P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 11.50% | 13.46% | 2026-08-14 | -5.46% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 9.08% | 13.46% | 2026-08-14 | -5.46% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 10.91% | 12.79% | 2026-08-14 | -5.16% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 9.23% | 12.79% | 2026-08-14 | -5.16% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 7.99% | 11.09% | 2026-08-17 | -9.37% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 6.56% | 11.27% | 2026-08-19 | -9.37% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 10.04% | 13.03% | 2026-08-17 | -8.63% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 8.16% | 13.53% | 2026-08-19 | -8.63% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG | 2026-05-18 | 198.69 | 0.3303 | 0.4701 | no |
| AMD | 2026-05-18 | 429.50 | 0.6469 | 0.6248 | no |
| APA | 2026-05-18 | 38.53 | 0.6266 | 0.5719 | no |
| AXON | 2026-05-18 | 393.72 | 0.5298 | 0.4642 | no |
| BBY | 2026-05-18 | 55.16 | 0.3104 | 0.4576 | no |
| BLDR | 2026-05-18 | 70.59 | 0.3702 | 0.4293 | no |
| BMY | 2026-05-18 | 56.81 | 0.4661 | 0.5074 | no |
| CF | 2026-05-18 | 122.37 | 0.5259 | 0.4239 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-05-18 | 563.49 | 0.4067 | 0.5810 | no |
| CMS | 2026-05-18 | 71.64 | 0.3278 | 0.4472 | no |
| CNC | 2026-05-18 | 58.11 | 0.6696 | 0.4499 | no |
| CRWD | 2026-05-18 | 147.37 | 0.4990 | 0.4821 | no |
| CSCO | 2026-05-18 | 118.36 | 0.3191 | 0.5816 | no |
| DELL | 2026-05-18 | 244.20 | 0.6466 | 0.5636 | no |
| DG | 2026-05-18 | 101.40 | 0.6529 | 0.5117 | no |
| DOW | 2026-05-18 | 37.65 | 0.4634 | 0.4612 | no |
| EME | 2026-05-18 | 908.71 | 0.3549 | 0.6039 | no |
| EXPE | 2026-05-18 | 214.77 | 0.2888 | 0.5050 | no |
| FCX | 2026-05-18 | 62.20 | 0.6953 | 0.5485 | no |
| FICO | 2026-05-18 | 1094.21 | 0.6793 | 0.4511 | no |
| GE | 2026-05-18 | 283.04 | 0.4492 | 0.4877 | no |
| GILD | 2026-05-18 | 128.58 | 0.3626 | 0.4669 | no |
| HCA | 2026-05-18 | 423.19 | 0.3736 | 0.4667 | no |
| HD | 2026-05-18 | 294.85 | 0.4359 | 0.4411 | no |
| HON | 2026-05-18 | 223.88 | 0.2951 | 0.5036 | no |
| HOOD | 2026-05-18 | 76.00 | 0.4042 | 0.4736 | no |
| HRL | 2026-05-18 | 19.53 | 0.2850 | 0.4500 | no |
| IEX | 2026-05-18 | 207.26 | 0.2956 | 0.4784 | no |
| ITW | 2026-05-18 | 247.08 | 0.3064 | 0.4855 | no |
| J | 2026-05-18 | 110.32 | 0.3572 | 0.5077 | no |
| LITE | 2026-05-18 | 953.29 | 0.6730 | 0.6093 | no |
| LOW | 2026-05-18 | 217.08 | 0.4081 | 0.4795 | no |
| LYB | 2026-05-18 | 72.83 | 0.3837 | 0.4459 | no |
| MCHP | 2026-05-18 | 94.77 | 0.2886 | 0.6546 | no |
| MS | 2026-05-18 | 191.57 | 0.3427 | 0.4729 | no |
| NOW | 2026-05-18 | 98.86 | 0.3176 | 0.4230 | no |
| ON | 2026-05-18 | 114.19 | 0.5720 | 0.6409 | no |
| PANW | 2026-05-18 | 238.91 | 0.4641 | 0.4590 | no |
| PNR | 2026-05-18 | 72.32 | 0.3974 | 0.4903 | no |
| PODD | 2026-05-18 | 146.91 | 1.1919 | 0.4148 | no |
| SMCI | 2026-05-18 | 31.22 | 0.3194 | 0.5606 | no |
| SO | 2026-05-18 | 91.47 | 0.2991 | 0.4511 | no |
| STX | 2026-05-18 | 800.43 | 0.5444 | 0.6110 | no |
| SWK | 2026-05-18 | 73.91 | 0.4761 | 0.4927 | no |
| TER | 2026-05-18 | 337.62 | 0.3535 | 0.6635 | no |
| TSCO | 2026-05-18 | 30.27 | 1.0521 | 0.4913 | no |
| VRSK | 2026-05-18 | 162.75 | 0.2956 | 0.4625 | no |
| VRT | 2026-05-18 | 370.13 | 0.3613 | 0.4910 | no |
| WAT | 2026-05-18 | 330.28 | 0.5547 | 0.4226 | no |
| XYL | 2026-05-18 | 107.42 | 0.3531 | 0.4732 | no |