P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -2.09% | 4.49% | 2026-06-22 | -10.79% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | -3.96% | 4.49% | 2026-06-22 | -10.79% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 0.25% | 4.47% | 2026-08-12 | -7.22% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | -2.61% | 4.47% | 2026-08-12 | -7.42% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 3.25% | 5.14% | 2026-08-19 | -10.83% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 0.82% | 5.14% | 2026-08-19 | -10.83% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 3.73% | 5.57% | 2026-08-19 | -10.84% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 1.74% | 5.57% | 2026-08-19 | -10.84% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG | 2026-06-08 | 212.91 | 0.3881 | 0.4702 | no |
| AMAT | 2026-06-08 | 475.49 | 0.3107 | 0.6324 | no |
| AMD | 2026-06-08 | 485.00 | 0.2870 | 0.6278 | no |
| ANET | 2026-06-08 | 157.95 | 0.8071 | 0.5892 | no |
| APTV | 2026-06-08 | 69.01 | 0.6693 | 0.4237 | no |
| AVGO | 2026-06-08 | 401.98 | 0.6732 | 0.6335 | no |
| BA | 2026-06-08 | 216.30 | 0.3324 | 0.4965 | no |
| BX | 2026-06-08 | 114.38 | 0.3303 | 0.4383 | no |
| CCL | 2026-06-08 | 27.04 | 0.3594 | 0.4336 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-06-08 | 489.78 | 0.6438 | 0.6294 | no |
| CMI | 2026-06-08 | 665.59 | 0.2743 | 0.4886 | no |
| CNC | 2026-06-08 | 62.32 | 0.6065 | 0.4493 | no |
| COHR | 2026-06-08 | 396.00 | 0.5857 | 0.6849 | no |
| CRWD | 2026-06-08 | 168.38 | 0.2927 | 0.4349 | no |
| CSCO | 2026-06-08 | 123.10 | 0.5851 | 0.5833 | no |
| DAL | 2026-06-08 | 79.32 | 0.3624 | 0.4976 | no |
| DOW | 2026-06-08 | 33.59 | 0.3548 | 0.4605 | no |
| FSLR | 2026-06-08 | 286.69 | 0.3562 | 0.5028 | no |
| FTNT | 2026-06-08 | 145.51 | 0.8461 | 0.4577 | no |
| GEV | 2026-06-08 | 947.43 | 0.3034 | 0.5127 | no |
| GLW | 2026-06-08 | 192.54 | 0.4914 | 0.4978 | no |
| GM | 2026-06-08 | 81.50 | 0.3824 | 0.4162 | no |
| GOOGL | 2026-06-08 | 364.95 | 0.2643 | 0.5461 | no |
| HII | 2026-06-08 | 292.81 | 0.3915 | 0.5306 | no |
| HOOD | 2026-06-08 | 84.62 | 0.3775 | 0.4715 | no |
| HUM | 2026-06-08 | 344.82 | 0.6784 | 0.4817 | no |
| INTC | 2026-06-08 | 111.00 | 0.8708 | 0.6309 | no |
| JNJ | 2026-06-08 | 231.63 | 0.3881 | 0.4545 | no |
| KR | 2026-06-08 | 62.32 | 0.2704 | 0.4991 | no |
| LDOS | 2026-06-08 | 122.61 | 0.3224 | 0.4932 | no |
| LITE | 2026-06-08 | 899.79 | 0.6433 | 0.6127 | no |
| LULU | 2026-06-08 | 114.37 | 0.4643 | 0.4312 | no |
| MGM | 2026-06-08 | 47.48 | 0.3362 | 0.4273 | no |
| MPWR | 2026-06-08 | 1557.29 | 0.4463 | 0.5790 | no |
| NRG | 2026-06-08 | 128.88 | 0.4709 | 0.4729 | no |
| NUE | 2026-06-08 | 256.23 | 0.5569 | 0.5300 | no |
| NVDA | 2026-06-08 | 209.95 | 0.2577 | 0.6422 | no |
| ON | 2026-06-08 | 122.57 | 0.6668 | 0.6427 | no |
| PANW | 2026-06-08 | 269.63 | 0.9043 | 0.4601 | no |
| QCOM | 2026-06-08 | 219.83 | 0.5014 | 0.5756 | no |
| REGN | 2026-06-08 | 637.30 | 0.4331 | 0.4986 | no |
| SNPS | 2026-06-08 | 467.28 | 0.4621 | 0.5001 | no |
| SO | 2026-06-08 | 91.50 | 0.3396 | 0.4506 | no |
| STX | 2026-06-08 | 882.09 | 0.4700 | 0.6148 | no |
| SW | 2026-06-08 | 40.67 | 0.2632 | 0.4474 | no |
| SYF | 2026-06-08 | 70.46 | 0.3072 | 0.4383 | no |
| TER | 2026-06-08 | 377.69 | 0.6177 | 0.6668 | no |
| TXN | 2026-06-08 | 292.23 | 0.2768 | 0.6281 | no |
| VRT | 2026-06-08 | 309.11 | 0.4146 | 0.4915 | no |
| WDC | 2026-06-08 | 540.04 | 0.2845 | 0.5953 | no |