P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -1.19% | 3.43% | 2026-06-22 | -9.54% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | -3.54% | 3.43% | 2026-06-22 | -9.54% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 1.49% | 5.17% | 2026-08-13 | -7.04% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | -1.31% | 5.17% | 2026-08-13 | -7.04% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -0.35% | 3.44% | 2026-06-15 | -11.54% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | -2.97% | 3.44% | 2026-06-15 | -11.54% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 1.15% | 3.88% | 2026-06-30 | -10.57% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | -1.89% | 3.88% | 2026-06-30 | -10.57% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG | 2026-06-08 | 212.91 | 0.2644 | 0.4702 | no |
| AMCR | 2026-06-08 | 37.34 | 0.3387 | 0.4394 | no |
| ANET | 2026-06-08 | 157.95 | 0.9640 | 0.5892 | no |
| APTV | 2026-06-08 | 69.01 | 0.2908 | 0.4237 | no |
| AVGO | 2026-06-08 | 401.98 | 0.3589 | 0.6335 | no |
| AXON | 2026-06-08 | 490.73 | 0.4656 | 0.4696 | no |
| BX | 2026-06-08 | 114.38 | 0.3880 | 0.4383 | no |
| CCL | 2026-06-08 | 27.04 | 0.3283 | 0.4336 | no |
| CEG | 2026-06-08 | 255.70 | 0.2624 | 0.4744 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-06-08 | 489.78 | 0.6203 | 0.6294 | no |
| CNC | 2026-06-08 | 62.32 | 0.4397 | 0.4493 | no |
| COHR | 2026-06-08 | 396.00 | 0.6662 | 0.6849 | no |
| CRH | 2026-06-08 | 103.90 | 0.2984 | 0.4625 | no |
| CRWD | 2026-06-08 | 168.38 | 0.2585 | 0.4349 | no |
| CSCO | 2026-06-08 | 123.10 | 0.5490 | 0.5833 | no |
| CVNA | 2026-06-08 | 67.03 | 0.5284 | 0.4549 | no |
| DAL | 2026-06-08 | 79.32 | 0.3562 | 0.4976 | no |
| FTNT | 2026-06-08 | 145.51 | 0.7484 | 0.4577 | no |
| GEV | 2026-06-08 | 947.43 | 0.5575 | 0.5127 | no |
| GLW | 2026-06-08 | 192.54 | 0.5215 | 0.4978 | no |
| HII | 2026-06-08 | 292.81 | 0.3699 | 0.5306 | no |
| HOOD | 2026-06-08 | 84.62 | 0.6074 | 0.4715 | no |
| HUM | 2026-06-08 | 344.82 | 0.6485 | 0.4817 | no |
| INTC | 2026-06-08 | 111.00 | 0.4708 | 0.6309 | no |
| JNJ | 2026-06-08 | 231.63 | 0.3090 | 0.4545 | no |
| KR | 2026-06-08 | 62.32 | 0.4480 | 0.4991 | no |
| LDOS | 2026-06-08 | 122.61 | 0.4101 | 0.4932 | no |
| LITE | 2026-06-08 | 899.79 | 0.4448 | 0.6127 | no |
| LULU | 2026-06-08 | 114.37 | 0.3546 | 0.4312 | no |
| MCHP | 2026-06-08 | 91.31 | 0.5245 | 0.6566 | no |
| MGM | 2026-06-08 | 47.48 | 0.4322 | 0.4273 | no |
| MOS | 2026-06-08 | 22.01 | 0.3290 | 0.4753 | no |
| MPWR | 2026-06-08 | 1557.29 | 0.3264 | 0.5790 | no |
| MSFT | 2026-06-08 | 413.36 | 0.2839 | 0.4368 | no |
| NRG | 2026-06-08 | 128.88 | 0.5319 | 0.4729 | no |
| NUE | 2026-06-08 | 256.23 | 0.7562 | 0.5300 | no |
| NVDA | 2026-06-08 | 209.95 | 0.2672 | 0.6422 | no |
| ODFL | 2026-06-08 | 244.58 | 0.2665 | 0.4678 | no |
| ON | 2026-06-08 | 122.57 | 1.0350 | 0.6427 | no |
| PANW | 2026-06-08 | 269.63 | 1.0389 | 0.4601 | no |
| Q | 2026-06-08 | 146.55 | 0.5813 | 0.5761 | no |
| QCOM | 2026-06-08 | 219.83 | 0.3264 | 0.5756 | no |
| RSG | 2026-06-08 | 207.56 | 0.3205 | 0.4671 | no |
| SO | 2026-06-08 | 91.50 | 0.2587 | 0.4506 | no |
| STLD | 2026-06-08 | 269.40 | 0.5460 | 0.5063 | no |
| STX | 2026-06-08 | 882.09 | 0.3560 | 0.6148 | no |
| SWKS | 2026-06-08 | 75.34 | 0.2871 | 0.6408 | no |
| TER | 2026-06-08 | 377.69 | 0.8366 | 0.6668 | no |
| VRT | 2026-06-08 | 309.11 | 0.4285 | 0.4915 | no |
| WDC | 2026-06-08 | 540.04 | 0.5146 | 0.5953 | no |