no |
| BMY | 2026-05-11 | 55.55 | 0.4942 | 0.5085 | no |
| CF | 2026-05-11 | 115.94 | 0.6845 | 0.4239 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-05-11 | 558.00 | 0.3088 | 0.5810 | no |
| CINF | 2026-05-11 | 160.86 | 0.2879 | 0.4776 | no |
| CNC | 2026-05-11 | 56.45 | 0.3501 | 0.4507 | no |
| COHR | 2026-05-11 | 345.00 | 0.3347 | 0.6710 | no |
| COIN | 2026-05-11 | 200.38 | 0.2887 | — | no |
| CRWD | 2026-05-11 | 130.95 | 0.3993 | 0.4824 | no |
| DD | 2026-05-11 | 148.75 | 0.4137 | 0.4375 | no |
| DELL | 2026-05-11 | 253.18 | 0.3860 | 0.5636 | no |
| DHI | 2026-05-11 | 147.11 | 0.5696 | 0.4179 | no |
| DIS | 2026-05-11 | 107.18 | 0.2805 | — | no |
| DOW | 2026-05-11 | 36.70 | 0.7454 | 0.4612 | no |
| DXCM | 2026-05-11 | 60.34 | 0.4150 | 0.4210 | no |
| EMR | 2026-05-11 | 140.26 | 0.2978 | 0.4884 | no |
| FICO | 2026-05-11 | 1120.24 | 0.9756 | 0.4492 | no |
| FIX | 2026-05-11 | 1953.22 | 0.7053 | 0.5198 | no |
| GE | 2026-05-11 | 295.66 | 0.4899 | 0.4886 | no |
| GILD | 2026-05-11 | 129.43 | 0.2778 | 0.4681 | no |
| GLW | 2026-05-11 | 193.34 | 0.3022 | 0.4984 | no |
| HD | 2026-05-11 | 311.85 | 0.3145 | 0.4471 | no |
| HII | 2026-05-11 | 314.58 | 0.4562 | 0.5305 | no |
| HON | 2026-05-11 | 223.87 | 0.4780 | 0.5027 | no |
| HRL | 2026-05-11 | 20.21 | 0.2857 | 0.4568 | no |
| HWM | 2026-05-11 | 269.22 | 0.2940 | 0.5286 | no |
| IR | 2026-05-11 | 75.70 | 0.3039 | 0.4930 | no |
| ITW | 2026-05-11 | 253.58 | 0.3323 | 0.4852 | no |
| JBHT | 2026-05-11 | 244.73 | 0.3127 | 0.4961 | no |
| LH | 2026-05-11 | 253.26 | 0.3389 | 0.4125 | no |
| LITE | 2026-05-11 | 949.72 | 0.2985 | 0.6078 | no |
| LLY | 2026-05-11 | 946.01 | 0.6390 | 0.4751 | no |
| LOW | 2026-05-11 | 226.60 | 0.3182 | 0.4855 | no |
| LYB | 2026-05-11 | 71.60 | 0.3434 | 0.4459 | no |
| MPWR | 2026-05-11 | 1592.06 | 0.5799 | 0.5778 | no |
| MS | 2026-05-11 | 191.31 | 0.4101 | 0.4723 | no |
| NOW | 2026-05-11 | 91.04 | 0.6496 | 0.4261 | no |
| OXY | 2026-05-11 | 53.52 | 0.8419 | 0.5679 | no |
| PODD | 2026-05-11 | 153.34 | 0.9969 | 0.4159 | no |
| ROK | 2026-05-11 | 448.83 | 0.3786 | 0.4810 | no |
| SYK | 2026-05-11 | 284.80 | 0.2925 | 0.4172 | no |
| TDG | 2026-05-11 | 1218.74 | 0.5007 | 0.5372 | no |
| TSCO | 2026-05-11 | 30.10 | 0.8893 | 0.4989 | no |
| VLO | 2026-05-11 | 242.59 | 0.2800 | 0.5618 | no |