P/L comparison
Buy & hold
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
buy & hold · participation factor overlaybuy & hold · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Weekly rebalance
P/L COMPARISON · PERCENT FROM ENTRY
weekly rebalance · participation factor overlayweekly rebalance · Qlib / Alpha158 baseline
Performance tables
| Management | Arm | Horizon | Status | Return | Maximum | Max date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | -0.95% | 3.88% | 2026-06-22 | -9.38% |
| buy & hold | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | -3.48% | 3.88% | 2026-06-22 | -9.38% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 2.67% | 6.14% | 2026-08-14 | -5.85% |
| buy & hold | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 0.08% | 6.14% | 2026-08-14 | -6.61% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 3 months | complete | 4.45% | 6.24% | 2026-08-19 | -9.15% |
| weekly rebalance | participation factor overlay | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 2.44% | 6.24% | 2026-08-19 | -9.15% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 3 months | complete | 7.17% | 9.47% | 2026-08-19 | -7.33% |
| weekly rebalance | Qlib / Alpha158 baseline | 6 months | open · current through 2026-09-18 | 6.30% | 9.47% | 2026-08-19 | -7.33% |
Position ledger
This portfolio holds the initial selection. There are no scheduled rebalance decisions after entry.
Selected arm positions
50 positions in the selected record: buy & hold · participation factor overlay. The charts and performance table above contain all four arms in this formation group.
| Ticker | Entry date | Entry open | Model prediction | Participation score | Excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 2026-06-08 | 413.69 | 0.3162 | 0.6356 | no |
| AJG | 2026-06-08 | 212.91 | 0.3474 | 0.4702 | no |
| ANET | 2026-06-08 | 157.95 | 0.9352 | 0.5892 | no |
| APTV | 2026-06-08 | 69.01 | 0.5027 | 0.4237 | no |
| AVGO | 2026-06-08 | 401.98 | 0.6514 | 0.6335 | no |
| AXON | 2026-06-08 | 490.73 | 0.4928 | 0.4696 | no |
| CEG | 2026-06-08 | 255.70 | 0.3163 | 0.4744 | no |
| CIEN | 2026-06-08 | 489.78 | 0.2975 | 0.6294 | no |
| CMI | 2026-06-08 | 665.59 | 0.2899 | 0.4886 | no |
| CNC | 2026-06-08 | 62.32 | 0.4940 | 0.4493 | no |
| COHR | 2026-06-08 | 396.00 | 0.3857 | 0.6849 | no |
| CSCO | 2026-06-08 | 123.10 | 0.7229 | 0.5833 | no |
| CVNA | 2026-06-08 | 67.03 | 0.4469 | 0.4549 | no |
| DAL | 2026-06-08 | 79.32 | 0.4095 | 0.4976 | no |
| DG | 2026-06-08 | 103.11 | 0.4788 | 0.4894 | no |
| DOW | 2026-06-08 | 33.59 | 0.2992 | 0.4605 | no |
| FIX | 2026-06-08 | 1885.82 | 0.3882 | 0.5392 | no |
| FTNT | 2026-06-08 | 145.51 | 0.5690 | 0.4577 | no |
| GEV | 2026-06-08 | 947.43 | 0.3236 | 0.5127 | no |
| GLW | 2026-06-08 | 192.54 | 0.6592 | 0.4978 | no |
| GM | 2026-06-08 | 81.50 | 0.4029 | 0.4162 | no |
| GOOGL | 2026-06-08 | 364.95 | 0.4112 | 0.5461 | no |
| HIG | 2026-06-08 | 130.18 | 0.2910 | 0.4706 | no |
| HII | 2026-06-08 | 292.81 | 0.3689 | 0.5306 | no |
| HOOD | 2026-06-08 | 84.62 | 0.3178 | 0.4715 | no |
| HUM | 2026-06-08 | 344.82 | 0.5236 | 0.4817 | no |
| INTC | 2026-06-08 | 111.00 | 0.8352 | 0.6309 | no |
| KR | 2026-06-08 | 62.32 | 0.3142 | 0.4991 | no |
| LDOS | 2026-06-08 | 122.61 | 0.4211 | 0.4932 | no |
| LITE | 2026-06-08 | 899.79 | 0.5524 | 0.6127 | no |
| LULU | 2026-06-08 | 114.37 | 0.6058 | 0.4312 | no |
| MCHP | 2026-06-08 | 91.31 | 0.8963 | 0.6566 | no |
| MGM | 2026-06-08 | 47.48 | 0.3550 | 0.4273 | no |
| MPWR | 2026-06-08 | 1557.29 | 0.5701 | 0.5790 | no |
| MRK | 2026-06-08 | 119.28 | 0.3289 | 0.4628 | no |
| MTD | 2026-06-08 | 1153.51 | 0.4212 | 0.4171 | no |
| MU | 2026-06-08 | 938.13 | 0.3098 | 0.6445 | no |
| NRG | 2026-06-08 | 128.88 | 0.5612 | 0.4729 | no |
| NUE | 2026-06-08 | 256.23 | 0.8382 | 0.5300 | no |
| ON | 2026-06-08 | 122.57 | 0.8020 | 0.6427 | no |
| PANW | 2026-06-08 | 269.63 | 1.1390 | 0.4601 | no |
| Q | 2026-06-08 | 146.55 | 0.3641 | 0.5761 | no |
| REGN | 2026-06-08 | 637.30 | 0.3011 | 0.4986 | no |
| SNPS | 2026-06-08 | 467.28 | 0.3074 | 0.5001 | no |
| STLD | 2026-06-08 | 269.40 | 0.3630 | 0.5063 | no |
| STX | 2026-06-08 | 882.09 | 0.3200 | 0.6148 | no |
| SYF | 2026-06-08 | 70.46 | 0.3057 | 0.4383 | no |
| TER | 2026-06-08 | 377.69 | 0.5757 | 0.6668 | no |
| TSCO | 2026-06-08 | 29.16 | 0.4125 | 0.4865 | no |
| WDC | 2026-06-08 | 540.04 | 0.5411 | 0.5953 | no |